Excellent question I've noticed a decline as well. I am no expert but have 
tagged monarchs as a citizen scientist for the past 3 years on the south shore 
of Long Island as part of the U of Kansas monarch watch project. Two years ago 
there were enough monarchs flying east to west along the dunes that praying 
mantis would ambush them on the seaside goldenrod. 
This year I the amount and rate of monarchs flying east to west on the coastal 
dunes decreased dramatically. 
I think this is linked with the observation that there appears to be less 
goldenrod stands; and, I think there are less goldenrod because of physical 
change of the dunes from hurricane Sandy. Some great stands got buried along 
beachfront that I have found monarchs at in past years. 
I wonder if there are less goldenrod available along the entire coast in the 
plants range. I wonder if this will set them back as the yellow blooms are an 
energy source timed with their migration. 
That is my speculation. I don't know if the monarch population actually did 
decrease markedly this year, I just saw less where I used to see more. 

Peter Priolo 
Ctr Moriches
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