ini sebenarnya karena US dolarnya yg menguat sih, jadi harganya turun ...
--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, "jsx_consultant" <jsx- [EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > Sekitar 3 bulan lalu Goldman Sach yg spesialisasinya di mining, > memprediksikan minyak akan ke 147 nyatanya BABLAS. > > Sekarang ML bikin prediksi SENSASIONIL lagi. > > Mana yg bener ?. > > Just follow the price graph, you would not be fooled... > > > --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, "jsx_consultant" <jsx- > consultant@> wrote: > > > > Oil May Fall Below $25 Next Year, Merrill Lynch Says (Update1) > > Email | Print | A A A > > > > By Grant Smith > > > > Dec. 4 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil may dip below $25 a barrel next > year > > if the recession that's slashing fuel demand around the world > spreads > > to China, Merrill Lynch & Co. said. > > > > Global oil demand will contract in 2009 as economic growth slows to > > its weakest since 1982, Merrill Commodity Strategist Francisco > Blanch > > said in a report today. In October, when oil was around $100 a > > barrel, the bank predicted that prices may slide to $50. Crude > traded > > at $45.30 in New York today, the lowest since February 2005. > > > > "A temporary drop below $25 a barrel is possible if the global > > recession extends to China and significant non-OPEC cuts are > > required," Blanch said. "In the short-run, global oil demand growth > > will likely take a further beating as banks continue to cut credit > to > > consumers and corporations." > > > > Crude hasn't fallen below $25 a barrel on the New York Mercantile > > Exchange since November 2002. > > > > Global oil demand has slumped as the U.S., Europe and Japan face > > simultaneous recessions for the first time since World War II. The > > number of Americans collecting jobless benefits rose to 4 million > in > > the week to Nov. 22, a 26-year high, the Labor Department reported > > today. European Central Bank President Jean- Claude Trichet said > the > > euro region's economy will shrink in 2009. > > > > $50 Average > > > > Merrill reiterated a Nov. 26 forecast that oil futures traded in > New > > York will average $50 a barrel next year. Prices "could find a > > trough" at the end of the first quarter and undergo a "modest > > recovery" in the second half as economies strengthen, according to > > today's report. > > > > "We expect strong cooperation to emerge" among members of the > > Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries as prices fall below > > $50, Blanch said. OPEC, producer of more than 40 percent of the > > world's crude, was still pumping about 1 million barrels a day more > > than its official target of 27.3 million barrels a day last month, > > according to a Bloomberg survey. > > > > Producers in Canada may shutter almost 800,000 barrels a day if > > prices decline below $35 a barrel, Blanch added. > > > > Merrill's $50-a-barrel assessment for 2009 is the second- lowest > > among 32 analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg, after a > prediction > > of $43.13 by ANZ Banking Group Ltd. issued on Nov. 18. > > > > To contact the reporter on this story: Grant Smith in London at > > gsmith52@ > > > > Last Updated: December 4, 2008 09:27 EST > > >
