kayaknya prediksinya udah terlalu extrem. sama dng HSBC yg beberpa waktu lalu bikin estimasi oil ke $200 disaat semua orang panic dng kenaikan oil yg tajam...
saat ini orang2 juga panic dng penurunan oil yg tajam, apakah ini tanda2 oil akan segera menyentuh bottomnya Mbah..? salam, AR On Fri, Dec 5, 2008 at 9:30 AM, jsx_consultant < [EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > Sekitar 3 bulan lalu Goldman Sach yg spesialisasinya di mining, > memprediksikan minyak akan ke 147 nyatanya BABLAS. > > Sekarang ML bikin prediksi SENSASIONIL lagi. > > Mana yg bener ?. > > Just follow the price graph, you would not be fooled... > > --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com <obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com>, > "jsx_consultant" <jsx- > > [EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > > > Oil May Fall Below $25 Next Year, Merrill Lynch Says (Update1) > > Email | Print | A A A > > > > By Grant Smith > > > > Dec. 4 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil may dip below $25 a barrel next > year > > if the recession that's slashing fuel demand around the world > spreads > > to China, Merrill Lynch & Co. said. > > > > Global oil demand will contract in 2009 as economic growth slows to > > its weakest since 1982, Merrill Commodity Strategist Francisco > Blanch > > said in a report today. In October, when oil was around $100 a > > barrel, the bank predicted that prices may slide to $50. Crude > traded > > at $45.30 in New York today, the lowest since February 2005. > > > > "A temporary drop below $25 a barrel is possible if the global > > recession extends to China and significant non-OPEC cuts are > > required," Blanch said. "In the short-run, global oil demand growth > > will likely take a further beating as banks continue to cut credit > to > > consumers and corporations." > > > > Crude hasn't fallen below $25 a barrel on the New York Mercantile > > Exchange since November 2002. > > > > Global oil demand has slumped as the U.S., Europe and Japan face > > simultaneous recessions for the first time since World War II. The > > number of Americans collecting jobless benefits rose to 4 million > in > > the week to Nov. 22, a 26-year high, the Labor Department reported > > today. European Central Bank President Jean- Claude Trichet said > the > > euro region's economy will shrink in 2009. > > > > $50 Average > > > > Merrill reiterated a Nov. 26 forecast that oil futures traded in > New > > York will average $50 a barrel next year. Prices "could find a > > trough" at the end of the first quarter and undergo a "modest > > recovery" in the second half as economies strengthen, according to > > today's report. > > > > "We expect strong cooperation to emerge" among members of the > > Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries as prices fall below > > $50, Blanch said. OPEC, producer of more than 40 percent of the > > world's crude, was still pumping about 1 million barrels a day more > > than its official target of 27.3 million barrels a day last month, > > according to a Bloomberg survey. > > > > Producers in Canada may shutter almost 800,000 barrels a day if > > prices decline below $35 a barrel, Blanch added. > > > > Merrill's $50-a-barrel assessment for 2009 is the second- lowest > > among 32 analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg, after a > prediction > > of $43.13 by ANZ Banking Group Ltd. issued on Nov. 18. > > > > To contact the reporter on this story: Grant Smith in London at > > [EMAIL PROTECTED] > > > > Last Updated: December 4, 2008 09:27 EST > > > > > -- salam, AR
