Moratorium dan Debt to Equity Swap.. hehehe..

Bisa jadi, lha wong masih mau ngeluarin paket lagi, the Fed, China, Jepang bisa 
juga jadi pemegang saham-nya, atau jualan Alaska hehehe..

Dach 'Besar pasak daripada tenda'.. :p


--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, agung aja <agung.ke...@...> wrote:
>
> Menurut saya President (mungkin) akan meminta keringanan 
> (rescheduling),pemotongan utang,bahkan Debt To Equity Swap
> Pertama di dunia, bank sentral mempunyai kepemilikan saham pada suatu NEGARA
> cmiiw
> 
> 
> regards
> 
> 
> 
> 
> ________________________________
> From: cipto_jh <cipto...@...>
> To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
> Sent: Monday, March 23, 2009 2:46:46 PM
> Subject: [ob] Re: Mulai pada bilang Bull atau lagi nge Bullshit ?
> 
> 
> Kemarin baca2 berita di Antara, defisit amrik thn 2008 diperkirakan mencapai 
> USD 1,8 T sekitar 13,..% dari GDP-nya naik tajam dibanding thn sebelumnya yg 
> hanya sekitar USD 4xx miliar (3,..% GDP)
> 
> Itu aja sie.. ;p
> 
> Kenaikan den BEI hari ini ditopang oleh penguatan IDR thd USD yg signifikan, 
> mungkin salah 1 konsekuensi logis dari berita defisit tsb diatas..
> 
> Saya tetep kuatir di kuartal II '09 nanti.. ti ati yaa.. :)
> 
> Salam
> 
> --- In obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com, Vernichtung <gambler..bej@ ...> 
> wrote:
> >
> > Ngelihat anggota OB banyak yg baru dan ngomongnya nge-bull saya jadi kuatir
> > nih mbah, mungkin udah saatnya saya mulai bersih2 dan pegang cash dulu.
> > 
> > 
> > On Mon, Mar 23, 2009 at 1:53 PM, datasahamku <datasahamku@ ...> wrote:
> > 
> > >
> > > satria Brama Kumbara kemana ya hehehe....bahasanya itu suka Italiano
> > > segala..nongol lagi kalo indeks 1.000 kaleee
> > >
> > >
> > > --- In obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com, "jsx_consultant" 
> > > <jsx-consultant@ >
> > > wrote:
> > > >
> > > > Mulai pada bilang Bull atau lagi nge Bullshit ?
> > > >
> > > > Templeton's Mark Mobius udah mulai BEKOAR, kalah cepet
> > > > dibanding EL... hehehe....
> > > >
> > > > Comment para bearish messanger gimana ?. Apa udah pada nyerah
> > > > atau mulai mau mentung ?.
> > > >
> > > > Apa tunggu index jatuh baru mau mentung... hehehe...
> > > >
> > > >
> > > > `Bull-Market' Has Begun, Templeton's Mark Mobius Says (Update1)
> > > > Share | Email | Print | A A A
> > > >
> > > > By Paul Gordon and Chua Kong Ho
> > > >
> > > > March 23 (Bloomberg) -- The next "bull-market" rally has begun and there
> > > are bargains in every emerging market following a record slump in stocks,
> > > Templeton Asset Management Ltd.'s Mark Mobius said.
> > > >
> > > > "You have to be careful not to miss the opportunity, " said Mobius, who
> > > helps oversee about $20 billion of emerging- market assets at San Mateo,
> > > California-based Templeton. "With all the negative news, there is a 
> > > tendency
> > > to hold back."
> > > >
> > > > Citigroup Inc.'s analysts Markus Rosgen and Elaine Chu are among
> > > strategists who describe recent Asian stock gains as a temporary
> > > "bear-market rally." They remain "skeptical" because valuations have yet 
> > > to
> > > plumb the lows seen in past recessions, they said in a report today.
> > > >
> > > > The MSCI Emerging Markets Index has jumped 23 percent since reaching a
> > > four-year low on Oct. 27, outperforming the 2.5 percent drop in the MSCI
> > > World Index and 9.5 percent decline in the Standard & Poor's 500 Index.
> > > Emerging markets made up the 10 best-performing stock benchmark indexes 
> > > this
> > > year, led by the 26 percent gain for China's Shanghai Composite Index.
> > > >
> > > > "You are going to see a lot of bouncing off the bottom because there's a
> > > tremendous amount of uncertainty in the market," Mobius, 72, said in a
> > > Bloomberg Television interview from Hong Kong. "But I have a feeling we're
> > > at the bottom and now we're building a base for the next bull market."
> > > >
> > > > `Top Ten'
> > > >
> > > > Mobius correctly predicted in December that emerging markets will 
> > > > rebound
> > > before developed nations. In 1999, he was voted among the "Top Ten Money
> > > Managers of the 20th Century" in a survey by the Carson Group, and in 2006
> > > he was included in the "Top 100 Most Powerful and Influential People" by
> > > Asiamoney magazine.
> > > >
> > > > Templeton is finding "bargains" in every emerging market, which are in
> > > "better shape" than developed economies, Mobius said. The fund is looking
> > > for companies that are "cash-rich," have low debt and higher dividend
> > > yields, or those that can invest for future growth yet have cash left to 
> > > pay
> > > shareholders, he said.
> > > >
> > > > Investors who poured $502 million into Asian equity funds over the past
> > > two weeks may lose out once the "bear market rally" falters, Citigroup 
> > > said
> > > today in a note, citing a 30 percent drop after an initial rebound in the
> > > 1997 slump.
> > > >
> > > > Fidelity Investments, the world's biggest mutual fund company, is among
> > > the skeptics on predictions about the timing of the market cycle.
> > > >
> > > > `No Crystal Ball'
> > > >
> > > > "No one can call the bottom in the stock market. No one managed to do 
> > > > it.
> > > We can't do it. We don't have a crystal ball," Tal Eloya, a portfolio
> > > manager at Fidelity Investments, said in a briefing in Seoul today. "We 
> > > have
> > > to think long term and invest over a long-term horizon."
> > > >
> > > > Mobius's views that stocks will rally are shared by investor Antoine van
> > > Agtmael, who coined the term "emerging markets."
> > > >
> > > > "Relative to potential sustainable growth and quality, emerging markets
> > > today are cheaper than I have seen them at any time since I started to
> > > invest" 30 years ago, van Agtmael, who oversees about $8.6 billion as
> > > chairman and chief investment officer at Emerging Markets Management LLC,
> > > said in a phone interview March 19. "Things have gone too far down."
> > > >
> > > > Asian stock market valuations outside of Japan fell to 0.9 times book
> > > value during the 1975 and 1982 recessions, according to Citigroup. The 
> > > MSCI
> > > Asia excluding Japan Index is now valued at 1.3 times book value.
> > > >
> > > > Brazilian oil company Petroleo Brasileiro SA, Cia. Vale do Rio Doce, the
> > > world's biggest iron-ore producer, and Chinese oil producer PetroChina 
> > > Co..
> > > are among the top holdings of Mobius's Templeton Emerging Markets Trust.
> > > >
> > > > To contact the reporter on this story: Chua Kong Ho in Shanghai at
> > > kchua6@; Paul Gordon in Hong Kong at Pgordon6@
> > > >
> > > > Last Updated: March 23, 2009 00:51 EDT
> > > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
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> > >
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