Yah..kurang lebih seperti itu lah Mbah... saya juga main logika aja...gak pakai belajar makro
he.he.... On Nov 30, 2007 7:35 PM, jsx_consultant <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > Mungkin begini pak Halim, > > Rumus UMUM: > - Higher interest rate is bad for economy or stock. > > SPECIAL CASE untuk US yg anda ceritakan termasuk Indonesia: > - Higher interest rate pada case TERTENTU bukan membuat > aliran modal dari Capital market ke Money market tapi > memancing capital INFLOW dari negara lain ke negara yg > menaikan interest ratenya (US termasuk Indonesia). Ini > berakibat index dow dan ihsg naik ketika suku bunga > US dan Rupiah ATTRACTIVE for short term investment. > > Sedang higher interest rate di China dimaksudkan memang > untuk meredam Pertumbuhan dan kenaikan index yg > terlalu tinggi. Jadi case China tidak menyalahi bahwa > Higher interest rate is bad for economy or stock. > > Penurunan suku bunga merupakah instrument Central > Bank untuk merangsang Consumer spending dan Investasi agar > economy bergeliat dan tumbuh lebih cepat... > > Sorry yah kalo salah, embah lagi belajar Macro Economy seperti > iklan anak kecil diiklan ALIANZ... Jangan diketawain yah, > pak Halim...hehehe... > > --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, "Halim Mintareja" > <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > > > "But higher interest rate is bad for economy growth and stock." > > > > mn...... > > > > kayaknya gak selalu Mbah... > > tergantung kapan dan alasan pergerakan interest rate. > > > > Higher interest rate same time can be a good economic indicator. > > > > Eg China..tambah dinaikin tambah gila. Artinya goverment masih > confidence > > ekonomi mampu bertahan di tengan suku bunga tinggi. Which is good. > > > > Contoh lagi US...waktu Greenspan dan Benanke naikin interest rate > secara > > bertahap..dow malah naik terus tanpa gangguan. Ekonomi juga growth > lumayan > > bagus. Setelah mulai dipotong malah muncul masalah di sana sini > ha.ha..... > > > > Kalau indo mungkin kebalikannya..soalnya goverment sering telat > bertindak. > > > > > > > > On Nov 30, 2007 3:00 PM, jsx_consultant <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> > > wrote: > > > > > --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, "RATU SIMA" <RATUSIMA@> > wrote: > > > > > > > > Uhm, > > > > > > > > Inflation and interest rate = reversal pattern comparison. > > > > > > > > Inflation high = interest rate lowered. > > > > > > If i am not mistaken, the the central bank has to raise the > > > interest rate to fight the inflation. Higher interest rate will > > > absorb money supply and press the consumer spending down. > > > > > > But higher interest rate is bad for economy growth and stock. > > > > > > > > > > Inflation low = interest rate sustained or raised. > > > > > > > > Banking and finance sector is worth collecting, I think. > > > > > > > > In relation to sustaining inflation rate, I think GOI will > sustain at > > > > current rate. > > > > > > > > Love, > > > > Aimee > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > + + > > > + + + + + > > > Mohon saat meREPLY posting, text dari posting lama dihapus > > > kecuali diperlukan agar CONTEXTnya jelas. > > > + + + + + > > > + + > > > Yahoo! Groups Links > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > + + > + + + + + > Mohon saat meREPLY posting, text dari posting lama dihapus > kecuali diperlukan agar CONTEXTnya jelas. > + + + + + > + + > Yahoo! Groups Links > > > >
