Pak Aditya, Sepertinya anda expert di Money market (forex) kalo engga salah, Boleh tau prediksi anda tentang Rupiah untuk thn 2008.
--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, "Aditya" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > Download Attachment at: > http://rajaarradu01.multiply.com/journal/item/25/Zero_Sum_Game > > Traders often talk about zero sum games. This discussion came from a > branch of game theory which deals with the decision making process. > Game theory is not simply the study of games. It is the study of how > many different and complex problems may have simple solutions. Game > theory helps determine the proper decisions. > > Successful trading is highly dependent on proper decision making. Game > theory may be helpful in understanding some of the decisions required > in trading. > > A zero-sum game is a game where the amount lost by one or more players > is equal to the amount gained by the other players. Chess is a two > person zero-sum game. If one player wins, the other player loses. If > there is a draw neither player gains or loses. > > Poker is an example of a two or greater person zero-sum game. If there > are more than 2 players, then one or more of the players can win at > the expense of the other players. However, all players can not win > because at least one player must provide the profits and therefore at > least one player must lose. > > The stock market is a nonzero-sum game. For example, I buy TLKM for > 3375. I sell it a week latter for 3385 to Stock Buyer-2. Stock Buyer-2 > sells the same stock a week latter for 395. I made money and Stock > Buyer-2 made money. No one lost money. This same process can yield > losses when for everyone when stock prices declines. If I buy TLKM at > 395 and sell it to Stock Buyer-2 for 385 and Stock Buyer-2 sells TLKM > for 375, then we both have a loss. Everyone lost money. > > To complicate the discussion, it is possible to have a negative –sum > situation. Commissions and overhead and other expenses must be > considered in the real world. Unless the profits exceed the expenses, > the result is a loss. > > Want to know the single biggest reason successful traders win? > > Successful traders profit from trading because their trading system > has a positive expectancy. > > > Rgds, > > Aditya > --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, "naruto.saham" > <naruto.saham@> wrote: > > > > --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, "Mudy Situmorang" <mudy@> > > wrote: > > > > > > Pasar modal tidak sepenuhnya zero sum game. Bahkan sama sekali > > berbeda. > > > > > > Ada banyak faktor yang mempengaruhi pasar modal, bukan hanya > > capital inflow > > > dan outflow. Sehingga bisa saja semua untung atau semua rugi. Ini > > > bertentangan dengan definisi zero sum game. > > > > > > Jadi Pasar Modal BUKAN (tidak identik dengan) zero sum game. > > > > > > Pada kasus tertentu pada masa tertentu bisa saja Pasar Modal > > memenuhi zero > > > sum game, tapi jualan baso juga sama :-) > > > > > > > Pembeli baso bukan sesama pedagang bakso kan? Walaupun bisa saja. > > Kalau di saham pembeli dan penjual adalah sesama pedagang saham. > > Kecil kemungkinan saham dijual di luar bursa. > > >
