Thank you , Elaine for your kindness to depressed people.
BTW, Indonesianya bagus juga.
Bingung.com
----- Pesan Asli ----
Dari: Elaine <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Kepada: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Terkirim: Rabu, 2 April, 2008 20:54:16
Topik: Re: [obrolan-bandar] Mengapa Harus Menyalahkan hasil PREDIKSI ORANG
LAIN???
Banyak trader depressed with the market, harus ada penyaluran
agar tidak gila. Ini Elaine kasih artikel bagus sekali, boleh baca.
The Psychology of Blame
http://www.mvesc. k12.oh.us/ psychology/ PsychBulletins/ 11_90.htm
People have a tendency
to find someone to blame when bad things happen. This behavior is certainly
very prevalent and easy to observe in children. The burgeoning personal
liability business in our country attests to the pervasiveness of this
tendency among adults as well.
Psychological theory
and research examining this observed human behavior is quite complicated and
incomplete. There is some empirical data emerging to explain why people
blame others but for the most part much of our understanding is based on
theory
and speculation. The authors cited below have developed a theory of blame
prediction based on several situational and personal characteristics.
There are four situational factors that affect the likelihood that
other-blame will occur. The presence
of another at the time of the event increases the probability of that person
being blamed. This is why surgeons and obstetricians seem to be blamed much
more frequently than general practitioners. The former are more likely
to be there when a bad event occurs while the latter deal with insidious or
chronic problems that have no discrete starting point. In education, it is
more likely, for example, that a teacher who retains a student will be blamed
for the student's academic difficulties even ten years later despite the fact
that the problems were there long before the event and continued afterwards.
Saat ada orang bicara bearish (aka bad news/contrarian) , seringkali di serang,
dan semakin diserah saat benar terjadi.
Another factor is the perceived knowledge or authority of the other person.
Individuals
who are knowledgeable are expected to anticipate negative outcomes and avoid
them.
"Seniors" di anggap bagai savior like Jesus. No, they aren't. They also want to
make money like all of us.
A third factor is how well known the other person is to the victim. If the
victim knows the other person well, blame is less likely to result. An
example of this is the greater likelihood of one driver suing another for an
accident. They are usually strangers. It is much less common for an injured
passenger to sue the driver of the car he or she was I since they are more
likely to know each other.
OB lebih kenal Oentoeng/TBumi daripada Elaine, walau kami bicara hal yang sama,
Elaine probability diserang lebih besar.
Finally, the more
severe the outcome of the event, the more likely someone will be blamed.
When two students argue in class, teachers are not usually concerned with who
is to blame. In contrast, when two students fight on the playground and one
is injured, it is more likely that some effort will be expended to determine
who was to blame.
Orang yang bicara bearish saat market at the top akan di blame seakan dia yang
sebabkan market crash.
There are also two
personal factors that are related to the likelihood that other-blame will
occur.
One is the person's ability to find the good or benefit in a bad situation.
This ability is characterized by statements such as "Maybe it is for the
better," and "Some good may come out of this." Similarly,
people who tend to make downward comparisons (e.g., "I am fortunate for
what I have. Others have lost so much more.") are less likely to
blame others.
Be grateful with everything.
The other factor
is the person's attributional style. Some people tend to find fault with
others in many situations regardless of the circumstances. Every teacher
has run across at least one such parent. No matter how illogical the
rationale,
some people cling to the need to blame others for everything bad that
happens.
In contrast, other people have an attributional style which leads to a
tendency
to blame themselves no matter how obviously blameworthy someone else is.
In any given situation,
an analysis of the interplay of these factors can lead to a better
understanding
of when and why other-blame takes place.
Better understanding = better OB.
Elaine
2008/4/2 SamrocK <[EMAIL PROTECTED] com>:
Bingung juga sama member di milist ini. Kok ada yah orang yang menjatuhkan
orang laen hanya karena prediksinya salah?
Ya biarin aja lah. Namanya juga PREDIKSI. Boleh salah kan?!. Terus kenapa ada
yang sewot?
Kalo temen-temen memang pinter ya analisa sendiri lah. Ngapain juga percaya
sama analisa orang. Analisa dan prediksi orang jadikan referensi saja. Jadi
kalaupun salah, nggak perlu menyalahkan orang lain. Karena semua keputusan ada
ditangan anda semua.
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