Kalong78 cuman mo bilang Elaine hebat....
2008/4/3, Hubert Pras <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>: > > Thank you , Elaine for your kindness to depressed people. > > BTW, Indonesianya bagus juga. > Bingung.com > > ----- Pesan Asli ---- > Dari: Elaine <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> > Kepada: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com > Terkirim: Rabu, 2 April, 2008 20:54:16 > Topik: Re: [obrolan-bandar] Mengapa Harus Menyalahkan hasil PREDIKSI ORANG > LAIN??? > > *Banyak trader depressed with the market, harus ada penyaluran agar tidak > gila. Ini Elaine kasih artikel bagus sekali, boleh baca. > * > > *The Psychology of Blame > http://www.mvesc. k12.oh.us/ psychology/ PsychBulletins/ > 11_90.htm<http://www.mvesc.k12.oh.us/psychology/PsychBulletins/11_90.htm> > * > > *People have a tendency to find someone to blame when bad things happen..This > behavior is certainly very prevalent and easy to observe in children. > The burgeoning personal liability business in our country attests to the > pervasiveness of this tendency among adults as well.* > > *Psychological theory and research examining this observed human behavior > is quite complicated and incomplete. There is some empirical data emerging > to explain why people blame others but for the most part much of our > understanding is based on theory and speculation. The authors cited below > have developed a theory of blame prediction based on several situational and > personal characteristics.* > > *There are four situational factors that affect the likelihood that > other-blame will occur. The presence of another at the time of the event > increases the probability of that person being blamed. This is why > surgeons and obstetricians seem to be blamed much more frequently than > general practitioners. The former are more likely to be there when a bad > event occurs while the latter deal with insidious or chronic problems that > have no discrete starting point. In education, it is more likely, for > example, that a teacher who retains a student will be blamed for the > student's academic difficulties even ten years later despite the fact that > the problems were there long before the event and continued afterwards.* > > *Saat ada orang bicara bearish (aka bad news/contrarian) , seringkali di > serang, dan semakin diserah saat benar terjadi.** > * > > *Another factor is the perceived knowledge or authority of the other > person. Individuals who are knowledgeable are expected to anticipate > negative outcomes and avoid them.* > > *"Seniors" di anggap bagai savior like Jesus. No, they aren't. They also > want to make money like all of us.* > ** > *A third factor is how well known the other person is to the victim. If > the victim knows the other person well, blame is less likely to result. An > example of this is the greater likelihood of one driver suing another for an > accident. They are usually strangers. It is much less common for an injured > passenger to sue the driver of the car he or she was I since they are more > likely to know each other.* > > *OB lebih kenal Oentoeng/TBumi daripada Elaine, walau kami bicara hal yang > sama, Elaine probability diserang lebih besar. > * > > *Finally, the more severe the outcome of the event, the more likely > someone will be blamed. When two students argue in class, teachers are > not usually concerned with who is to blame. In contrast, when two students > fight on the playground and one is injured, it is more likely that some > effort will be expended to determine who was to blame.* > > *Orang yang bicara bearish saat market at the top akan di blame seakan dia > yang sebabkan market crash. > * > > *There are also two personal factors that are related to the likelihood > that other-blame will occur. One is the person's ability to find the good > or benefit in a bad situation. This ability is characterized by statements > such as "Maybe it is for the better," and "Some good may come out of this." > Similarly, people who tend to make downward comparisons (e.g., "I am > fortunate for what I have. Others have lost so much more.") are less likely > to blame others.* > > *Be grateful with everything. > * > > *The other factor is the person's attributional style. Some people tend > to find fault with others in many situations regardless of the > circumstances. Every teacher has run across at least one such parent. No > matter how illogical the rationale, some people cling to the need to blame > others for everything bad that happens. In contrast, other people have an > attributional style which leads to a tendency to blame themselves no matter > how obviously blameworthy someone else is.* > > *In any given situation, an analysis of the interplay of these factors can > lead to a better understanding of when and why other-blame takes place.* > > *Better understanding = better OB.* > *Elaine* > > 2008/4/2 SamrocK <[EMAIL PROTECTED] com <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>>: > > > Bingung juga sama member di milist ini. Kok ada yah orang yang > > menjatuhkan orang laen hanya karena prediksinya salah? > > > > Ya biarin aja lah. Namanya juga PREDIKSI. Boleh salah kan?!. Terus > > kenapa ada yang sewot? > > Kalo temen-temen memang pinter ya analisa sendiri lah. Ngapain juga > > percaya sama analisa orang. Analisa dan prediksi orang jadikan referensi > > saja. Jadi kalaupun salah, nggak perlu menyalahkan orang lain. Karena semua > > keputusan ada ditangan anda semua. > > > > > > > > > > > ------------------------------ > Bergabunglah dengan orang-orang yang berwawasan, di bidang Anda di Yahoo! > Answers<http://sg.rd.yahoo.com/mail/id/footer/def/*http://id.answers.yahoo.com/> > > >
