John-

I agree with your assessment. The game industry was
better 20 years ago. But check out this information:

You wrote:

"I'm willing to bet that the 3E books are the only p&p
rpg products to break 50,000 and probably even 30,000
units this year. I can think of dozens of products
that sold that much 20 years ago."

In an old email, Ryan Dancey wrote:

"GenCon is not like any other gaming (or scifi)
convention you've ever been to.  The >turnstile< will
exceed 20,000 unique individuals.  Every hotel
room in Milwaukee is sold out and usually sleeps four
people or more. We're planning on selling 10,000
PHBs."

Holy $h*t! 10,000 PHBs!...and thats just at GenCon.
The PHB--before its release--is already a huge seller
at Amazon. 

Looks like the purchasing base for 3e is plugged in.
People are ready for the renaissance.

Clark




=====
http://www.necromancergames.com
"3rd Edition Rules, 1st Edition Feel"

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