http://www.geostrategy-direct.com/

Syria's new intelligence chief is tied to Assad by marriage, blood and
survival instinct 


Assaf Chawkat
•  Age: 55 
•  Task: Syrian military intelligence chief 
•  Whereabouts: Damascus 

Assaf Chawkat has been given a mission: Prevent Syria from being
expelled from Lebanon and save the regime of President Bashar Assad in
Damascus. 

As Syria's new military intelligence chief, Chawkat's goal is to move
stealthily but quickly to torpedo the Lebanese opposition and convince
the West, particularly the United States that without Damascus,
Lebanon will collapse. For Chawkat, this is more than a professional
task; Chawkat is Assad's brother-in-law. 

Assad and Chawkat have embarked on a strategy that aims to meet U.S.
demands to withdraw from Lebanon without actually doing anything. On
March 5, Assad pledged to withdraw troops from central and northern
Lebanon to the Bekaa Valley. At the same time, Chawkat was ordering
the first attacks on Syria's opponents in Lebanon. 

Lebanese opposition sources said Syria has not demonstrated any
intention of withdrawing either its troops or more than 1 million
laborers from Lebanon. The sources said Syrian intelligence has
increased its presence around Beirut and is preparing a campaign to
undermine stability in the country following the fall of the
pro-Syrian government in Lebanon. 

The Assad regime plans to use Hizbullah and Palestinian mercenaries to
destabilize Lebanon, the sources said. They said Damascus is expected
to order Hizbullah to launch fresh attacks against Israel in an effort
to divert attention away from the anti-Syrian unrest. 
"Assad would rather see Lebanon destroyed than become independent," a
Lebanese opposition leader said. "The next few weeks will see attacks
meant to destabilize the country and frighten the people." 

Indeed, over the past week pro-Syrian forces have been preparing for a
showdown in Lebanon. Hours after Lebanese Prime Minister Omar Karamah
resigned on Feb. 28, his supporters engaged in gun battles with
opposition forces in the northern city of Tripoli. 

Tripoli is the stronghold of Karamah, a veteran Sunni Muslim politician. 
Lebanese opposition sources also said Syrian intelligence has been
recruiting people to battle opposition elements in Lebanon. The
recruitment is taking place in Aleppo as well as in the Palestinian
refugee camp in Neirab in Syria. 
This is where Chawkat comes in. He has already replaced the head of
Syrian intelligence in Lebanon, Brig. Gen. Rustom Ghazali. Ghazali
came under severe criticism in Damascus for his failure to halt
Lebanese protests against Syria. 

Brig. Gen. Munir Jaloud has been appointed to replace Ghazali, Syrian
sources said. Ghazali appeared to have been the fall guy for the
assassination of Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri on Feb. 14 in
Beirut, a killing that galvanized the Lebanese opposition. 

Chawkat might not be blood, but he is clearly a product of the ruling
Alawite sect in Syria. And he has shed blood for the ruling family. 
Born in the coastal city of Tartous in 1950, Chawkat, who came from a
well-to-do family, moved to Damascus and studied law in the early
1970s. He paid an expert to write his dissertation at the University
of Damascus. The dissertation topic was on the Syrian revolt in 1925.
Pulling strings, Chawkat stayed in school and completed his
dissertation in 1976. 

Unable to find work in law, around 1978 Chawkat joined the Syrian
military. As an Alawite and member of the ruling Ba'ath Party, Chawkat
was politically correct. He joined the Alawite elite in the Syrian
army, spying on officers and soldiers and foiling any plots against
the regime. By all accounts, Chawkat impressed his commanders with his
ruthlessness. 
Still, by 1985, Chawkat was becoming impatient with the prospect of
success. His opportunity came when he was introduced to Bushra, the
daughter of President Hafez Assad. Bushra, 10 years younger than
Chawkat, was bright, refined and studying pharmacy at the University
of Damascus. 

Why Bushra chose Chawkat, then a junior officer, is unclear. Indeed,
Bushra's brother and heir-apparent, Basel, objected to Chawkat and
began to harass him. Chawkat was arrested four times by Basel's thugs
in an effort to keep his sister from meeting her suitor. 

But Chawkat didn't back down. He had won the heart of the president's
daughter and apparently what Bushra wanted, Bushra got. In 1994,
Chawkat won out. Basel was killed in a mysterious car crash on his way
to Damascus Airport. Chawkat, then 44 years old, was considering
asking daddy for Bushra's hand. 

Chawkat, however, decided against it. In 1995, Bushra, over her
father's objection, married Chawkat. Assad first tried to hold Chawkat
under house arrest and keep the marriage secret. But the headstrong
Bushra made sure everybody in the family and in the Alawite elite
knew. Finally, the president gave in and decided to accept the marriage. 
Bushra and Chawkat were welcomed to Assad's palace and the president
began to treat Chawkat as his son-in-law. Within a year, Assad
promoted Chawkat to the rank of major general. 

Now, Chawkat moved to befriend Assad's heir-apparent, the second
oldest son, Bashar. Bashar was an opthamologist in London who had no
interest in Syrian politics. But with Basel dead, the ailing president
needed to quickly groom a successor. Chawkat, with the president's
encouragement, taught Bashar the ropes and gave him the confidence to
consider becoming Syria's next president. 

By 1998, Chawkat was regarded as Bashar's Svengali. The president was
accelerating his efforts to groom Bashar and it was clear that Chawkat
would be part of the package. That year, Chawkat helped select Syria's
chief of staff, Gen. Ali Aslan, who replaced the retiring Gen. Hikmat
Shihabi. 
But Chawkat's dream nearly ended in 1999, months before the president
died. The regime was being attacked from several quarters, including
the president's brother, Rifat, who had been vice president during the
1980s but later exiled. Chawkat participated in an October 1999
meeting of the Assad family to determine a strategy for survival.
Chawkat was harsh in his criticism of Rifat. 

This was too much for Bashar's younger brother, Maher. Maher told
Chawkat to shut up and not intervene in what was clearly a family
matter. Chawkat furiously objected and said he was part of the family.
Maher remarked that he would not have been a family member were Basel
still alive. That aroused Chawkat's anger even more. 

Maher, himself a senior officer, decided to settle things once and for
all. He drew his gun and shot Chawkat. Struck in the stomach, Chawkat
keeled over and was rushed to the hospital. He was then taken to Paris
for treatment as rumors of the shooting spread throughout Damascus and
eventually the Arab world. The president allowed Chawkat to return and
was appointed deputy military intelligence chief. He was in power. In
June 2000, Assad died and Bashar took over. 

Bashar chose Chawkat to extract Syria from its biggest crisis since
the revolt by the Muslim Brotherhood in the early 1980s. Lebanon is
Syria's lifeline. More than 1 million Syrian laborers — unable to find
jobs in their own country — work for relatively high wages in Lebanon
and send money to their families. Syria's elite have stakes in many
Lebanese projects. Assad's family gets a hefty kickback from any
Lebanese government project. 

As a result, the prospect that Syria would be expelled from Lebanon
clearly threatens the Assad regime. 
"The Syrian occupation of Lebanon is not only military but also
economic," Israeli Vice Prime Minister Shimon Peres said. "Twenty
percent of Syria's income is derived from the Lebanese economy and 1
million Syrians are working there. These economic factors are the real
reasons Syria does not want to leave." 
Assad has been cagey. He has neither announced a timetable for
withdrawal nor clarified whether Syrian troops would return to their
country. Since 2001, Syria has reduced its military presence in
Lebanon from 40,000 to about 14,000 troops. 

Still, the pressure on the regime continues to build. Lebanese sources
reported attacks on Syrian laborers and military installations in
Lebanon. The sources said Lebanese troops have been stationed outside
three Syrian military buildings in Beirut. These buildings came under
threat of attack over the weekend.
 
The headquarters of Syrian military intelligence in northern Lebanon
was also attacked over the weekend. The attack in Kobeyate took place
only hours after Assad's speech. 

In the eastern Lebanese town of Baalbek, a bomb was hurled toward a
Syrian military outpost. Nobody was hurt.
 
Chawkat has been under pressure to produce results quickly in Lebanon. 
If he fails, he could be in trouble. He does not have any power base
of his own and does not come from a prominent Alawite family. Indeed,
most of his rivals are Alawites. His political survival depends on his
usefulness to Assad. Chawkat's job is to protect Assad from everything
from the presidential family to the man on the street. Reform is not a
word in Chawkat's lexicon. 

Over the last three days, pro-Syrian forces have been operating
throughout Lebanon in defiance of the Lebanese Army. In Beirut, gunmen
tried to massacre people in a Christian suburb, while in southern
Beirut Hizbullah organized demonstrations in support of Bashar.
Hizbullah also organized a pro-Syrian demonstration in Nabatiyeh in
the south. 

The problem is that there are signs that Chawkat was the one who got
Syria into this mess. Lebanese opposition sources believe Chawkat
ordered the killing of Hariri. The prominent Kuwaiti daily A-Siyassa
reported on Feb. 19 that Chawkat recruited such aides as Bahjat
Suleiman, a Syrian intelligence officer involved in dirty operations,
and Jamil Al Sayed, the head of Lebanese intelligence. Al Sayed has
been regarded as Syria's chief thug in Lebanon. 

Two days after Hariri was killed, Assad appointed Chawkat head of
Syrian military intelligence. The move is seen as the final knot in
the murky relationship between the president and his Svengali. If
Assad goes, then Chawkat's future is doomed. Assad's nightmare is that
he will depart and leave his brother-in-law in power. 









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