<http://www.nytimes.com/2005/03/20/opinion/20friedman.html?th=&pagewanted=print&position=>

The New York Times

March 20, 2005
OP-ED COLUMNIST

A Nobel for Sistani
 By THOMAS L. FRIEDMAN


s we approach the season of the Nobel Peace Prize, I would like to nominate
the spiritual leader of Iraq's Shiites, Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani, for
this year's medal. I'm serious.

 If there is a decent outcome in Iraq, President Bush will deserve, and
receive, real credit for creating the conditions for democratization there,
by daring to topple Saddam Hussein. But we tend to talk about Iraq as if it
is all about us and what we do. If some kind of democracy takes root there,
it will also be due in large measure to the instincts and directives of the
dominant Iraqi Shiite communal leader, Ayatollah Sistani. It was Mr.
Sistani who insisted that there had to be a direct national election in
Iraq, rejecting the original goofy U.S. proposal for regional caucuses. It
was Mr. Sistani who insisted that the elections not be postponed in the
face of the Baathist-fascist insurgency. And it was Mr. Sistani who ordered
Shiites not to retaliate for the Sunni Baathist and jihadist attempts to
drag them into a civil war by attacking Shiite mosques and massacring
Shiite civilians.

 In many ways, Mr. Sistani has played the role for President George W. Bush
that Nelson Mandela and Mikhail Gorbachev played for his father, President
George H. W. Bush. It was Mr. Mandela's instincts and leadership - in
keeping the transition to black rule in South Africa nonviolent - that
helped the Bush I administration and its allies bring that process in for a
soft landing. And it was Mr. Gorbachev's insistence that the dismantling of
the Soviet Empire, and particularly East Germany, be nonviolent that
brought the Soviet Union in for a soft landing. In international relations,
as in sports, it is often better to be lucky than good. And having the luck
to have history deal you a Mandela, a Gorbachev or a Sistani as your
partner at a key historical juncture - as opposed to a Yasir Arafat or a
Robert Mugabe - can make all the difference between U.S. policy looking
brilliant and U.S. policy looking futile.

Mr. Sistani has also contributed three critical elements to the democracy
movement in the wider Arab world. First, he built his legitimacy around not
just his religious-scholarly credentials but around a politics focused on
developing Iraq for Iraqis. To put it another way, says the Middle East
expert Stephen P. Cohen, "Sistani did not build his politics on negating
someone else." Saddam Hussein built his politics around negating America,
Iran and Israel. Arafat built his whole life around negating Zionism -
rarely, if ever, speaking about Palestinian economic development or
education. The politics of negation has a deep and rich history in the
Middle East, because so many leaders there are illegitimate and need to
negate someone to justify their rule. What Mr. Sistani, the late Lebanese
Sunni leader Rafik Hariri and the new Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas
all have in common is that they rose to power by focusing on a positive
agenda for their own people, not negating another.

 The second thing that Mr. Sistani did was put the people and their
aspirations at the center of Iraqi politics, not some narrow elite or
self-appointed clergy (see: Iran), which is what the Iraqi election was all
about. In doing so he has helped to legitimize "people power" in a region
where it was unheard of. In Lebanon, Egypt and Palestine - where Hamas
recently said it would take part in parliamentary elections - the ballot
box and popular support, not just the gun, are showing signs of becoming
real sources of legitimacy. Both Hezbollah and Hamas will have to prove -
with turnout, not terrorism - that they are entitled to a larger slice of
power.

 Third, and maybe most important, Mr. Sistani brings to Arab politics a
legitimate, pragmatic interpretation of Islam, one that says Islam should
inform politics and the constitution, but clerics should not rule.

 The process of democratizing the Arab world is going to be long and bumpy.
But the chances for success are immeasurably improved when we have partners
from within the region who are legitimate, but have progressive instincts.
That is Mr. Sistani. Lady Luck has shined on us by keeping alive this
75-year-old ayatollah, who resides in a small house in a narrow alley in
Najaf and almost never goes out the door. How someone with his instincts
and wisdom could have emerged from the train wreck that was Saddam
Hussein's Iraq, I will never know. All I have to say is: May he live to be
120 - and give that man a Nobel Prize.

 Copyright 2
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R. A. Hettinga <mailto: [EMAIL PROTECTED]>
The Internet Bearer Underwriting Corporation <http://www.ibuc.com/>
44 Farquhar Street, Boston, MA 02131 USA
"... however it may deserve respect for its usefulness and antiquity,
[predicting the end of the world] has not been found agreeable to
experience." -- Edward Gibbon, 'Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire'


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