Behind the cult of Chavez
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Date: Tue, 31 Jan 2006 14:04:27 -0000
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http://www.isn.ethz.ch/news/sw/details.cfm?ID=3D14446

Behind the cult of Chavez

ISN Security Watch's Sam Logan searches for the cult of personality
that keeps President Hugo Chavez in popular power in Caracas, Venezuela.

 Venezuela Information and Justice Ministry=20
By Sam Logan in Caracas for ISN Security Watch (19/01/06)

I boarded a plane in Buenos Aires, Argentina for a long flight to
Caracas, Venezuela. The plane was packed with Venezuelans. Some of
them, judging from their dress, manner of speech, and number of
electronic gadgets, had traveled to Argentina as part of Venezuelan
President Hugo Chavez's security detail for the Mar del Plata Summit.
The rest, farmers in shabby clothes with worn, wrinkled hands, had
been sent to fill the stands with Venezuelan blood, hot enough to
shout in favor of their leader.

The elderly lady sitting next to me said Venezuelan state agents had
recruited her from her small family farm just hours before takeoff.
She was to attend the summit as a Chavez fan, watching her leader
stand side by side with Argentine President Nestor Kirchner and
then-Bolivian presidential candidate Evo Morales to denounce US
foreign policy in the region and promote Chavez's region-wide call for
socialism.=20

She and her husband referred to Chavez endearingly as "Huguito", or
"little Hugo", and said state agents had instructed them as to when
and how to cheer for "Huguito" in Argentina.

Observers have long talked about Chavez's cult of personality, but it
was the first time I had seen it first hand, and in the genuine,
cheerful faces of these small-time farmers.

Chavez, who has served as Venezuela's president for nearly a decade,
faces elections in December 2006, and all indications are that he will
secure another six years in power. For all intents and purposes, he is
the president, the government, and all but an autocrat.
For six hours, the elderly couple talked about their beloved leader,
who would one day deliver them from misery.

"Chavez represents the typical Venezuelan," the couple explained. "He
grew up in the county in a house with a dirt floor. Raised by his
grandmother, Huguito was able to get into the military academy because
he was an exceptional baseball player, not because he had money."
Most Venezuelans are poor like Chavez was before he became president.
This is the part of Chavez's personality that the Venezuelan
government promotes, and it is why so many Venezuelans love him.

Chavez has been harshly criticized by large parts of Venezuela's
middle and upper classes referred to as the "opposition". He has been
accused of electoral fraud, human rights violations, and political
repression. He has survived a brief 2002 coup and a failed 2004 recall
referendum. The poorer classes tend to view him as a socialist
liberator, while the middle and upper classes tend to view him as an
authoritarian demagogue. Regardless of the labels, Chavez is one of
Latin America's most complex and controversial figures.

>From Mexico to Argentina, poor Latin Americans appreciate his
rhetoric, his charisma, and talk of plans for a better future. He
makes promises and keeps them. Within Venezuela, Chavez has setup
medical clinics for the poor. Located in the shantytowns that surround
Caracas, Cuban doctors run the clinics; service is free of charge.
State-run markets, where the prices for basic food staples are
controlled and very low, are popular with Chavez's supporters.=20

And his talk of land appropriation, a very difficult promise to keep,
has moved forward, giving poor, landless Venezuelans hope that one
day, they will have their own land.

Chavez is the keeper of the faith. He has spearheaded a movement in
Venezuela and abroad, that, more than any other substantial outcome,
has delivered hope to millions of impoverished Latinos.

At the airport outside of Caracas, one is abruptly introduced to the
loud, badgering, and careening nature of Venezuelan culture. But amid
the constant motion and liveliness, and despite the faith in Chavez, a
growing sense of doom-and-gloom seems to have descended upon Caracas.
Having lived in major cities in Argentina and Brazil, I have grown
accustomed to the red bricks and corrugated tin roofs of South
America's slums. But the shantytowns in Caracas were something
different and more depressing. The sheer mass of slums and the length
to which they spread forth from the hills surrounding Caracas, down
the slopes, all the way to the coast, was depressingly impressive.

These shacks seem to cling to the side of the hill with little more
than sheer will and some luck. Their inhabitants represent the mass of
people who largely support Chavez. They are the first to praise their
leader for the reduced prices of meat, chicken, bread, and eggs, and
free medical care. Their children fill Chavez's rank and file of loyal
soldiers.

They love "Huguito", placing all their hope in one very charismatic
man who seems to have all the answers. Yet their votes are all that
remain of Venezuelan democracy, which, with each election cycle, is
chipped away at just enough to keep alarmists on their toes and
pragmatists from worrying.

Talking to some of these Chavez supporters, I was surprised to learn
that their allegiance was not as solid as it would seem. Many here
love that he claims to represent Venezuela's poor. But they are quick
to add that it seems that only those who live in the cities - and a
limited number of pockets of rural poverty - receive attention from
the state.

 They are also quick to mention that the Cuban doctors are not what
Chavez says they are. More than one Chavez supporter told me that the
doctors in the Caracas slums were little more than medical students,
trained to the level of a nurse.
Later on in my journey through Caracas, I met with representatives of
the "middle class" who do not support Chavez.

I met with a former vice minister in the Venezuelan Energy Ministry at
a downtown caf=E9, just far enough from the hustling street to make
conversation without shouting. Sitting in a far corner of the air
conditioned caf=E9, he ordered both of us round after round of coffee
and explained in fast-paced Spanish the realities of living among the
opposition.

The former vice minister worked in the nuclear studies section of
Venezuela's Energy Ministry and is now a professor with the Central
University in Caracas. We spoke only a little about Chavez's nuclear
ambitions before falling into a topic that began with what many in
Caracas simply refer to as "the list".

Chavez's nuclear ambitions are more talk than reality, he said, adding
that there was really nothing to talk about because Venezuela did not
have the scientific brain trust to make it happen.
"The poor bastards have all left," he said. "Why? Because they were
finished with working for the Chavez government, and the few who
remained signed the list."

The list is a record of signatures made by those Venezuelans who
opposed Chavez's presidency in late 2003. At the time, Chavez's
political opposition had enough momentum to attract millions of
signatures needed to call a nation-wide referendum. Since the list was
delivered to the National Electoral Council, those who signed it
became persona non grata for the Chavez administration. And it was
soon after the referendum vote in August 2004 that strange things
started happening.

"Chavez took that referendum very personally," the nuclear scientist
said. "Everyone on that list is an enemy to Chavez and an enemy to the
Venezuelan state in his eyes."

Rumors are that those who signed the list became part of a register
that represents the core of Chavez's opposition.

Over time, members of that register noticed their lives becoming more
difficult. Business licenses were not renewed, applications for
passports and visas were "lost", strange bills for unknown taxes
appeared in the mail.

As I listened to the stories about this lawyer, and that merchant, the
daughter of the cousin of some friend, and her boyfriend's father, I
realized that many of these stories may not be true, or were partial
truths or rumors. But the fact remained that the former government
employee sitting before me clearly believed those stories, and his
speech was so fraught with anxiety that he brought his fist down on
the table, spilling his coffee on my notepad.

While he failed to completely convince me of the veracity of these
stories, he did manage to convince me that he, along with thousands or
perhaps even millions of Venezuelans, believed them to be true. And
that is what really matters.

If millions of middle class Venezuelans believe that their government
is actively trying to make life more difficult for them, then they
also believe there is no social contact between civilian and state. If
Venezuelans believe the government should be changed, they have the
constitutional right to organize a referendum and recall vote. The man
sitting before me was convinced that he and millions of others had
been punished for exercising their rights as citizens of a democratic
state.
"What worries me the most is the future state of Venezuela for our
children. What Chavez is doing to me and my peers now will only last a
little while. Chavez will only last a little while, but what he is
doing to divide Venezuelans, to destroy our economy, and to undermine
our belief in our government and democratic system will take decades,
maybe longer, to correct," he said.

Returning to my hotel in the broad backseat of an old Chrysler, my
taxi driver, an Italian who immigrated to Caracas over 40 years ago,
complained about life under Chavez. When I asked about "the list", he
exploded in anger. He had signed the list and was convinced that was
why he was still waiting for a tax receipt that would allow him to
circulate in Caracas as a legal taxi driver.

Before the referendum, it took about two months for his tax receipt to
come in the mail. This time around, he had already been waiting six
months for his 2004 receipt, and the last time he called to complain,
he was told he had never paid his taxes and would have to pay in full
again or risk losing his driver's license.
I asked him if he would vote in the upcoming elections. "Hell no, I'm
a marked man in this town. There is no way my vote would be counted,"
he said.
"They know my name is on the list, so it doesn't matter who I try to
vote for, they'll just tell me I'm not registered to vote when I
arrive at the [voting] station."

By this time I was getting the feeling that abstention would become a
big problem among the middle and upper classes.

The Venezuelan opposition is a relatively small group of middle- and
upper-class Venezuelans who are divided and in need of direction.
Compared to the very focused mass of Chavez supporters, the opposition
is fragmented and more of a diaspora throughout the Western Hemisphere
than a political force in Venezuela. Chavez supporters currently form
a solid political base, and Chavez rewards them with cheap food, free
medicine, and maybe a plot of land, for their support.

What Chavez does not preach about is the truth of his fragile economic
situation. The Venezuelan economy shrunk in 2002 and 2003 by 8.9 per
cent and 9.2 per cent, respectively. Current claims that the
Venezuelan economy is growing may be true, but it's still recuperating
from years of shrinkage. Roughly one-third of Venezuela's gross
domestic product is from the sale of oil, some 80 per cent of
Venezuela's exports. The day the price of oil falls, Chavez will have
a very hard time keeping the largesse of his social programs afloat.

When the well of socialist security begins to dry up, this whole
system that Chavez has created will come crumbling down and his
support base will revolt. If that day comes, those who form the core
of his support base will revolt first, not the middle class
Venezuelans who speak out against the president in a disorganized manner.

The first to revolt will be the taxi drivers, the bus drivers, the
waiters, mechanics, and others who live in all but impoverished
conditions, but who still hold on to hope that Chavez will be their
deliverer.

The minute they lose that hope, they will take to the streets with all
the firebrand fervor they now use to support "Huguito".
Sam Logan is an investigative journalist who has covered security,
energy, politics, economics, organized crime, terrorism, and black
markets in South America since July 1999. He has reported from
Santiago, Brasilia, Sao Paulo, and Rio de Janeiro. He currently lives
in Buenos Aires. Sam holds a Master's in International Policy Studies,
and has earned a specialization in Security and Development in South
America.=20








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