The Islamic Revolution in Lebanon 

http://beirut2bayside.blogspot.com/2007/05/islamic-revolution-in-lebanon.htm
l


 
<http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/f/f2/Sepah.jpg/150px-Sepah.j
pg>   <http://www.dcchapter.com/flagguide_body_files/image004.jpg> 







One of the many problematic assumptions about Hezbollah that we often hear
is that they have given up on their project to create a Khomeinist state in
Lebanon. The "proof" we're offered is their supposed "tolerance" of skimpily
dressed women and of Lebanon's open social life, and thus they do not seek
to impose their own ideology on the rest of Lebanon.

Others will add that Hezbollah recognizes that the project of an Khomeinist
state is not easily achieved in Lebanon due to its pluralist nature, and so
it must be a "long-term" one (leaving aside the fact that this only confirms
the endurance of the project!). Needless to say, proponents of this view
completely ignore the velayat e-faqih (rule of the jurisprudent) and its
consequences.

The problem with this view is that it reduces the project to a matter of
strict Islamic mores. This view, therefore, completely misses the point.
What if establishing the Khomeinist state is not to be primarily defined by
strict Islamist ethics (at least, as they say, "at this stage")? What if
what's actually being sought after is a cloning of the structures of the
Islamic Revolution regime in Iran (namely the Pasdaran and the supreme
guide), and the complete destruction or mutilation of the structures of the
Lebanese system?

We are often told that Hezbollah seeks to "reform" the Lebanese system to
improve the share of the Lebanese Shiites. Emile Hokayem of the Stimson
Center has  <http://www.stimson.org/pub.cfm?id=348> argued persuasively that
this is a myth (as has Michael Young in various op-eds in The Daily Star).
Pluralism in the Shiite community and the extension of state authority into
(Shiite) Hezbollah-controlled areas are hardly in Hezbollah's interests. In
fact, the prevention of that development in the Shiite community is
precisely Hezbollah's tool to promote its project.

Hezbollah strives for one thing and one thing only: maintaining its armed
status and parallel existence both within and above the system. Think Iran's
Pasdaran. In other words, Hezbollah has not joined the political process in
order to integrate in it, but rather, to use it to protect its anomalous
existence outside it. Under the Syrian occupation, Hezbollah was able to
solidify this status, and it used its weapons as a means of intimidation.
They and the Syrians then imposed an entire socio-political culture (based
on intimidation) to support it. This is now no more.


Here's where we started seeing glimpses of what the project aims to achieve.
Tactically, Hezbollah might set minimum goals, all of which however are part
of the strategic vision. Existing in a normal political process is not in
Hezbollah's interests, and Syria's no longer there to forcibly bend the
system to Hezbollah's needs. Therefore, it has sought to completely mutilate
the system. If the parliamentary configuration is not to its liking, then
Hezbollah will shut down parliamentary life altogether. There goes the major
Lebanese institution. What do we have in its place? A "Shura" council of
sorts, where Hasan Nasrallah enjoys the status of the "supreme guide" who
will have the final say on all decisions.


If that doesn't work, start a war, as Hezbollah also controls (and seeks to
maintain and enshrine) the exclusivity to decide war and peace (a collective
decision).

What about the executive? Hezbollah seeks to gain veto power in the cabinet,
in order to transfer that same order to the executive branch. It will also
seek to enshrine its right to continue a parallel armed existence in the
ministerial statement of such a cabinet. Even when Hezbollah, under duress,
agreed to a government plan that called for a state monopoly over arms and
state control over all Lebanese territory, it now seeks to eliminate that
agreement (as Emile Lahoud tried to do at the last Arab summit in Riyadh),
which was enshrined in international law in UNSC Resolution 1701 (which
recalls the earlier UNSCR 1559).

But then, what is the reference for political life in Lebanon? Surely the
constitution. Wrong. The reference, as Hezbollah's Mohammad Raad
<http://www.naharnet.com/domino/tn/NewsDesk.nsf/Lebanon/3C6ECD008778BBC1C225
72CE0020E148?OpenDocument> declared yesterday, is the document that
Hezbollah drafted with Gen. Michel Aoun. Hezbollah only abides by its own
laws. Or, if you prefer, as Hasan Nasrallah put it, it
<http://www.elaph.com/ElaphWeb/Politics/2007/2/211923.htm> abides by
"religious laws" (which, as his deputy Naim Qasim
<http://www.furl.net/forward.jsp?id=19022892> explains, means the velayat
e-faqih). But hey, remember, they don't really want to implement that in
Lebanon!

Raad declared that only a president who abides by Hezbollah's constitution
would be deemed legitimate (by Hezbollah, not parliament!). But it is
parliament that elects presidents in Lebanon. Not anymore, Hezbollah and
Aoun have declared. If Hezbollah doesn't control all three institutions,
then it will make sure to destroy the country until it does. There's no such
thing as an electoral cycle or peaceful rotation of power. And meanwhile,
they will propose every possible alternative to Lebanese institutions that
would set the precedent for the latter's demise and the introduction of
Hezbollah law. But hey, they're "integrating" into the political process!

Recently, people jumped up and down that Jumblat "made an opening" to
Hezbollah. Apparently they didn't read what Jumblat actually said. Jumblat
said that only the state will protect Lebanon, and the state alone will
protect Hezbollah, once it's agreed that they would integrate their militia
into the Army, thereby abandoning their parallel existence and autonomous
decision making. He added that that would happen once we agree to where we
left off in the national dialog sessions. And where did we leave off? When
we were discussing the status of Hezbollah's arms. It was at that time that
Hezbollah decided to launch a coup by initiating a war with Israel, then
turning its tactics inwards.

Very clearly, Hezbollah and Syria's orphans in Lebanon were not pleased with
that statement. The pro-Hezbollah and pro-Syrian rag al-Diyar
<http://www.journaladdiyar.com/Article_Front.aspx?ID=51289> put it best,
decrying precisely this part in Jumblatt's statement and saying that instead
he should have said that the state and Hezbollah would both, in parallel,
protect Lebanon (not the "state"). This is verbatim Hezbollah's vision, as
<http://yalibnan.com/site/archives/2007/02/hezbollah_chief_1.php> evidenced
by one of Nasrallah's rabid speeches where he said: "The Resistance will
always stand by the Lebanese army, with our weapons, men and blood ... to
defend Lebanon." (Emphasis mine.)

The word "by" here is of essence. In Arabic it's "ila janib", which
literally means "next to." I.e., Hezbollah will always be "next to," or,
"parallel to" the state.

Where does this come from? The Islamic Revolution in Iran. More precisely,
from Hezbollah's midwife, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, or the
Pasdaran.

The status of the Pasdaran in Iran is pretty much what Hezbollah aspires to
achieve in Lebanon, with Nasrallah assuming the role of the supreme guide
(see also this old
<http://beirutbeltway.blogspot.com/2005/12/who-is-allowing-hizbullah-become.
html> post by Abu Kais). Mind you, that Iran too has a parliament, a
presidency, and a cabinet. This is the system Hezbollah is after, and it is
very much the Khomeinist state. It would also be the end of the Lebanese
state. Perhaps, we'll become like Cyprus.
(F)AIR USE NOTICE: All original content and/or articles and graphics in this
message are copyrighted, unless specifically noted otherwise. All rights to
these copyrighted items are reserved. Articles and graphics have been placed
within for educational and discussion purposes only, in compliance with
"Fair Use" criteria established in Section 107 of the Copyright Act of 1976.
The principle of "Fair Use" was established as law by Section 107 of The
Copyright Act of 1976. "Fair Use" legally eliminates the need to obtain
permission or pay royalties for the use of previously copyrighted materials
if the purposes of display include "criticism, comment, news reporting,
teaching, scholarship, and research." Section 107 establishes four criteria
for determining whether the use of a work in any particular case qualifies
as a "fair use". A work used does not necessarily have to satisfy all four
criteria to qualify as an instance of "fair use". Rather, "fair use" is
determined by the overall extent to which the cited work does or does not
substantially satisfy the criteria in their totality. If you wish to use
copyrighted material for purposes of your own that go beyond 'fair use,' you
must obtain permission from the copyright owner. For more information go to:
http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/17/107.shtml 

THIS DOCUMENT MAY CONTAIN COPYRIGHTED MATERIAL.  COPYING AND DISSEMINATION
IS PROHIBITED WITHOUT PERMISSION OF THE COPYRIGHT OWNERS.

 


[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]



--------------------------
Want to discuss this topic?  Head on over to our discussion list, [EMAIL 
PROTECTED]
--------------------------
Brooks Isoldi, editor
[EMAIL PROTECTED]

http://www.intellnet.org

  Post message: osint@yahoogroups.com
  Subscribe:    [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Unsubscribe:  [EMAIL PROTECTED]


*** FAIR USE NOTICE. This message contains copyrighted material whose use has 
not been specifically authorized by the copyright owner. OSINT, as a part of 
The Intelligence Network, is making it available without profit to OSINT 
YahooGroups members who have expressed a prior interest in receiving the 
included information in their efforts to advance the understanding of 
intelligence and law enforcement organizations, their activities, methods, 
techniques, human rights, civil liberties, social justice and other 
intelligence related issues, for non-profit research and educational purposes 
only. We believe that this constitutes a 'fair use' of the copyrighted material 
as provided for in section 107 of the U.S. Copyright Law. If you wish to use 
this copyrighted material for purposes of your own that go beyond 'fair use,' 
you must obtain permission from the copyright owner.
For more information go to:
http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/17/107.shtml 
Yahoo! Groups Links

<*> To visit your group on the web, go to:
    http://groups.yahoo.com/group/osint/

<*> Your email settings:
    Individual Email | Traditional

<*> To change settings online go to:
    http://groups.yahoo.com/group/osint/join
    (Yahoo! ID required)

<*> To change settings via email:
    mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
    mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]

<*> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
    [EMAIL PROTECTED]

<*> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to:
    http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
 

Reply via email to