Liars and Lies <http://www.redstate.com/erick/2011/04/25/liars-and-lies/>
- Posted by Erick Erickson <http://www.redstate.com/erick/>  (Profile
<http://www.redstate.com/users/erick/> )  - Monday, April 25th at 5:00AM EDT


Reporters, Democrats, and even some Republicans have begun repeating an
infectious lie in the prelude to the debt ceiling debate. Secretary of
Treasury Tim Geithner started it off and it has been repeated by reporters
in print, on radio, and on television, including Fox News.

The lie is very simple: a failure to raise the debt ceiling will cause a
default on American debt.

This is utterly and categorically a lie. Anyone who says otherwise is a
liar.

As Senator Pat Toomey noted the other day
<http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2011/04/22/the_truth_about_the_de
bt_ceiling_and_default_109633.html> :  Next year, about 7 percent of all
projected federal government expenditures will go to interest on our debt.
Tax revenue is projected to cover at least 70 percent of all government
expenditures. So, under any circumstances, there will be plenty of money to
pay our creditors.

Moreover, as the Congressional Research Service has noted, the Treasury
secretary himself has the discretion to decide which bills to pay first in
the event that a cash flow shortage occurs. 

Nonetheless, the media and Democrats keep repeating the lie. And it is a
lie.

Veronique de Rugy and Jason Fichtner chronicled debt ceiling fights
<http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2011/mar/1/dont-raise-the-debt-ceiling/
?page=1>  in the Washington Times and, from their writing, we can
categorically show it to be a lie to claim a failure to raise the debt
ceiling will cause a default on American debt obligations.

In 1985, Congress waited nearly three months after the debt limit was
reached before authorizing a permanent increase. In 1995, 4 1/2 months
passed between hitting the ceiling and congressional action. And in 2002,
Congress delayed raising the debt ceiling for three months. In each case,
the U.S. and the economy survived.

Not only did the economy survive, but the United States did not default on
its debt obligations, the United States did not lose its credit rating, and
interest rates did not go up as a result of the default.

To say that failing to raise the debt ceiling will cause a default is a lie
and anyone who says it is a liar.

If we fail to raise the debt ceiling and do default, it will not because
because of a failure to raise the debt ceiling. It will be because Barack
Obama and Tim Geithner chose to default for political gain. 

Again, as Senator Toomey points out
<http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2011/04/22/the_truth_about_the_de
bt_ceiling_and_default_109633.html> :  [A]s the Congressional Research
Service has noted, the Treasury secretary himself has the discretion to
decide which bills to pay first in the event that a cash flow shortage
occurs. Thus, it is he who would have to consciously, and needlessly, choose
to default on our debt if the debt ceiling is not promptly raised upon
reaching it. It takes a lot of chutzpah to preemptively blame congressional
Republicans for a default only he could cause.



[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]



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