It seems like a long shot but I don't think it can be ruled out:
(1) Cheney's base is passionate and committed. Cheney  knows how to  
fire them up.
(2) Obama's base is increasingly demoralized. Increasingly Obama seems  
to only know how to piss them off.
(3) The media, and I don't just mean Fox News, threats Cheney and his  
daughter with great respect.
(4) Americans turn on presidents who lose wars and no outside power  
has ever won in Afghanistan.
<http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/09/01/cheney-in-2012-some-key-g_n_273470.html
 
 >
--
For blocks are better cleft with wedges,
Than tools of sharp or subtle edges,
And dullest nonsense has been found
By some to be the most profound.
-Samuel Butler,



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