On Fri, Jan 10, 2014 at 3:12 AM, ianG <[email protected]> wrote:
>> I gather Africa does a lot of things with simple text messaging on
>> simple non-I/Android/MS/Unix phones. What is their path for phone tech
>> advancement, and when?
>
> Android.  50% market share in 2 years.

Makes sense, that these markets move to adopt such relatively
open and less costly platforms. That can only help to get rid of the
closed/pricey ones in the west, even if only from driving hw makers
to produce such devices in their lineup.

> Also, I would say this:  be very cautious of stuff you read in the western
> press.  It's highly filtered, highly ignorant.  In order to understand what
> is happening in a particular region, you have to go there.

Of course.

> totally different assumptions and totally different working practices.

Agreed. Yet I think people's need to communicate / share securely is the same
in all places, even if the motivations as applied are different. So whatever is
written for each class of hardware should have relatively equal takeup wherever
deployed. It would seem a waste of effort to do different verticals
within each class.

> In the old days, what happened in the west happened later elsewhere.
>
> However, the west rather shot itself in the foot in the 2000s with their
> great financial folly.  So growth has stalled, and the West has entered a
> sort of Japanese lost decades phase:  In 1990, when the bubble burst on the
> Japanese economic miracle, the authorities refused to clean out the bad
> banks, so the economy flatlined ... indeed since then.

Yes, lot of footshooting in the west these days... arrogant and foolish.

> But not a lot of this effects the developing/emerging world.  So their
> growth is unabated.  So we are seeing the beginnings of a flip.  It's not so
> much that you could call the end of western civilisation as you know it, but
> it is enough to challenge the old world order: western->rest is now upset.

Even disregarting footshooting, as billion person regions come up
to speed, simple demand of population count will drive this change.
If they demand open hardware and software, that's a win.
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