On Thu, May 10, 2012 at 11:53:30PM -0600, steve harley wrote:
> on 2012-05-10 14:25 John Francis wrote
> >On Thu, May 10, 2012 at 12:13:20PM -0600, steve harley wrote:
> >>
> >>* advances in electronic viewfinders
> >
> >Also only of interest to the niche market
> 
> i'm surprised you'd say that; i expect optical viewfinders to be in
> the minority fairly soon, especially as the enhancements EVFs can
> offer really start to shine; and EVFs separate from the camera body
> will add to the appeal

That's still a pretty small niche.  Let's face it - by now, the
camera in a mobile phone seems to be good enough for most people.

Only a small fraction of the market want anything better than that.
And only a small fraction of those want anything better than a
compact point-and-shoot. Most don't care about a viewfinder at all;
the rear screen on the camera is good enough, and the extra size of
any viewfinder limits potential sales (not to mention the cost).

While having a viewfinder separate from the camera might sound like
a cool feature, it's not really of much use for everyday purposes.
You've still got to hold the camera body and the viewfinder; it's
a lot easier to do that if they are together in one unit. Where
are the operating controls going to go? There's no good answer.

*I'd* like a way to use my tablet as a wireless remote viewfinder
and controller for my camera, but I'm also prepared to buy camera
bodies that cost over $1000. That puts me in a pretty small minority.

The low end of the market continues creep upwards in performance.
That means there's a shrinking potenmtial market for anything better;
each increase in low-end image quality takes another bite out of the
customer base for better systems. This, in turn, means the development
costs for such systems have to be recouped from a smaller number of
sales, which pushes up the price even higher. So a few more of those
potential sales are lost because the price premium doesn't deliver
enough perceived benefi, which further reduces the market size ....

In any case, I fear still photography is rapidly becoming obsolete;
I wonder how long it will be before still photographers will be as
uncommon as film (or B&W) is today.  If people are shooting video,
it will be displayed on television screens. It will be some time
before anything capable of better than HD resolution is affordable.


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