I really think that the downward price pressure on the 645D is more
attributable to the 645z and Canon's mega monster pixel 5D variants than
the promise of a Pentax K-FF. Medium format is a market segment of it's
own.
Fact is, that the Canon 5Ds is really a medium format substitute for
photographers who've never shot medium format film, and subsequently
don't know what medium format is good for, (besides resolution), and
Canon shooters...
Sure there are cameras using Sony's 42mp 36x24mm but really the same
thing applies. If you know what medium format is good for there is no
substitute. If all you need are megapixels...
Finally, really how much could Ricoh sell the 645D for since the 645z
sells for about 6K which is less than some FF DSLRs and FF Mirrorless
cameras sell for.
On 1/13/2016 8:23 PM, Darren Addy wrote:
I find the price trend on the 645D to be interesting (if my empty
pocketbook says I'm not quite tempted yet). It seems that there are
more 645D on the market recently, and I it occurs to me that some are
probably upgrading to the 645z and some are possibly selling in
anticipation of getting the Pentax FF (or moving to some other FF
system). We can't discount the fact that as time moves on the 645D
becomes older and older technology, which also accounts for some of
the price slide.
I don't think we are terribly far away from seeing used 645D bodies
selling for under $2K. It is possible that the FF Pentax's actual
introduction may even exert a little upward pressure back on the 645D,
depending upon it's price and specs: One might be deciding between the
latest Pentax technology K-1 at 36 or 42 MP for $2895 vs the 40MP 645D
for a chunk less.
If this happens, the price progression would be:
Flagship APS-C: K-3 II
2nd Generation 645D
Full frame: K-1
Medium format 1st generation: 645z
Thoughts?
--
I don't want to achieve immortality through my work; I want to achieve
immortality through not dying.
-- Woody Allen
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