I don't know my Schumpeter very well, or long-wave theory either, but
computers and related instruments have been around for quite a long time
now - in use by governments since the 1950s, and by business since the
1960s. Did earlier transformative technologies - steam engine, railroad,
car, radio - take so long to have a long-wave upkick?

Greenspan was citing a paper recently - is this what Rakesh meant by:

>Paul David makes in his widely circulated paper
>comparing the dynamo and the computer

- that asserted that it took decades for the electric motor to have an
impact on productivity. But what about the other world-transforming
gadgets? Did they operate with a delay of 30 or 40 years?

Doug

--

Doug Henwood
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