The UN publishes annual projections in its World Economic Survey (issued in July), drawing on U of Penn's Project Link (Lawrence Klein). The IMF publishes projections two or three times a year in its Annual Survey (annual, with one or two supplements). Both give global projections with regional breakdowns (plus maybe U.S., some other G7, China). I am not sure of the forward length. It used to be ten years, but I think that's seen as a bit brave these days. Has anyone seen independent retrospectives of the accuracy of these estimates? I recall that the IMF published an assessment a couple of year's ago - even 1 or 2 year forecasts didn't seem to be too good (not so clear from the complicated presentation of the review; they seemed concerned to fend off the charge that the Fund's projections are biased to 'prosperity is just around the corner') At 07:03 PM 4/2/97 -0800, Max B. Sawicky wrote: >> Reply-to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] >> From: Jim Westrich <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> >> Subject: [PEN-L:9301] National GDP Projections for 2010 > >> I was wondering if anyone could point me in the direction of projections of >> GDP (or GNP if anyone is sufficiently old-fashioned) for the year 2010. > >The Congressional Budget Office maintains >ten-year projections, published in their >"Economic and Budget Outlook" every January, >among other times. The Social Security >Administration does 75 year projections in the >annual (biannual?) trustees report, but these are >based on the CBO ten-year numbers >supplemented by one (1) projected data point. > >I can't tell you about non-US projections since >I'm a rotten nationalist, but as you could >imagine the OECD, World Bank, IMF, or EU would be >logical places to consult. > >MBS > >================================================== >Max B. Sawicky Economic Policy Institute >[EMAIL PROTECTED] Suite 1200 >202-775-8810 (voice) 1660 L Street, NW >202-775-0819 (fax) Washington, DC 20036 > >Opinions here do not necessarily represent the >views of anyone associated with the Economic >Policy Institute. >=================================================== > >
