Forwarded message: Delivered-To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Delivered-To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Reply-To: <@maine.rr.com> From: "Frank Durgin" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> To: "michael" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> Subject: a possible duplicate.on Russia's problems Date: Wed, 3 Jun 1998 21:13:07 -0400 Michael: I stilll don't know what I'm doing here. My computer does not record the items I sent> This item may have been sent a few minutes ago. Best wishes Frank Novositi Daily Review [this day index] June 03, 1998, Issue 002 THE RUSSIA THAT WE LOST Vsevolod SEMENTSOV Moscow hosted an annual all-Russian conference entitled "An Assessment of Russia's National Wealth" May 27-29. That conference's results will, doubtless, be summed up in the near future. However, it's crystal clear even today that various facts and statistics, which were cited by some conference delegates, are really sensational. D. Lvov, academic secretary of the Russian Academy of Sciences' economics department and M. Masarsky in charge of the Federal Assessment Fund, delivered initial conference reports. According to academicians V. Lisichkin and V. Simchera, the seven-year-long Russian reforms have affected this country's macro-economic image in an extremely negative way. The so-called "creative" activities of all Russian governments over the 1991-1997 period have entailed tremendous losses of Russia's national wealth to the tune of $1.2 trillion. Incidentally, the Soviet economy had sustained three times less losses (totalling about $420 billion) throughout the Second World War. In real life, all those seven-year efforts aimed at saving the "perishing" Soviet economy have virtually depleted its vitality. The "patient's" health continues to deteriorate at a disastrously quick pace. The Russian GDP has plunged by 83 percent between 1991 and 1997, totalling $426 billion last year. Industrial output has dwindled by 81 percent, what with agricultural output nosediving by 63 percent. At the same time, capital-investment volumes have plummeted by 92 percent. 44 percent less housing was commissioned last year (on 1990 levels), with the retail trade turnover falling by 36 percent, the services-market turnover declining by 46 percent. Russia now owes more than $125 billion to other countries of the world. At the same time, this country is so far unable to obtain $146 billion from its foreign debtors. More than 70,000 factories and plants were shut down all over Russia during the seven years of "reforms". Their list includes 5,000 huge and big-time entities. Apart from that, Russia has stopped using 60 percent of all arable farmlands. Specific materials-consumption levels have soared by 200 percent, with labor-input levels skyrocketing by an impressive 300 percent. On the other hand, production efficiency has declined five-fold. Real-life prices have soared by 350 percent. However, consumer-goods production has plunged by 81 percent. Production in the "non-foods" category has plummeted by 85 percent. Incidentally, the people of Russia have managed to consume only 17 percent of domestically produced vodka and wines in 1997 (on 1990 levels). However, the number of alcoholics has not dwindled, increasing by 200 percent. The Russian population has shrunk by 3.8 million, totalling 147.2 million throughout 1997. And the respective 1990 population was 151 million. About 13 million Russians are now jobless at a time when this country has just 2.7 million officially registered unemployed people. The number of jobless people has swelled 10-fold since the times of Mikhail Gorbachev. Meanwhile the number of researchers has declined by two-thirds. This country now has one-third fewer college and university students and those studying at specialized secondary educational establishments. There were 38 doctors, as well as 112 hospital beds, per every 10,000 of the Russian population last year, with the respective 1985 ratio being 45 doctors and 135 hospital beds per every 10,000 people. Approximately 800,000 highly skilled professionals have left Russia over this period. Real-life average monthly wages and pensions have declined by 78 percent and 67 percent, respectively. Per-capita incomes have fallen by 58 percent. The Russian economy has now found itself in the red. The parameters of this balance sheet are really sensational. But no one has had any special illusions about the overall state of things. Our paper will provide detailed coverage of this conference in its next issues. (Interfax-Argumenty i Fakty No. 22. In full.) THE END -- Michael Perelman Economics Department California State University Chico, CA 95929 Tel. 530-898-5321 E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]