A point of clarification, please:  I did not say that the recession
would save the Democrats.  What I did say was that I feared that an
incompetent Gore administration would have trouble recovery from its
association with the recession.

What happened in 1982 was different.  The dominant impression was a
long trend of deindustrialization and economic setbacks that had hit
the economy since the late 1960s or certainly since the early 1970s.
This recession comes on the heels of the giddy prosperity -- at least
among the NASDAQ crowd -- that made Clinton so popular.

In addition, Gore lacked the communication skills that Reagan had.
Clinton might have been able to weather a recession and still not look
bad, but not Gore.

"J. Barkley Rosser, Jr." wrote:

> For those like michael perelman who are betting that
> a recession will turn this around, let me remind that the
> recession of 1982 was the worst since the Great Depression.
> It did slow Reagan down by sharply increasing Dem strength
> in the Congress.  But in 1984 he won reelection with 49 states....

--

Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]

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