I think the idea is that if there's overproduction and prices collapse so that scarcity rents go toward zero, it creates an incentive to get together to fix prices upward. (Inside a country, the price collapse would drive many out of business, so that a small number of companies take over.) JD
-----Original Message----- From: joanna bujes [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Sent: Mon 3/8/2004 7:49 PM To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Cc: Subject: Re: [PEN-L] oil crises. I'm sorry, but I don't understand the argument that higher prices are the result of overaccumulation. What happens to supply/demand idea? This is not a rhetorical "I don't understand." Please explain, Thanks, Joanna dmschanoes wrote: >----- Original Message ----- >From: "Devine, James" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> >To: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> >Sent: Monday, March 08, 2004 8:14 PM >Subject: Re: [PEN-L] oil crises. > > >(a civil conversation) > > > >>DMS: But Iraq is not a high cost producer of oil, having a >>cost of production approximately >>equal to Saudi Arabia, the low-cost producer. >> >> > >JD: I have heard otherwise from other sources. >____________________________________________ >>From the US Energy Information Agency > >http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/iraq.html > >Iraq's oil development and production costs are amongst the lowest in the >world (perhaps $3-$5 billion for each million barrels per day), making it a >highly attractive oil prospect. However, only 17 of 80 discovered fields >have been developed, while few deep wells have been drilled compared to >Iraq's neighbors. Overall, only about 2,300 wells reportedly have been >drilled in Iraq (of which about 1,600 are actually producing oil), compared >to around 1 million wells in Texas for instance. In addition, Iraq generally >has not had access to the latest, state-of-the-art oil industry technology >(i.e., 3D seismic, directional or deep drilling, gas injection), sufficient >spare parts, and investment in general throughout most of the 1990s. >Instead, Iraq reportedly utilized sub-standard engineering techniques (i.e., >overpumping, water injection/"flooding"), obsolete technology, and systems >in various states of decay (i.e., corroded well casings) in order to sustain >production. In the long run, reversal of all these practices and utilization >of the most modern techniques, combined with development of both discovered >fields as well as new ones, could result in Iraq's oil output increasing by >several million barrels per day > > > >