Louis Proyect is wrong. The article he
reproduces in no way proves Mark Jones was right. Mark Jones argued that
the world had reached the end of its finite hydrocarbon reserves, particularly
petroleum. The limit for Mr. Jones was natural, geological-- not
economic. The NYT article concerns exactly economic limitations-- that
horizontal drilling may not be the best, most efficient, cost reducing, output
increasing technique in all circumstances.
The difference between "natural" supply and proven
reserves is economic not geological. Most of the scarcity theorists argue
that a specific geological formation, defined chronological provided the origin
and limits to petroleum formation. This pre-historic specificity is
disputed by other geologists as the locations of petroleum reserves, the depths
at which they are found, correspond to several different geological
periods.
There is another thing everyone should keep in mind
before genuflecting before the altar of geology-- the two great US onshore
fields, Spindletop and Texas East, where discovered and developed after
geologists had stated unequivocally that no petroleum of significance would
be found there. You can look it up.
As the petroleum engineers at the M King Hubbert
Institute at the Colorado School of Mines will tell you, potential
recoverable reserves from Canadian shale and sands, and heavy oil from
Venezuela exceed current proven, accessible, reserves by a factor of 10-- at
least 10. There are significant obstacles to that recovery, but in the
world of the market, the obstacles are financial-- not geological, not
ecological (an economy that burns rain forests to graze cattle hardly gives
a shit about ecological costs). You can look it up.
Horizontal drilling itself has been used, in
combination with other technologies, to extend the life of the North Sea fields,
and the oil ultimately recoverd, and still recoverable, by some 10 years.
Half the recoverable reserves still exist in the North Sea, despite
the slowed decline in production, a decline that has actually been reversed
in several North Sea fields. Petroleum majors are selling their platforms
and rigs to smaller companies because the economics, the profits-- the mass
of profits-- available from this production does not meet margin
requirements. You can look it up.
dms
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- Mark Jones was right Louis Proyect
- Re: Mark Jones Was Right dmschanoes
- Re: Mark Jones Was Right soula avramidis
- Re: Mark Jones Was Right dmschanoes
- Re: Mark Jones Was Right Louis Proyect
- Re: Mark Jones Was Right dmschanoes
- Re: Mark Jones Was Right Louis Proyect
- Re: Mark Jones Was Right dmschanoes
- Re: Mark Jones Was Right Louis Proyect
- Re: Mark Jones Was Right dmschanoes
- Re: Mark Jones Was Right Louis Proyect
- Re: Mark Jones Was Right paul phillips