(The following is from Doug Henwood's LBO-list. I may have missed Doug also
posting it here. If so, my apologies for duplicating  it. But a case can be
made for reading Tariq Ali's comments twice. Ali, the radical British
political commentator and playwright, has IMO succinctly grasped what is
essential from the POV of the left in this particular US election -- what
the so-called Anybody but Bush sentiment represents in the popular
consciousness. Ali describes it as positive -- a point of some contention on
this and other left lists -- and that it offers the potential for further
advance if it is embraced. Note too his understanding that despite Kerry's
electoral opportunism on Iraq, a Democratic administration would not have
invaded Iraq. TA was interviewed on Doug's radio show.)

Marv Gandall
----------------------------------------

DH: You've said that a defeat of Bush would be regarded globally as a
victory. What did you mean?

TA: As you know, I travel a great deal, and everywhere I go there is growing
anger and if one can be totally blunt real hatred of this administration
because of what it did in Iraq - the war it waged, the civilians it killed,
the mess it's made, and its inability to understand the scale of what it's
done. And from that point of view, if the American population were to vote
Bush out of office, the impact globally would be tremendous. People would
say this guy took his country to war, surrounded by neocons who developed
bogus arguments and lies, he lied to his people, he misused intelilgence
information, and the American people have voted him out. That in itself
could have a tremendous impact on world public opinion.... A defeat for a
warmonger regime in Washington would be seen as a step forward. I don't go
beyond that, but it would have an impact globally.

DH: A lot of people on the American left are saying Kerry's not much better,
and that Bush not all that much out of the ordinary. Kerry opened his
acceptance speech with a military salute. He'd be pretty much more of the
same. What do you say to that?

TA: We're talking about the government which took the United States to war.
Had Gore been elected, he would have gone to war in Afghanistan, but I doubt
he would have gone to war in Iraq. This is very much a neocon agenda,
dominated by the need to get the oil and appease the Israelis. This war in
Iraq is very much something this administration went for. The defeat of this
administration would be a defeat of the war party.

What would Kerry do? He wouldn't do good things immediately, but everything
is to be gained from changing the regime, and then putting massive pressure
on Kerry to pull the troops out. It's not going to be easy, but it would be
a much better relationship of forces if Bush is voted out. Let's assume that
Kerry is the most opportunistic, foolish, weak, etc., then he will know that
the reason Bush was voted out was because of this war. There is an argument
doing the rounds on the American left that says that Bush has united the
world against the American empire, but I do not like arguments like that.
This is an argument you can have from the luxury from your sitting room or
kitchen in the United States, but this particular regime has taken the lives
of at least 37,000 civilians in Iraq, not counting the old army. For them
it's not an abstract question. So a defeat of Bush would be regarded in many
parts of the world as a small victory. This doesn't mean one has any
illusions about Kerry. I certainly don't. I'm pretty disgusted by the
militarism at the Democratic convention.... But despite all that - and we
know what the Democrats are, we know the wars they've waged - our options at
the moment are limited. Do we try to defeat a warmonger government or not?
Do we do our best to do it? If Kerry goes on in the same way, we just have
to fight him. So what? We've been doing this for a long time.

DH: There are a lot of people who argue that personnel don't matter - that
the war emerged from the inner needs of American capitalism, American
imperialism. That it was the rate of profit, the oil price, that forced the
hand, and whoever is sitting in the Oval Office is just a pawn of larger
forces. Do you buy that?

TA: I don't buy that. If you believe that's all there is to it, then you can
give up politics. Just wait at home for the big catastrophe. This is not the
way you mobilize public opinion, or engage in debates to win people over.
For me, that's a dead argument, because it means you don't have to win
people over. The only way you win people to your side is to go out in the
streets, you argue, you talk. There is a lot to be done at the present time.
A defeat for Bush would create a different atmosphere in American political
culture, to show it can be done. It will make people much more critical. The
honeymoon period with Kerry would be much shorter than with Clinton.
Whatever Kerry says, most people who vote for him, will do so because they
don't like what Bush has done in Iraq, they don't like the way the economy's
being handled, they don't like the way the environment is being dealt with.
When Kerry is in power, if he carries on in the same way, it would be much
easier to build a bigger movement against him.

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