The Labour Party's success in the small Scottish constituency of Glenrothes 
yesterday with only a 5% swing to the Scottish Nationalists, after a wipe 
out had been long predicted, is a very significant signal that Brown and the 
Labour Government are back in contention. They are now nationally only 8% 
behind the Conservative Party.

The politics are of course reformist, social-democrat, with a strong and 
overt allegiance now to Keynesianism.

The Conservative Party vote actually fell in Glenrothes and the Conservative 
Party candidate lost their deposit.

The macho upper class taunting that you can see from time to time on your 
television screens during "Prime Minister's Question time" in the old 
chamber of the House of Commons, is no longer working for the Conservative 
Party.

Inteviews as lunch time with Scots from this constituency just said they 
thought the media had been giving Brown a hard time, so there is an element 
of class-based reaction in their response.

Today there was a signal that the Labour government is likely to follow up 
its monetary stabilisation with a fiscal intervention - highly likely 
therefore later in the month to be reduction in taxation for poor and middle 
earners.

It is all indisputably about reforms of capitalism.

It means that Brown will now go to the G20 summit, and will be liaising with 
the Obama team from a position of relative authority, about shaping up 
Keynesian amendments to the global financial system designed to inject 
liquidity into the system at the global level under the aegis of the IMF, if 
not in November, then in January.

Chris Burford
London


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