Julio wrote:

And since much hinges on his personal qualities, I'll say something
about his personal traits as a politician.  I'm going to look like a
sucker, but I've gotten to think this guy is the real thing.
=================================
So far, you're looking secure out there on your limb. According to the
English-language press reports of his speech in the Zocalo, Obrador didn't
sound like a typical social democratic politician trying to mollify and
restrain his angry base. He assertion that the count was "fraudulent" not
merely "flawed", and his call for a mass march on Mexico City this Wednesday
are signals that he's not prepared to capitulate to pressures from the
bourgeoisie and the liberal wing of his constituency to steer the issue from
the streets into the courts, as constitutional norms dictate. The accounts
which I've read all noted that he framed the election battle as a "class
struggle" between his supporters and those of Calderon. So he is still
relying on his base, as you foresaw, and it will be interesting to see
whether he ups the ante further to encourage civil disobendience, as he did
in Tabasco.

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