On 8/6/06, Michael Perelman <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
Is it possible that the partial recount can change the outcome? --
Even with out details I'd say it is very unlikely. I note that press suggested it is "theoretically possible". I suspect that means if an overwhelming number of votes switch. All they would have to do is choose areas which are legitatamtely close - voila not enough votes gained. Of course the most likely thing to do is select areas for recount that include some where some of the votes will go the other way - so that by straight linear extraploation it still shows Obrador would lose even if every vote is recounted (though of course straight linear extraploation would be invalid because the areas chosen are atypical). I await Julio's posting to see how close my guess is.
