A notable new development.  -- Yoshie

<http://www.nytimes.com/2006/10/29/world/europe/29weapons.html>
October 29, 2006
Russia Led Arms Sales to Developing World in '05
By THOM SHANKER

WASHINGTON, Oct. 28 — Russia surpassed the United States in 2005 as
the leader in weapons deals with the developing world, and its new
agreements included selling $700 million in surface-to-air missiles to
Iran and eight new aerial refueling tankers to China, according to a
new Congressional study.

Those weapons deals were part of the highly competitive global arms
bazaar in the developing world that grew to $30.2 billion in 2005, up
from $26.4 billion in 2004. It is a market that the United States has
regularly dominated.

Russia's agreements with Iran are not the biggest part of its total
sales — India and China are its principal buyers. But the sales to
improve Iran's air-defense system are particularly troubling to the
United States because they would complicate the task of Pentagon
planners should the president order airstrikes on Iran's nuclear
weapons facilities.

The Bush administration has vowed a diplomatic solution in dealing
with Iran. But as United Nations diplomats argue over potential
sanctions against Iran for its nuclear ambitions, Russian officials
have expressed reluctance to vote for the most stringent economic
sanctions, partly owing to Moscow's extensive trade relations with
Tehran.

Russia's weapons sales to China also worry Pentagon planners. Although
China has joined the United States in partnership to press for a
resumption of six-party talks to end North Korea's nuclear weapons
program after its recent test, Taiwan remains a potential flash point
between Beijing and Washington.

Thus, China's ability to refuel its attack planes and bombers to
enable them to fly farther from Chinese soil could require the United
States Navy to operate even farther out to sea should the United
States military be called to deal with a crisis in the Taiwan Strait.
That would have an impact on the range and number of air missions of
United States Navy aircraft launched from carriers.

Details of the specific weapons deals in the global arms trade last
year are included in an annual study by the Congressional Research
Service that is considered the most thorough compilation of statistics
available in an unclassified form. The report was delivered to members
of Congress on Friday.

Among other arms transfers described in the study was a statistic that
a single, unnamed nation — but one identified separately by Pentagon
and other administration officials to be North Korea — shipped about
40 ballistic missiles to other nations in the four-year period ending
in 2005, the only nation to have done so. Transfers of these weapons
are prohibited under international agreements to control the trade of
ballistic missiles.

United Nations sanctions passed earlier this month after the North
Korean nuclear test include a new and specific ban on trade or
transport of ballistic missiles and missile parts to or from North
Korea.

The report, entitled "Conventional Arms Transfers to Developing
Nations," found that Russia's arms agreements with the developing
world totaled $7 billion in 2005, an increase from its $5.4 billion in
sales in 2004. That figure surpassed the United States' annual sales
agreements to the developing world for the first time since the
collapse of the Soviet Union.

France ranked second in arms transfer agreements to developing
nations, with $6.3 billion, and the United States was third, with $6.2
billion.

The leading buyer in the developing world in 2005 was India, with $5.4
billion in weapons purchases, followed by Saudi Arabia with $3.4
billion and China with $2.8 billion.

The total value of all arms sales deals worldwide, when counting both
developing and developed nations, in 2005 was $44.2 billion.

The Russian sales in 2005 included 29 of the SA-15 Gauntlet
surface-to-air missile systems for Iran; Russia also signed deals to
upgrade Iran's Su-24 bombers and MIG-29 fighter aircraft, as well as
its T-72 battle tanks.

"For a period of time, in the mid-1990s, the Russian government agreed
not to make new advanced weapons sales to the Iran government," wrote
Richard F. Grimmett, author of the study by the Congressional Research
Service, a division of the Library of Congress. "That agreement has
since been rescinded by Russia. As the U.S. focuses increasing
attention on Iran's efforts to enhance its nuclear as well as
conventional military capabilities, major arms transfers to Iran
continue to be a matter of concern."

Russia also agreed in 2005 to sell China eight of the IL-78M aerial
refueling tanker aircraft, according to the study.

In 2005, the United States led in total arms transfer agreements, when
deals to both developed and developing nations are combined. The total
was $12.8 billion, down from $13.2 billion in 2004.

The report charted no blockbuster military sales deals by the United
States in 2005, and the total in many ways was reached by sales of
spare parts for weapons purchased under previous contracts.

France ranked second in total sales, with $7.9 billion, up from $2.2
billion in 2004. Russia was third when sales to developing and
developed nations were combined, with $7.4 billion, up from $5.6
billion in 2004.

The study uses figures in 2005 dollars, with amounts for previous
years adjusted to account for inflation.

--
Yoshie
<http://montages.blogspot.com/>
<http://mrzine.org>
<http://monthlyreview.org/>

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