Jim D. writes:
What is James Baker if not a man of oil?

True, but there are some subtle differences within that world that I have
found matter in some situations.
I would suspect that the privatization is only mildly on his priority list,
compared to some other members' preferences (and of course an awful lot
gets written to appeal to a larger "consensus" -- who is against
privatization?).

Baker, is an oil *lawyer* from a family of many prominent Houston lawyers
(mostly the law firm founded by his family in the 1840s, Baker&Potts), with
important interests in the usual other legal areas as well.  All the
Houston firms make a lot of money when complicated energy finance is
required in an industry that is NOT vertically integrated (and their big
boon came with New Deal regulation).  The legal firms along with the oil
financiers, and the independent brokers have very different interests and
more of a mainstream establishment perspective than the primitives of the
big integrated oil companies (who also often use in-house counsel and
self-financing, if possible).  (I guess this difference is like
"productive" vs. "non-productive" capital, except here it is mostly
extractive rent?)  The milieu of Bush-Cheney comes more from the direct
owners of oil fields, mines, and their contractors are involved in more
"productive" capital - today this a fairly narrow and specific crowd which
no doubt contributes to the lack of enthusiasm for Bush's adventure.

In Iraq, for example, one saw many of the "go-between" crowd chomping at
the bit to make money over sanction deals (and I believe a few got caught
in the scandals).  Far more importantly, once the 3rd world oil fields were
nationalized these people have made a lot of money over 40 years as
interlocutors (Baker&Potts along with  Vinson&Elkins are the favored law
firm of the Saudis).  This is money they don't make from vertically
integrated, privately owned fields.  The IMF/World Bank-touted Production
Sharing Agreements (think 99 year lease) can be an area of common ground
with the big companies, but once the big deal is made there is not much in
it for the "go-betweens" (except litigation of the contracts they drew up).

One crowd that is often appalled by the implications of government
ownership/control of oil wealth: the professional "National Security"
technocrats and strategic planners.  Neo-cons like Wolfowitz and Feith are
examples.  But Iraq Study Group member Democrat William Perry is another
example (and he recently called for bombing of Iran over the nuclear issue)
as is former member Gates; (they would join ISG member Alan Simpson who was
Senator from Wyoming).  Many from the "National Security" crowd were
pushing for Iraq to adopt the Alaska Plan (distributing royalties to
individuals rather than the government), so as to avoid having even
privately owned fields contribute royalties that could support a militarily
strong national government (and they say leftists make optimistic projections).

Paul

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