Cultured pearls won't be worth the same as the naturally occuring variety.

(Just like a good haircut is worth more than an axe job.)

He's adversley affected his potential profits unles he sells more more
more into a market that is skeptical about the value of his cultured
pearls because the market 'knows' he can always farm more more more
and eventually he saturates his available market, who really prefer
the natural variety, with the 'kitsch' pearls anyway.

An advertising campaign is in order to convince the market of the
value of 'farmed pearls'.
.
.
.


Doug's right, this is all too subjective.

Leigh


On 3/26/07, David B. Shemano <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
Leigh Meyers writes:

>> He becomes wealthier due to his financed technological advantage.
>>
>> Next: The pearls, albeit a 'renewable resource' slowly become scarcer 
because he
>> needs to repay the external financing or show increased profitablity, 
dividends... etc,
>>
>> He begins to over-extract the resources that are providing his income.
>>
>> Yet he becomes weathier still, due to scarcity of pearls, a scarcity which 
depresses
>> demand, causing the 'pearl market' to stabilize... for a while, and stalls 
off 'peak
>> pearls'.
>>
>> Finally, inevitably... again, due to the neccesity of ameliorating those 
external financial
>> demands, the pearls are all gone... and, hopefully for the diver, the 
investment in his
>> venture paid off. But the pearls are all gone!
>>
>> For the financier, and the diver by extension at some point in this saga, 
(probably
>> around "Yet he becomes weathier still...") it was all about the money 
anyway... not the
>> pearls
>>
>> If he were a pearl lover, he would most likely have cashed out instead of 
'fishing out'
>> the pearls..
>>
>> But greed over-rode his judgment.

"But the pearls are all gone!"  That is your prediction of the market process.  
But to the contrary, eventually our entrepeneur would start farming his pearls, which is 
exactly what now occurs, and there are plenty of pearls (at a price).  Score another one 
for the market.

David Shemano

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