The essential issue in Egypt today is democracy, whose outcome is
open.  The Muslim Brotherhood of Egypt, which has a range of views
within the organization, must be understood in that context.  The
Brotherhood may turn out to be a liberal friend of America, but it may
turn out to be a leftist tribune of the oppressed in Egypt.  It is
strong enough to be in the leadership of the opposition, but it is not
strong enough to overcome the Mubarak regime all on its own.  That is
why political currents ranging from the Lenin's Tomb current of
socialists to American liberals like James Traub are interested in its
fortune. -- Yoshie

<http://www.nytimes.com/2007/04/29/magazine/29Brotherhood.t.html>
April 29, 2007
Islamic Democrats?
By JAMES TRAUB

Correction Appended

At 2 in the morning, a few days after I arrived in Cairo last month, a
text message beeped into my cellphone: "Mahmoud Ghozlan, MB Guide
Bureau, is being arrested NOW." Ghozlan was only the latest prominent
member of the Muslim Brotherhood, an Islamist organization that
commands deep loyalty in Egypt, to be hauled off by the dawn visitors
of President Hosni Mubarak's security apparatus. In recent months,
leaders of the organization, businessmen thought to be financial
backers and other members of the brotherhood's Guidance Bureau have
been arrested on a variety of charges. Forty members of the group have
been indicted under Egypt's emergency laws and put under the
jurisdiction of a military tribunal, which is likely to give them long
jail sentences.

The arrest and imprisonment of political opponents is nothing new in
Egypt, which has been ruled by a succession of authoritarian leaders
since 1952; secular democrats are in jail along with the Islamists.
Egypt is generally rated as one of the more repressive countries in
the world's most repressive region. But two years ago, responding in
part to White House pressure, the regime of President Hosni Mubarak
allowed parliamentary elections to take place under conditions of
unprecedented political freedom — at least initially. And the
brotherhood, though a banned organization that had to run candidates
as independents, dominated the contest until the government cracked
down in later rounds of voting. The organization still took 88 of the
454 seats in Egypt's lower house, the People's Assembly, becoming, in
effect, the first opposition party of Egypt's modern era.

But it is not simply numbers that make the brotherhood a threat from
the regime's point of view. While Mubarak and his allies regularly
denounce the brothers as fundamentalists bent on turning Egypt into a
theocracy, the new legislators have made common cause with judges,
liberal intellectuals and secular activists in calling for increased
political freedom. They have steered clear of cultural or religious
issues. Abdel Monem Abou el-Fotouh, one of Ghozlan's colleagues on the
Guidance Bureau, said to me flatly, "We are not a religious body."
Only one of his 15 fellow guides, he said, is a sheik, or religious
authority — "and even he is political." While many secular critics
fear that the brotherhood harbors a hidden Islamist agenda, so far the
organization has posed a democratic political challenge to the regime,
not a theological one; and that makes it all the more dangerous.

In his 2005 Inaugural Address, President Bush traced out the logic of
a new, post-9/11 American foreign policy. "For as long as whole
regions of the world simmer in resentment and tyranny," he declared,
violence "will gather . . . and cross the most defended borders" —
i.e., our own. Therefore, he announced, "it is the policy of the
United States to seek and support the growth of democratic movements
and institutions in every nation and culture, with the ultimate goal
of ending tyranny in our world." Thus was born the Freedom Agenda; and
Egypt occupied the bull's-eye on this new target. Egypt was an
authoritarian state that had supplied much of the leadership of Al
Qaeda. It is also the largest nation in the Arab world and,
historically, the center of the region's political and cultural life.
Progress in Egypt's sclerotic political system would resonate all over
the Islamic world. The nearly $2 billion a year in military and
economic aid that the U.S. had been providing since the Camp David
accords in 1979 offered real leverage. And Egypt's early experience of
democratic government (from 1922 to 1952), mostly under British
occupation, and its lively community of democratic and human rights
activists gave political reform a firmer foundation than it had
elsewhere in the Arab world.

As it happened, presidential and parliamentary elections were
scheduled for 2005. Not long after his inaugural address, President
Bush called Mubarak to urge him to allow independent monitors to
oversee the elections and to loose the asphyxiating controls on
political activity and the press. For his part, Mubarak needed to
respond not only to Washington but also to a rising tide of domestic
dissent — and to the continued enfeeblement of his own National
Democratic Party, which performed badly in legislative elections five
years earlier. He agreed to hold Egypt's first contested presidential
elections and to permit unprecedented, if carefully circumscribed,
political freedom. The U.S. Agency for International Development,
which in years past had allowed the regime to control the hundreds of
millions of dollars it spent in Egypt, earmarked $50 million for
democracy and governance; much of the money went to the training of
political party activists and election monitors.

The Muslim Brotherhood was not at that time a major force in national
electoral politics. Since its founding in 1928, the brotherhood had
sunk deep roots in the country's urban working and middle classes, and
especially among the professions, establishing a powerful base in the
"syndicates" that represent doctors, lawyers, journalists and others.
The organization began dipping its toes in the water of parliamentary
electioneering in the mid-'80s; in 2000 it gained 17 seats. But the
group responded to the new climate of openness by fielding a much
larger slate of candidates for the 2005 elections — 160 in all.
Candidates from old-line Nasserist and left-wing parties ran as well.

After decades of quiet organizing, the Islamists proved to be far more
popular, and more disciplined, than the isolated leaders of Mubarak's
ruling party expected. In the first of three rounds of voting, the
brothers won so many seats that the regime grew alarmed. In the second
round, the police restricted access to polling areas in brotherhood
strongholds; the Islamists still won most of the seats they sought. In
the third round, the regime pulled out all the stops: despite the
presence of hundreds of American-trained election monitors, security
forces beat up and arrested opposition activists and shut down voting
booths. In the end, election violence would claim 14 lives. Video
footage showed old women in head scarves and veils scaling ladders to
reach polling places — this in a country notorious for dismal turnout.
The regime had feared a surge of support for secular opposition forces
like Ghad, a new party founded by Ayman Nour, a charismatic figure who
also opposed Mubarak in the presidential race, or Tagammu, the
traditional party of the left. These were the groups that the Bush
administration's democracy agenda was designed to promote. But they
proved to have relatively little national following; few voters risked
arrest to cast a ballot in their behalf.

The brotherhood quickly proved that it was not only popular, but
savvy. The leaders understood that it was not in their interests to
provoke a confrontation with the regime and its hair-trigger security
forces. They fielded candidates in only a fraction of the districts
they could have won. According to Joshua Stacher, an American scholar
of Egyptian politics who lives in Cairo, a brotherhood politician who
projected winning 17 seats in his governorate was instructed by his
superior to come back with a smaller number. Only when he whittled the
figure to seven was he told to go ahead. The brotherhood won six of
the seats. Stacher also notes that when the brotherhood held a press
conference (which he attended) four days after the election to
introduce their new legislators, a reporter asked Muhammad Akef, the
"supreme guide," if they would be prepared to talk to the Americans.
And Akef answered, "Yes, but they should forward the request to the
Egyptian Foreign Ministry." He was saying both that the brotherhood
was open to dialogue and that it had nothing to hide from the regime.

The brotherhood bloc took Parliament a great deal more seriously than
the ruling party did. The entire 88-person contingent moved into a
hotel in Cairo in order to be able to work and live together while the
People's Assembly was in session. Merely showing up changed the
dynamic of this torpid body, since N.D.P. lawmakers had to attend as
well lest they be outvoted. The brothers formed a "parliamentary
kitchen" with committees on various subjects; the committees, in turn,
organized seminars to which outside experts were regularly invited.
The Islamists formed a coalition with other opposition legislators,
and with sympathetic members of the N.D.P., to protest the extension
of emergency rule. They stood in solidarity with judges who were
protesting growing infringements on their autonomy; hundreds of
protesters, including some of the brotherhood's major figures, were
arrested during several weeks of demonstrations in central Cairo. In
an article in the journal Middle East Report, Joshua Stacher and Samer
Shehata, a professor at Georgetown, concluded, "Brotherhood M.P.'s are
attempting to transform the Egyptian parliament into a real
legislative body, as well as an institution that represents citizens
and a mechanism that keeps government accountable."

Many members of Egypt's secular opposition remain deeply skeptical of
the brotherhood, which they see as the regime's silent ally in
blocking their hopes for an open, pluralist society. Egypt's ruling
elite has, in turn, traditionally worried far more about the secular
opposition than about the Islamists. Anwar el-Sadat, the president
from 1970 to his assassination in 1981, made peace with religious
forces by initiating a thoroughgoing Islamization of Egyptian society.
Sadat rewrote the educational curriculum along religious lines and
amended Article 2 of Egypt's extremely progressive constitution to
stipulate that Shariah — Islamic law — was the "main source" of the
nation's laws. Mubarak, who was Sadat's vice president, continued this
practice. Some secularists fear that the brotherhood, perhaps in
collaboration with the military, would establish an authoritarian
theocracy. "I have no doubt that they would implement Shariah if they
ever came to power," says Hisham Kassem, a leading publisher in the
progressive media. "I see them as a menace."

But opinions are shifting. After holding a symposium on free speech,
Negad al-Borai, a democracy activist and human rights lawyer, says
that he received an emissary from the supreme guide. "He came and
said: 'We accept everything in your initiative as a beginning to the
democratic process. The only thing we ask is that if issues arise
where we wish to state our opposition according to our own views, we
can have our own voice.' " Al-Borai readily agreed, and the
brotherhood endorsed untrammeled free speech. Saad Eddin Ibrahim, the
Egyptian dissident most widely known in the West, says that the
performance of the brotherhood's parliamentary bloc over the last year
has allayed his own concerns. The regime, he says, is brandishing the
Islamist threat in order "to scare the foreigners and the middle class
and the Copts" Egypt's ancient Christian minority, who fear being
treated as "nonbelievers."

Indeed, since the 2005 election and the brotherhood's subsequent
performance, the regime has turned the full force of its repressive
energies on it. Last April and May, when brotherhood members
demonstrated in solidarity with Egypt's judges, who had been seeking
greater autonomy, security forces waded in, arresting hundreds of the
brothers. The campaign of arrests resumed earlier this year, aiming at
leading figures like Mahmoud Ghozlan, the Guidance Bureau member, as
well as financiers; the government has frozen assets of brotherhood
supporters said to amount to $2 billion. And there could be no
mistaking the intent of the constitutional "reforms" submitted last
December. Article 5, which lays the basis for the regulation of
political parties, was rewritten to stipulate that "political activity
or political parties shall not be based on any religious background or
foundation." This prohibition seemed to directly contradict the
language of Article 2, which made Shariah the foundation of Egyptian
law. How can a self-professed religious state prohibit political
activity with a "religious background"? When I posed this question to
Hossam Badrawi, a leading member of a group of young politicians who
profess to be reforming the N.D.P. from within, he asked me in return,
"If I go to Germany and I want to start a Nazi Party, would I be
allowed to do that?"

"Is that a fair analogy?"

"Yes, because they don't respect the constitution, which lays out a
separate role for politics and religion." Except that it doesn't or
didn't, until just now.

This is the kind of language that, as Saad Eddin Ibrahim put it, is
bound to scare foreigners and the middle class. President Mubarak has
called the group a threat to national security. Mohamed Kamal, a
political scientist who is close to Gamal Mubarak, the president's son
and heir apparent, and who now serves as the N.D.P.'s semiofficial
spokesman to the Western media, says of the brotherhood: "They're
fundamentalist in their ideology. I'm not saying necessarily that
they're terrorists; they want to establish a religious state based on
their interpretation of the Koran and the Shariah." While some of
their leaders "pay lip service to democracy, women's rights and so
on," Kamal says, the grass roots are deeply reactionary.

Is that so? One night I drove out to the far northeastern edge of
Cairo — a trip that took an hour and a half through the city's insane
traffic — to meet with Magdy Ashour, a member of the brotherhood's
parliamentary bloc. The caucus is heavy with lawyers, doctors and
professors, but Ashour is an electrician with a technical diploma. The
neighborhood he represents, al-Nozha, is a squalid quarter of
shattered buildings and dusty lanes. Ashour had established himself in
what seemed to be the only substantial structure in the area, a
half-completed apartment building; I walked through plaster dust and
exposed wiring to reach his office. Ashour hurried in from the evening
prayer. He was a solemn, square-jawed 41-year-old with short hair and
unfashionable glasses, a brown suit and a brown tie. He grew up, he
said, in the neighborhood, and as a young man often gave the Friday
sermon at the local mosque. He joined the brotherhood when he was 23.
Why? "From my reading and my earliest meetings with brotherhood
members," he said through a translator, "I could see that they were
moderate, that they don't impose their religion on people, but at the
same time they're not loose with their religious principles."

I asked Ashour if the spate of arrests had him worried, and he said
that he indeed feared that the state might be seeking an "open
confrontation" with the brotherhood. Might not that provoke the
group's supporters to violence? Ashour answered by citing an aphorism
he attributed to the brotherhood's founder, Hassan al-Banna: "Be like
trees among the people: They strike you with stones, and you shower
them with blessings." Ashour then embarked on a brief oration: "We
would like to change the idea people have of us in the West," he said,
"because when people hear the name Muslim Brotherhood, they think of
terrorism and suicide bombings. We want to establish the perception of
an Islamic group cooperating with other groups, concerned about human
rights. We do not want a country like Iran, which thinks that it is
ruling with a divine mandate. We want a government based on civil law
with an Islamic source of lawmaking." If Magdy Ashour was a theocrat —
or a terrorist — he was a very crafty one.

s it has fully entered the political arena, the brotherhood has been
forced to come up with clear answers on issues about which it has been
notably ambiguous in the past. Some are easy enough: There seems to be
little appetite among them for stoning adulterers or lopping off the
hands of thieves; and all deprecate the jizya, or tax on nonbelievers,
as a relic of an era when only Muslims served in the military. Some
are not so easy. I asked Magdy Ashour about the drinking of alcohol,
which is prohibited in Saudi Arabia, Iran and other Islamic states. He
was quite unfazed. "There is a concept in Shariah that if you commit
the sin in private it's different from committing it in public," he
explained. You can drink in a hotel, but not in the street. This was
flexibility verging on pragmatism. I wondered if Ashour, and the other
brotherhood candidates, had offered such nuanced judgments on the
stump; a number of detractors insist that the group's campaign
rhetoric was much more unabashedly Islamist.

There are, of course, more fundamental questions. In the course of a
three-hour conversation in the brotherhood's extremely modest office
in an apartment building in one of Cairo's residential neighborhoods,
I asked Muhammad Habib, the deputy supreme guide, how the brotherhood
would react if the Legislature passed a law that violated Shariah.
"The People's Assembly has the absolute right in that situation," he
said, "as long as it is elected in a free and fair election which
manifests the people's will. The Parliament could go to religious
scholars and hear their opinion" — as it could seek the advice of
economists on economic matters — "but it is not obliged to listen to
these opinions." Some consider grave moral issues, like homosexual
marriage, beyond the pale of majoritarianism; others make no such
exception. Hassan al-Banna famously wrote that people are the source
of authority. This can be understood, if you wish to, as the Islamic
version of the democratic credo.

The acceptance of democracy is itself a proxy for something else — the
repudiation of violence and terrorism. Here the brotherhood has a fair
amount of history to answer for. The organization was established in
1928 in the wake of Mustafa Kemal Ataturk's secularization of Turkey
and his abolition of the caliphate, the line of religious rulers that
stretched back to the Prophet Muhammad. Hassan al-Banna, the
charismatic founder, aspired to revitalize the spirit of Islam among
the umma, the worldwide body of believers, and ultimately to restore
the caliphate and Shariah. But for all al-Banna's emphasis on peaceful
evangelizing, he also created a paramilitary wing, like Mussolini's
brown shirts, known as al-nizam al-khas — the Special Apparatus.
During the '40s, when Egyptians fought to free themselves from British
rule, brotherhood operatives engaged in a campaign of bombings and
assassinations. The organization was banned in 1948; soon afterward, a
member of the group assassinated Egypt's prime minister. Al-Banna
denounced the deed, but he was himself murdered by government security
forces. And when a brotherhood plot to assassinate Gamal Abdel Nasser
miscarried, most of the leading figures were jailed and tortured.

In 1964, the most prominent of the jailed leaders, Sayyid Qutb,
produced a tract, "Milestones," which magnified the militant side of
the brotherhood and rejected al-Banna's faith in the merits of
instruction and moral example. Islamic regimes that failed to
establish Shariah were apostates, he declared no better than the
infidels themselves. Egypt was, of course, just such a state.
"Milestones" was read as a call to revolution. Qutb was sentenced to
death and hanged in 1966, making him a martyr throughout the Middle
East. Among his disciples were the radical Islamists who conspired to
murder Sadat in 1981 including Ayman al-Zawahiri, now Al Qaeda's
second in command. Osama bin Laden was deeply influenced by Qutb's
works and regularly attended lectures given by Qutb's younger brother,
Muhammad. "Milestones" is now considered the founding manifesto of
jihadism.

Qutb remains a heroic figure for many Egyptians. But Ibrahim Hudaybi,
the young activist who sent me the text message about the arrest,
pointed out to me when we met the next day that his own grandfather,
Hasan Hudaybi, who replaced al-Banna as supreme guide and was jailed
along with Qutb, wrote a book from prison, "Preachers, Not Judges,"
designed to reassert the brotherhood's commitment to peace and to open
debate. Hudaybi was a thoroughly modern figure; we met in a coffee
shop near the American University in Cairo, where he recently received
his master's in political science. He was now working as a business
consultant. Hudaybi wanted to see the brotherhood deal explicitly with
the legacy of Qutb, even if doing so might not play well in the
hustings. Other, more senior figures I spoke to insisted rather
implausibly that Qutb had been misunderstood; but all swore by the
philosophy of tolerance and the program of gradual reform laid out in
"Preachers, Not Judges."

The brotherhood is an international organization. It has, however, no
Comintern, no central apparatus. In Sudan, brotherhood members have
formed an alliance with a deeply authoritarian ruling party. The
brotherhood in Jordan and Morocco is considered relatively moderate.
But in the Palestinian territories, the organization mutated into
Hamas. Policy makers and academics in the West tend to be more
concerned with the brotherhood's views of Hamas than with its
understanding of Shariah. And here there is little satisfaction to be
had. When I asked Muhammad Habib about Hamas attacks on Israeli
civilians, he said, "With the continuous crackdown and ongoing war
launched by the Israeli Army, which does not distinguish between
civilians and noncivilians, you cannot speak about the Palestinians
disregarding Israeli citizens." Brotherhood figures do not, at bottom,
accept Israel's right to exist. Seif al-Islam, the son of Hassan
al-Banna and a venerated elder of the group, said to me, in his
stylized version of English: "Not any Palestine man or Egypt man feels
that Jews who come from the outside have the right to stay in
Palestine. At the same time, the Palestinian people on the outside
cannot have a grave to bury in. This is not religion."

The more worldly among the brotherhood's legislators and thinkers
understand that Israel is a test just as Qutb is a test, and that the
Western audience matters even if it doesn't vote. Hazem Farouk
Mansour, a dentist who is the head of the foreign-policy committee of
the parliamentary bloc, says of Camp David, "We accept it as an
agreement, whether we like it or not." Essam el-Erian, a clinical
pathologist who is head of the brotherhood's political committee and
perhaps its most sophisticated thinker, said to me: "Look, this is a
historical and ideological and religious crisis. It cannot be solved
in a few years. Every part in this conflict can be put forth for
dialogue." Like virtually all of his colleagues, el-Erian urged me not
to get too hung up on this or any other question of what the
brotherhood might do in some unimaginably remote future in which the
regime had somehow relinquished its grip on power. "We can solve the
problem of our society," he said, "to have democratic reform respected
by Europeans and Americans, whatever happens to the Palestinians."

From what I could tell, in fact, the brotherhood in its public oratory
sticks to issues of political process, while voters worry about the
kind of mundane issues that preoccupy people everywhere. Magdy Ashour
said that few voters knew or cared anything about issues like
constitutional reform. He agreed to let me sit by his side one evening
as he met with constituents. None of the dozen or so petitioners who
were ushered into the tiny, bare cell of his office asked about the
political situation, and none had any complaints about cultural or
moral issues. Rather, there were heart-rending stories of abuse by the
powerful, like the profoundly palsied young man confined to a
wheelchair who sold odds and ends from a kiosk under a bridge, and who
was ejected, along with his meager goods, when a road-improvement
project came through. (Ashour promised to go with him to the police
station the following morning.) Mostly, though, people wanted help
getting a job. One ancient gentleman with a white turban and walking
stick wandered in as if from the Old Testament. He was accompanied by
his daughter and 3-year-old granddaughter. His daughter's husband had
abandoned her, and she needed a job. Ashour explained that since the
woman had a business degree, she might find work in a private school.

The old man shook his head. "She must have a government job," he said.
"She has three girls. I am too old to take care of her. She needs
security." Ashour later explained to me that while a private job might
pay $90 a month and a public one only $35, the government job would
carry a guaranteed $15 pension, which felt like insurance against
destitution. Only a government job was considered real; Ashour himself
had worked as the superintendent for lighting infrastructure for a
portion of Cairo. Nasser caught the bug of socialism half a century
earlier, and the government continued to dominate the economy and to
sap the energies needed for private initiative. Egypt's arthritic
economy and its deeply corrupt public administration were much more
salient problems for Ashour than was, say, debauchery on TV.

arrived in Cairo in the middle of a heated national debate over
Mubarak's proposed reform of the constitution. During the presidential
campaign, Mubarak promised to reduce his own powers in favor of the
Legislature and the cabinet and to loosen restrictions on political
parties. Only trace elements of those vows remained; in fact, the
reforms seemed designed to consolidate, rather than dissipate, the
regime's authority. Article 88, which had stipulated that elections be
held "under the supervision of members of the judiciary authority,"
now granted that control to "a higher commission marked by
independence and impartiality." Since no such bodies had been known to
exist in Egypt, few figures outside the ruling party were willing to
take the proposal at face value. And a new anti-terrorism provision
allowed the state to set aside civil liberties enumerated elsewhere in
the constitution in the pursuit of suspected terrorists. Mohamed Kamal
described this measure to me as the equivalent of the USA Patriot Act,
but political activists are convinced that it will be used to snuff
out opposition. (The brotherhood may be the chief target, since the
regime regards it as a quasi-terrorist body.) Amnesty International
described the package as the gravest threat to human rights in Egypt
since Mubarak took power.

In mid-March, on the day the proposed amendments were presented to the
People's Assembly, the brotherhood legislators and the dozen or so
members of the secular opposition staged a joint protest. The entire
group stood silently inside the gates of Parliament wearing black
sashes that read, "No to the Constitutional Amendments," and carrying
signs that read, "No to Electoral Fraud," "No to Dawn Visitors" and so
on. The muezzin's call led to an interval of prayer, and then
legislators squeezed one by one through the gates, backing the scrum
of reporters and photographers into a busy two-way street. Drivers
honked furiously while legislators struggled to be heard over the din.
I had the impression that the brotherhood hadn't yet gotten the hang
of press relations.

The entire opposition boycotted the debate; the regime, unimpressed,
carried the day with the near-unanimous support of the N.D.P. and then
scheduled the mandatory national referendum for the following week,
presumably to prevent the opposition from mobilizing. But the tactic
failed; opposition legislators urged supporters to boycott the ballot.
All of the brotherhood legislators I spoke to that day said that the
polling places in their constituency were literally empty. Civic
groups canvassing Cairo and other major cities came to the same
conclusion. Estimates of turnout varied from 2 to 8 percent. When it
was over, government officials pegged turnout at 27 percent — a figure
so improbable that it scarcely seemed intended to be believed. Perhaps
the implicit message was that the regime didn't care if it was
believed or not.

In June 2005, Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice delivered a landmark
address at the American University in Cairo in which she bluntly
declared, "The day must come when the rule of law replaces emergency
decrees and when the independent judiciary replaces arbitrary
justice." Egypt's democracy activists were enthralled — though they
were to become increasingly disappointed, and then embittered, as the
administration offered no public response to Mubarak's crackdown. But
Rice's call to the political barricades was carefully modulated,
perhaps in order to limit the offense to the regime. Asked after the
speech about the Muslim Brotherhood, Rice said flatly, "We have not
engaged the Muslim Brotherhood and . . . we won't." In fact, American
diplomats had been in regular contact with brotherhood officials over
the years; Rice was declaring — in fact, making — a new policy. And
that policy still largely obtains. Rice's spokesman, Sean McCormack,
told me, "We do not meet with the Muslim Brotherhood per se, as we
don't want to get entangled in complexities surrounding its legality
as a political party." He added, however, "Consistent with our
practice elsewhere, we will nonetheless meet with any duly elected
member of the parliamentary opposition." In fact, American officials
in Cairo included leading brotherhood parliamentarians in a group of
legislators who met recently with Representative Steny Hoyer, the
Democratic majority leader of the House.

But why not engage the brotherhood openly? Is what is gained by
mollifying the Mubarak regime worth what is lost by forgoing contact
with the brotherhood? "Americans," Essam el-Erian said to me, "must
have channels with all the people, not only in politics, but in
economics, in social, in everything, if they want to change the image
of America in the region." Of course, that principle applies only up
to a point. The administration has, understandably, refused to
recognize the democratic bona fides either of Hamas or of Hezbollah in
Lebanon. But the Muslim Brotherhood, for all its rhetorical support of
Hamas, could well be precisely the kind of moderate Islamic body that
the administration says it seeks. And as with Islamist parties in
Turkey and Morocco, the experience of practical politics has made the
brotherhood more pragmatic, less doctrinaire. Finally, foreign policy
is no longer a rarefied game of elites: public opinion shapes the
world within which policy makers operate, and the refusal to deal with
Hamas or Hezbollah has made publics in the Islamic world dismiss the
whole idea of democracy promotion. Even a wary acceptance of the
brotherhood, by contrast, would demonstrate that we take seriously the
democratic preferences of Arab voters.

In general, I found the brothers deeply suspicious of American designs
in the world but also curious about America itself. When I took my
leave of Magdy Ashour once the crowd of petitioners thinned out, he
asked if he could pose some questions of his own. "I've heard," he
said, "that even George Bush's mother thinks he's an idiot; is that
true?" And, "Why did George Bush say that America is going on a
Christian crusade against the Muslim people?" And finally, "Is it true
that the Jews control and manipulate the U.S. economy?" These are,
alas, the kinds of questions — with the possible exception of the
first — that people all over the Middle East ask.

Then Ashour said that he was thinking about visiting America. I asked
how he could afford such an expensive journey, and he explained that
the brotherhood has offered each legislator one free trip anywhere in
the world — a remarkable program for an organization said to be bent
on returning Egypt to the Middle Ages. "I would," Ashour said, "like
to see for myself."

James Traub is a contributing writer for the magazine. He is working
on a book about democracy promotion.

Correction: April 29, 2007

A picture caption with an article on Page 44 of The Times Magazine
today about the Muslim Brotherhood misstates the dates of the
photographs. The protest with brandishing of the Koran, in the first
and fourth pictures, was in March of this year, not the fall of 2006.
The other two photographs were taken in February of this year (the
protester surrounded by the police) and in November 2006 (the
protesters holding signs), not the in the spring of this year.
--
Yoshie

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