Marvin Gandall wrote:
The article's real beef about nationalized oil is that there is inherent
political pressure on state oil companies to direct their revenues to social
programs and other state spending rather than to exploration and the
development of new supply which would hold oil prices in check.

it's notable that they don't have a beef about state oil companies
that direct oil rents to programs that care for and feed domestic
elites of well-paid oil administrators, oil-equity owners, and oil
workers, and to investments in unneeded infrastructure (as in Vzla
before Chavez). It's only when the funds are directed to helping the
masses that it's a problem...

It concludes:

" 'For the first time in this petroleum cycle, the national oil companies
have a major responsibility for supporting world oil markets over the long
term,' Mr West says.
" 'The real challenge is whether the national oil companies will meet their
responsibility to bring the oil to market,' he says.
" It is unclear whether that responsibility is as important to those
countries as meeting their needs at home.
" For, as Jim Mulva, chief executive of ConocoPhillips, the US's third
largest oil company, says: 'The [national oil companies'] host country may
have other strategic objectives, which may limit the speed by which they
develop their resources.' "

Marvin:
In other words, the complaint is that nationalized oil companies have a
"responsibility", which they do not always meet, to effectively maintain the
subsidization of the wealthier oil consuming counties by the poor in the oil
producing ones.

it's interesting that the article misses the fact that even if these
countries don't invest in exploration for and exploitation of possible
new oil reserves, those reserves will still exist. Non-use now means
that (if and) when Hubbert's Peak bites, there will be more oil
reserves available than if we found, tapped, and used them right away.
So these countries are actually doing us in the oil-consuming
countries a good deed, encouraging oil prices to be lower in the
future than they would be otherwise. (Why should we exploit the oil as
much as possible as quickly as possible?)

Higher prices _now_ also mean that people are pushed to economize on
their use of oil, gas, and petrochemicals. This might help with that
global warming thing.  That's a good thing, another good deed, though
we don't like taking that medicine.

There's a fundamental problem with the view that these countries are
failing to subsidize the oil-consuming countries, at least in the
short run. It assumes that high oil prices are resulting from the
behavior of those nasty nationalizers. It's more likely, I think, that
the high prices are instead the result of high demand for oil
(Chinese, Indian growth, etc.) and a lot of temporary falls in supply
(Iraq, Nigeria, etc.) and the normally inelastic nature of both
supply and demand [*].  If I am right, then what the nationalizers are
doing is not driving prices up as much as taking advantage of the high
prices (and resource rents) that would exist even without
nationalization.

Then, the issue is whether the rents are being used in a way that
keeps core countries happy. In Vzla, they are not.

[*] this refers to the fact that in the short run, the amount of oil
entering the market rises less than in proportion to increases of
prices and that the number of barrels of oil that's purchased does not
fall as quickly as the price rises. This combination means that small
disturbances in demand and/or supply imply more than proportionate
changes in prices.
--
Jim Devine /  "Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti." (Go your
own way and let people talk.) -- Karl, paraphrasing Dante.

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