Replacement rates are a physical reality dependent on a number of
factors NONE OF WHICH are currently (or in the foreseeable future) in
favor of the petrochemical industry or it's exploration minions..
physically, as in Shell being chased out of the Niger Delta by force,
or economically, as in cruder oil costing more to process, coming from
places where we have to supply costly security, or costlier wars, to
acquire the raw product AND pass that cost on to the consumers
personal or industrial.

"Reserves" are a hypothetical, gerrymandered, joke of minimal global
proportion. I don't bother discussing them at all in relation to 'peak
oil'.

Leigh


On 6/14/07, sartesian <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
Replacement rates and reserves are economic categories, dependent upon
exploration and development, and of course exploration and development
costs.

After the overproduction and overaccumulation of the 90s, in both the
commodity  itself, in the fixed assets, and the leases for exploration,
the oil majors reduced spending and centered their efforts  on
development rather than exploration.

Anyway, while I do not think the oil is running out, that is no reason
not to deal with the issues of waste, pollution, and destructive
expropriation of resources.
----- Original Message -----
From: "Leigh Meyers" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: <[email protected]>
Sent: Thursday, June 14, 2007 1:03 PM
Subject: Re: [PEN-L] Peak oil warning


> It's been a number of years since the oil companies have been able to
> produce enough at the wellhead to prevent depletion.
>
> On 6/14/07, s.artesian <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> > Have supplies, reserves, "peaked,"
> > and no future discoveries, extensions of reserves, or
> > new technologies to access remaining reserves (usually
> > half the amounts actually extracted) will ever reverse
> > the depletion?  Or have supplies of the "cheap stuff"
> > peaked?  And if the latter, isn't cheap a social,
> > not a geological, category?
> >
> > -----Original Message-----
> > >From: Louis Proyect <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
> > >Sent: Jun 14, 2007 9:59 AM
> > >To: [email protected]
> > >Subject: [PEN-L] Peak oil warning
> > >
> > >http://news.independent.co.uk/sci_tech/article2656034.ece
> >
>

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