Of course, I'm skeptical about the VAR technique, but the paper doesn't 
interesting job of showing that the data is more consistent with a Fed policy 
of fighting low unemployment than inflation.


Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
michael at ecst.csuchico.edu
Chico, CA 95929
530-898-5321
fax 530-898-5901
michaelperelman.wordpress.com
-----Original Message-----
From: PEN-L list [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Jim Devine
Sent: Monday, September 03, 2007 7:39 AM
To: [email protected]
Subject: Re: [PEN-L] Galbraith's new paper

I haven't read that paper, but can VAR "prove" anything?

On 9/2/07, Perelman, Michael <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> Has anyone looked at this?  Jaimie uses a VAR model to show that the Fed
> targets low unemployment rather than inflation and that it acts
> politically to promote Republicans and presidential elections.
>
>
>
> Levy Working Paper No. 511
> The Fed's Real Reaction Function
> Monetary Policy, Inflation, Unemployment,
> Inequality-and Presidential Politics*
> James K. Galbraith
> Olivier Giovannoni
> Ann J. Russo
> August 2007
>
>
> Michael Perelman
> Economics Department
> California State University
> michael at ecst.csuchico.edu
> Chico, CA 95929
> 530-898-5321
> fax 530-898-5901
> www.michaelperelman.wordpress.com
>


-- 
Jim Devine / "In the years since the phrase became a cliché, I have
received any number of compliments for my supposed ability to 'think
outside the box.' Actually, it has been a struggle for me to perceive
just what these 'boxes' were - why they were there, why other people
regarded them as important, where their borderlines might be, how to
live safely within and without them." -- Tim Page (THE NEW YORKER,
August 20, 2007).

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