I haven't read all the messages on this thread.   Just a quick note
out of nowhere.  There's ambiguity in the notion of "moral hazard" as
it used in economics.

In general, it refers to cases in which insurance (in any form) shifts
the "best" actions of people towards more risk.  As such, it's a
neutral term.  Obviously, by definition, the induced actions are good
for individuals -- they are "best"!  That said, "best" individual
actions can be socially good or bad.  Moral hazard can have good or
bad social effects.  In the narrower sense, "moral hazard" refers to
socially-bad cases.  Often, the distinction is blurred.  Also common,
unwarranted assumptions about what the social good is are smuggled.

In general, insurance means the purchase of non-systemic individual
safety (the transfer of non-systemic individual risk) at a premium.
If the premium is "actuarially fair" (net policy equals odds ratio
times premium), then there's no externality, no free riding.  If the
insurer is risk loving, he may not need to diversify away his
non-systemic risk -- i.e. use the law of large numbers to his
advantage.  But, whatever happens, with or without the assistance of
the law of large numbers, systemic (or global or macro) risk remains.

>From the standpoint of social welfare, there's nothing inherently bad
in insurance.  The problem is that the main, prevailing form of
insurance under capitalism (i.e. private ownership) is too narrow.
Those with wealth cling to it to lower the variability of their future
aggregate returns.  They purchase some measure of private non-systemic
safety at the expense of others, nature -- even themselves in the long
run (that's why I typed "best" above).  Their asymmetric position
vis-a-vis the uninsured (the property-less) induces in them a most
vicious, socially reckless type of moral hazard.

But in this general sense, marching in mass against the war,
organizing a union, building socialism are forms of insurance.  Public
ownership is the broadest form of insurance, the only one that can in
principle vanish most non-systemic risk.  Nobody knows the human
powers it could unleash, powers repressed by the pervasiveness of
private non-systemic risk.  And since insurance won't be asymmetric
(everybody is insured), then the socially-bad type of moral hazard can
only go down.

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