Sep. 07
electoral vote count
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Obama 301   McCain 224   Ties 13
 Senate Dem 56   GOP 43   Ties 1
 House Dem 243   GOP 192



On Sep 8, 5:48 am, Frank <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> Obama’s lead in the polls crumbles as he turns sharply to the right
>
> 6th September
>
> Well before the announcement of Sarah Palin as John McCain’s
> Presidential running mate, the Obama campaign had suffered a palpable
> loss of political momentum which elaborate attempts at media stagecraft
> —the candidate’s trip to the Middle East and Europe, the hype over the
> vice-presidential selection process, the convention itself—have failed
> to reverse. Polls show a tight race between Obama and his Republican
> rival Senator John McCain, despite overwhelming popular hostility to
> the Bush administration and the Republican Party.
>
> There has been complete silence in both the media and the Democratic
> Party over the real source of this decline, which has little to do
> with negative advertising or the supposed prowess of the Republican
> “attack machine” or the effect of "wild card" Sarah Palin. In fact,
> the falloff in backing for Obama is sharpest among those layers—the
> young, self-described liberals, and those most hostile to the Iraq war
> and the Bush administration—who were among his most enthusiastic
> supporters in the primary campaign.
>
> Obama’s lead in the polls has crumbled as he turned sharply to the
> right following his primary victory over Hillary Clinton. His campaign
> faltered not because of a Republican media blitz—Obama continues to
> greatly outspend McCain—but because of the Democratic candidate’s
> demonstrative efforts to disassociate his campaign and prospective
> presidency from any semblance of progressive change.
>
> The Democratic presidential nominee voted in the Senate for increased
> wiretapping powers for the FBI and NSA, downplayed his past criticism
> of the war in Iraq, positioned himself as the most fervent advocate of
> military escalation in Afghanistan, and echoed the Bush
> administration’s saber-rattling over the conflict between Russia and
> Georgia. He said little about the continued deterioration of the US
> economy, reiterated his support for fiscal austerity policies that
> effectively rule out any significant program of social reform, and
> prostrated himself before the religious right in a joint appearance
> with McCain at a fundamentalist church.
>
> None of these positions came as a surprise to his most important
> backers, billionaires like Warren Buffett and the Pritzker family
> (Hyatt Hotels), other sections of the financial aristocracy and the
> Democratic Party establishment. But Obama’s emergence as an utterly
> conventional and conservative bourgeois politician—culminating in the
> selection of Senator Joseph Biden, a 35-year veteran of Washington, as
> his running mate—has deflated whatever there was of a popular
> mobilization, however manipulated and misguided, behind his campaign.
>
> Obama was never the candidate of a genuine oppositional movement
> against the political establishment. On the contrary, his candidacy
> was carefully planned by a section of that establishment, disaffected
> from the foreign policy of the Bush administration, particularly in
> Iraq, and the support for it from Democratic congressional leaders
> like Clinton and Biden.
>
> The Obama camp had no fundamental or principled differences with the
> use of war as an instrument to secure the interests of US imperialism.
> Its criticism of Bush was that he had waged war ineffectively and to a
> certain extent needlessly, and that the administration’s obsessive
> focus on Iraq had become a diversion from broader global concerns.
> Equally important, by defining his principal difference with Clinton
> in terms of her original vote to authorize the war in 2002, Obama was
> able to make at least a limited appeal to antiwar sentiment, and
> channel the mass opposition to the war back into the straitjacket of
> the Democratic Party.
>
> The divisions over Iraq were of a tactical character. In the past
> several months, however, a bipartisan consensus has emerged, embracing
> virtually the entire political establishment, Democrat and Republican,
> that the Bush administration escalation in Iraq has been a “success,”
> and that the US occupation has been at least temporarily stabilized at
> a level of violence acceptable to Washington (if not to the Iraqi
> people themselves).
>
> Now that the positions of Obama and Clinton on Iraq have largely
> converged with those of Bush and McCain, what accounts for the
> seemingly intractable divisions in the Democratic Party itself? As the
> WSWS explained during the primary voting, while political differences
> over foreign policy provided the initial impetus for Obama’s challenge
> to the presumptive frontrunner, the Obama-Clinton contest began to
> split the Democratic Party along race and gender lines.
>
> This was not merely due to the fact that the two finalists were the
> first African-American and the first woman with a significant chance
> of winning the presidential nomination of one of the two major
> bourgeois parties. More fundamental was the historical transformation
> of the Democratic Party over the past 40 years, the abandonment of
> any, however modest, class-based political appeal, and the emergence
> of identity politics as its central organizing principle.
>
> In the last great crisis of American capitalism, the Great Depression
> of the 1930s, the Democratic Party under Roosevelt forged a coalition
> embracing more far-sighted sections of the ruling class, the trade
> unions, including the newly formed industrial unions, the professional
> middle classes, small farmers and urban middle-class layers, from
> shopkeepers to intellectuals.
>
> While American liberalism fervently supported the profit system, it
> advanced in that period a reform agenda calling for a restructuring of
> American capitalism in a way that would curtail the power of big
> business, make a limited redistribution of wealth and achieve a
> semblance of greater socio-economic equality.
>
> This program ended in shipwreck in the 1960s, when the Democratic
> Party had to choose between social reform and the war in Vietnam, and
> it chose, as it had to as a capitalist party, the defense of
> imperialist interests abroad at the expense of the working class.
>
> More fundamentally, the protracted decline of American capitalism’s
> world position, throughout the 1960s and 1970s undermined the core
> Democratic promise of rising living standards and expanded social
> services for all. The party sought to refashion itself instead as the
> dispenser of privileges to elite layers among various racial and
> ethnic constituencies and among women, while the living standards of
> the broad mass of working people, African-American and Latino as well
> as white, women and men, stagnated or declined.
>
> The embrace of identity politics was based on an evasion of the
> fundamental class issues in American society. No Democrat politician
> today could denounce the pernicious influence of the financial
> oligarchs, as Roosevelt did, without suffering immediate political
> oblivion.
>
> This obsessive focus on secondary issues of race, gender, sexual
> orientation, etc., was on display throughout the Democratic
> convention, where speaker after speaker sought to avoid the overriding
> social fact of deepening economic inequality, the polarization of
> American society between a relative handful of multi-millionaires and
> billionaires, and the vast majority who work for a living.
>
> The suppression of class issues is demonstrated in the very structure
> of the Democratic Party. For example, there were 16 meetings of
> Democratic caucuses based on various forms of identity—blacks, women,
> religious, Asian-American, Native American, Hispanic, gays, seniors,
> youth, rural residents, even an “ethnic coordinated caucus.” There is
> a “labor” caucus, consisting of highly paid union bureaucrats whose
> interests are diametrically counterposed to those of the workers. The
> working class, which comprises the overwhelming majority of the
> American population, is unrepresented and virtually unmentioned.
>
> Typical was the speech of Michelle Obama where the candidate’s wife
> engaged in a demeaning effort to disavow any hint of a critical
> attitude to American society, portraying herself as an ardent patriot
> and presenting her family’s rise in social status as the
> personification of the “American dream.”
>
> In decades past, the “American dream” would have been defined as the
> belief in each generation of working people that their children would
> live better than themselves. But in Ms. Obama’s formulation, the
> “American dream” means that blacks as well as whites, women as well as
> men, have the opportunity to join the privileged elite and escape the
> working class—as she and Barack Obama did.
>
> Perhaps the clearest expression of this rejection of any class appeal
> was Obama’s selection of former Virginia governor Mark Warner as the
> convention keynote speaker. It is the first time that a Democratic
> Party convention keynote speech has been delivered by an individual
> possessing a nine-figure personal fortune.
>
> Warner’s speech Tuesday was both soporific and reactionary. He began
> by celebrating his own success as a cell-phone capitalist (his wealth
> is estimated at over $250 million). It was naturally impossible for
> such an individual to make any genuine connection to the conditions of
> life facing hundreds of millions of working people.
>
> Appealing to economic nationalism—as did many of the speakers—Warner
> warned that the Bush administration’s policies were opening the door
> to international competitors of the United States, particularly China,
> to seize the world’s economic leadership. Warner declared that his
> biggest criticism of Bush was his failure to demand sufficient
> sacrifices from the American people in the aftermath of the 9/11
> terrorist attacks—an argument that suggests that a Democrat in the
> White House would take such steps as slashing social spending to boost
> the military and reintroduce the draft.
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