http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2014/08/07/235800/why-cant-islamic-state-be-stopped.html


Why can’t Islamic State be stopped? Analysts say it’s better armed, better
organized

By Nancy A. Youssef

McClatchy Washington BureauAugust 7

[image: Mideast Islamic State]

Tuesday, Jan. 14, 2014 - a photo which has been verified and is consistent
with other AP reporting, shows fighters from the al-Qaida linked Islamic
State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) marching in Raqqa, Syria.

UNCREDITED — AP

WASHINGTON — The Islamic State’s push toward the Kurdish city of Irbil on
Thursday came as unwelcome news to those who’d believed that the Kurdish
peshmerga militia would be the force most capable of halting the militant
Islamists’ momentum.

The United States had such confidence in the Kurds that, in June, it moved
its Joint Operation Center and some embassy staff to Irbil, where roughly
40 U.S. military advisers are now stationed.

Until this week, life in Irbil has been relatively normal despite the
Islamic State offensive, which began with the fall of Mosul, Iraq’s second
largest city, in early June. Everyone assumed that the Islamic State was
shying away from confronting the peshmerga, with its substantial reputation
as a fighting force.

But then the Islamic State moved against cities last week that were
defended by the peshmerga, and the peshmerga retreated. On Thursday, the
Islamic State captured at least four towns on the highway to Irbil and
defeated peshmerga forces attempting to break its siege of the Mosul Dam. A
near panic took hold in the Kurdish capital as militia forces rushed to set
up a defensive line at Kalak, 25 miles northwest of Irbil.

It was another victory for the Islamic State, which before the peshmerga
had defeated Syrian forces throughout much of eastern Syria, including
recent seizures of major Syrian bases in Raqqa and Deir el Zour, and had
sent Iraqi army forces fleeing almost to the gates of Baghdad.

What has made the Islamic State forces seemingly unstoppable?

Observers on the ground and analysts in Washington believe that the latest
push was possible because the peshmerga forces are stretched trying to
defend a frontier with the Islamic State that is nearly 900 miles long. The
Islamic State is also better equipped, with U.S.-supplied weapons that its
forces have looted from every Iraqi military based it has seized. It also
has recently captured major Syrian arsenals.

On Twitter, the Islamic State often posts photos of its bounty from
military bases, which include rocket-propelled-grenade launchers, artillery
and weapons that are far more sophisticated than those in the peshmerga
arsenal.

The Islamic State also has the advantage of momentum. According to the Long
Wars Journal, citing a tweet by the Islamic State, its forces have taken
control of 17 communities in the area around Mosul. Its push stretches all
the way to Diyala province in northeast Iraq, which borders Iran. On
Thursday, the Islamic State claimed to control the Mosul Dam, the largest
water supply source in Iraq _ a claim U.S. and Iraqi sources confirmed.

And perhaps most importantly, the Islamic State has very simply put
together a smarter offensive plan. Its push toward Irbil is believed by
many not to be a move to take that city but to force the peshmerga to
defend its capital, allowing the Islamic State to harden its grip on places
nearby it’s more interesting in holding.

“No one is doing what ISIS is doing,” said Jessica Lewis, a research
director at the Washington-based Institute for the Study of War, using an
acronym for the Islamic State derived from its previous name, the Islamic
State of Iraq and Syria. “ISIS thins out and strategically targets their
adversaries. They are more thoughtful about their offense.”

In Sunni-dominated Iraqi cities like Mosul and Fallujah, the Islamic State
successfully co-opted or intimidated residents, allowing its forces to move
in and take over. In Kurdish-defended areas, it’s forced the peshmerga to
defend multiple locations along the lengthy frontier.

*The Kurds have made no secret of their limitations. They have repeatedly
asked the United States for help. *

Many analysts believe that the Islamic State’s current push in northern
Iraq, seizing cities such as Sinjar and Bartella that lie east of Mosul, is
intended to create a buffer between the Kurdish region and the
self-declared Islamic caliphate. For the Islamic State, cities like Sinjar
potentially form the outer border of a contiguous state.

“They are trying to carve out the territorial integrity of their Islamic
State,” Lewis said.

Against this backdrop, Kurdish Regional Government President Masoud Barzani
reportedly issued a statement this week, condemning the Islamic State for
attacking Christians, thousands of whom fled to the Kurdish region.

Lewis said there was another reason to doubt that the Islamic State wants
to seize Irbil. Unlike Mosul, where the Islamic State had operated for
years and had built a support network, Irbil is a Kurdish city of 1.5
million people committed to keeping the Islamic State out. Moreover, Irbil
does not border the proposed Islamic caliphate.

Rather, Lewis believes the Islamic State wants to lock peshmerga forces
into defending the capital, which would leave other places that it seeks to
control vulnerable. It allows the Islamic State to decide the terms of
battle _ something it has been able to do since early June.

“ISIS is maintaining the initiative,” she said.


Read more here:
http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2014/08/07/235800/why-cant-islamic-state-be-stopped.html#storylink=cpy




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