"In Israel, organized crime groups counterfeit American dollars for export 
to the United States." - Expert Louise Shelley
http://www2.gwu.edu/~ieresgwu/assets/docs/demokratizatsiya%20archive/02-3_Shelley.PDF

On Wednesday, January 7, 2015 7:37:14 AM UTC-6, Travis wrote:
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> http://www.spiegel.de/international/business/terror-expert-shelley-speaks-of-islamic-state-business-model-a-1011492.html
> Terror Expert Louise Shelley: 'Islamic State Is a Diversified Criminal 
> Operation'
>
> [image: Photo Gallery: Funding the Jihad]
>
> *SPIEGEL:* Professor Shelley, leaving aside the victims for a moment, 
> what does a terrorist attack actually cost the terrorists?
>
> *Shelley:* At first glance, it is less than you think. To obtain weapons 
> or to train a small group of terrorists is not excessively expensive. Take 
> 9/11 as an example: The costs are estimated at only $500,000. But I think 
> this is the wrong approach for a calculation. The essential question here 
> is: What are the costs of maintaining a terrorist organization 
> <http:///international/world/us-envoy-warns-no-short-term-solutions-for-stopping-islamic-state-a-1010880.html>?
>  
> You need tremendous logistics, you need to keep all the fighters motivated, 
> you have to take care of the families of terrorists who are killed, and so 
> on. You need many millions. 
>
> *SPIEGEL:* In your new book, "Dirty Entanglements: Corruption, Crime and 
> Terrorism", you write that every terrorist success story starts like the 
> establishment of a successful business: with the collection of seed money. 
> In al-Qaida's case, the money originated from Osama bin Laden's fortune. 
> Where does Islamic State's seed money come from?
>
> *Shelley:* From two sources. The antecedents of IS received donations 
> from the Gulf States, but now it has smaller, new contributions from many 
> locales. The smuggling routes they are now using were also used during the 
> post-invasion period for low-level smuggling -- of cigarettes and 
> pornography.
>
> *SPIEGEL:* Pornography?
>
> *Shelley:* Yes, I was also surprised that there was such trade in the 
> region now under IS control. Now, IS is financing itself largely through 
> the oil trade, but also many other activities. It is a diversified criminal 
> operation.
>
> *SPIEGEL:* What sort of activities?
>
> *Shelley:* With looted art from the occupied territories, for example. It 
> is sold via Ebay, at art fairs or in premium antiquarian shops in Europe. 
> But that does not really bring in a lot of money because the market is 
> limited. The terrorists think quite broadly about their sources of 
> financial support and the number of potential customers for expensive items 
> is small. IS taxes trade, they make money from the passports sold by 
> foreign fighters, they sell mobile phones, trade in illicit cigarettes and 
> engage in kidnapping as well as human smuggling and trafficking. And, of 
> course, the arms trade. Other terrorist groups make money selling pirated 
> CDs and DVDs. Counterfeit goods, forged passports and documents, the 
> illicit wildlife trade and drugs earn a lot for terrorist groups.
>
> *About Louise Shelley*
>
>    - Louise Shelley, 62, is the founder and director of the Terrorism, 
>    Transnational Crime and Corruption Center at George Mason University. She 
>    is the author of "Dirty Entanglements: Corruption, Crime and Terrorism", 
>    which was published last July.
>
> *SPIEGEL:* How do the trade routes work for such illicit deals? 
>
> *Shelley:* They simply use traditional trade relations. The connections 
> between Iraq, Syria or Turkey are hundreds, if not thousands, of years old. 
> They were parts of common empires throughout history. Corruption of 
> officials allows products to cross borders.
>
> *SPIEGEL:* Does that mean that terrorist organizations are connected to 
> organized crime from the very beginning?
>
> *Shelley:* I would not say they are connected to organized crime. They 
> participate in organized crime. Sometimes terrorist organizations outsource 
> criminal activities to organized crime groups, sometimes they keep them 
> in-house. In case of the latter, they bribe officials and execute the 
> operation by themselves. They use corruption as would an organized crime 
> group. IS was formed in the prisons of post-invasion Iraq, which were 
> crucial in forming the relations between the terrorists and the 
> criminalized Baathists of the Saddam Hussein regime.
>
> *SPIEGEL:* Is it not actually taboo for jihadists to cooperate with 
> regular criminals?
>
> *Shelley:* An interesting question. A lot of experts I talked to say that 
> for the Islamists, criminals are "usable". They are not untouchable. You 
> can recruit staff for the jihad from among criminals by promising them that 
> they will be cleansed of their sins. That is quite an attractive offer for 
> Muslims. Within IS are a lot of fighters with a criminal past.
>
> *SPIEGEL:* Is it even okay for a "holy warrior" to smuggle porn, so long 
> as it serves a higher goal?
>
> *Shelley:* What IS is teaching is not Islam. The terrorists have 
> reinterpreted Islam for their own purposes and they use this distorted 
> Islam to justify their actions. They do many things that are against Islam. 
> When Imams in Turkey and Saudi-Arabia re-educate former terrorists, they 
> explain that they have interpreted the Koran falsely.
>
> *SPIEGEL:* That all sounds more like corporate interests than Caliphate 
> interests.
>
> *Shelley:* Yes, that's right. By now, many IS documents have been 
> confiscated. In analysing them, you notice that the group is managed like a 
> regular business. With IS, as with other terrorist groups, there is proper 
> bookkeeping with a meticulous listing of incomes from different sources and 
> an offset of the expenses for salaries, bribery or weapons. Terror is also 
> a business -- a good one. Because terrorists operate like a business, it is 
> important to go after them with a variety of legal measures and not just 
> criminal law. Germany is now focusing on penal law but it has long 
> experience with administrative and regulatory law that would be very 
> helpful in addressing the facilitation of terrorist business practices.
>
> *SPIEGEL: *We don't want this to sound nostalgic, but what happened to 
> old school terrorism? Did terrorist groups not have ideological goals in 
> the past?
>
> *Shelley:* There has been a huge transformation in international 
> terrorism since the end of the Cold War. With the decline of state support 
> for terrorism, terrorists have turned more to crime. But even groups like 
> the IRA were deeply involved in criminal business and, at some point in 
> time, became more like criminals than like terrorists. If you continuously 
> need to gather money for your operations, that eventually becomes the 
> center of your thinking rather than ideology. Still the old alliances 
> between terrorism and crime differ from the modern ones.
>
> *SPIEGEL:* In what way?
>
> *Shelley:* Take the Mafia as a traditional form of trans-national crime. 
> They depended on the state for contracts. Both the mafia and the Yakuza in 
> Japan grew after World War II along with the postwar economies of Italy and 
> Japan. The Mafia became so powerful because it used state structures in 
> Italy and infiltrated them even up to top government circles. It grew with 
> the state and became rich. The Yakuza in Japan proceeded similarly. They 
> were part of the system and benefited from it. That is also the reason why 
> they did not attack the state like terrorists do. Today, there are global 
> networks for both crime and terrorism that operate outside the state, and 
> that is why it is much easier for both criminals and terrorists to operate 
> globally.
>
> *SPIEGEL:* Has globalized capitalism corrupted terrorism?
>
> *Shelley:* It is more complicated than that. Groups like IS are closer to 
> the historical trade traditions of the Middle East than to the industrial 
> capitalism we know today. That is why they are more focused on generating 
> money by trading in oil, other raw materials or goods to finance their 
> terrorist organization. That is why they also launder their money through 
> trade-based money laundering.
>
> *SPIEGEL:* It appears that terrorist groups and international criminals 
> are among those who have profited from globalization.
>
> *Shelley:* Indeed. We still think in state structures. And on the other 
> side are these groups that use the opportunities of globalization and the 
> vanishing of borders for their own purposes and earn money with it.
>
> *SPIEGEL:* The revenues from all these commercial operations need to be 
> transferred from one place to the other. How important is the Hawala system 
> -- the transfer of money via trusted persons without the use of banks?
>
> *Shelley:* Of course Hawala belongs to the system. But it is not as 
> though everything goes through informal systems; the money also intersects 
> with the legitimate economy. Oil smuggling involves more than criminal and 
> terrorist groups. Already in Saddam Hussein's Iraq, members of his Baath 
> Party participated in it and some former Baathists are part of IS and are 
> still participating in the oil trade today. It is not just a dirty 
> entanglement of terrorists and criminal groups within the state machinery. 
> It is a trade that interacts with the licit economy of trucks, tankers and 
> banks -- not only in Iraq, but worldwide.
>
> *SPIEGEL:* Is cybercrime among the business sectors that terrorist groups 
> participate in?
>
> *Shelley:* An interesting point, because nobody talks about it. When I 
> talk to government representatives, they tell me that we have to bomb IS 
> territory to deprive them of the possibility of continuing to earn money 
> with the oil trade. Then I say: And you believe that is how you end 
> terrorist financing? This is one of the basic mistakes in 
> counter-terrorism: We talk about following the money. Then, investigators 
> look back at what these groups did to make their money in the past. But 
> terrorists think like businessmen. They ask themselves: How can I make 
> money today and tomorrow? And cybercrime, of course, is part of that. 
> Members of the al-Qaida affiliate responsible for the devastating Bali 
> bombing in 2002, that killed 202 people, were sent to prison in Indonesia. 
> There, one of the leaders raised money for the cause through Internet 
> crime. There is more than a decade-long history of al-Qaida involvement in 
> fundraising through the Internet.
>
> *SPIEGEL:* Does that apply to IS as well?
>
> *Shelley:* At the moment, the group makes so much money with oil that 
> they do not need cybercrime. But of course it possesses the capabilities. 
> You only have to look at how professionally they use computer technologies, 
> the Internet and its social network capabilities 
> <http:///international/world/interview-with-former-fbi-agent-and-islamic-state-expert-ali-soufan-a-1003853.html>
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> for their public relations activities and recruitment. Additionally, these 
> groups are connected globally, exchange information and learn from each 
> other. Therefore, the past experience of al-Qaida is available to them.
>
> *SPIEGEL:* In Germany everybody talks about terrorism, but few talk about 
> organized crime. Is there an underestimation of the danger that results 
> from the blending of these two sectors?
>
> *Shelley:* I have noticed that in Germany there is little research on the 
> linkages of these phenomena. There is also little basic analysis on the 
> non-traditional security challenges facing Germany today. Germany is 
> surrounded by many regions of the world where dirty entanglements are 
> pervasive -- North Africa 
> <http:///international/world/islamic-state-expanding-into-north-africa-a-1003525.html>,
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> the Balkans, and the Middle East. Germany does not control its borders any 
> more. Yet there is little analysis on the consequences of this for Germany. 
> Few researchers are studying the reasons for, and the dimensions of, 
> illicit migration into Germany. In my conversations with the German 
> government, I talked about an African country that nobody has on the radar, 
> but because of its abundant natural resources, dozens of trans-national 
> criminal organizations are active there. I was asked: How do you know that? 
> And I replied: Because I do research! Germany was once known for its 
> research tradition. It should remember that. 
>
> *SPIEGEL:* What role does Germany play when it comes to the business 
> dealings of international terrorist groups?
>
> *Shelley:* Think about the attacks on the World Trade Center on 9/11. It 
> was partly planned and prepared in Hamburg. Germany did not pay attention 
> to the problem of international terrorism then -- this country provided a 
> good retreat for such groups. Today, IS in Germany recruits hundreds of 
> volunteers to support terrorism. Part of the many millions of dollars that 
> were embezzled at the Afghan Bank have been run through Germany. The heroin 
> that helps support the Taliban likewise comes to Germany. There is no 
> doubt: The problem of international crime and trans-national terrorism is a 
> problem for your country, too.
>
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