http://www.nationalreview.com/article/396262/troubling-math-muslim-migration-ian-tuttle



January 13, 2015 4:00 AM

The Troubling Math of Muslim Migration
<http://www.nationalreview.com/article/396262/troubling-math-muslim-migration-ian-tuttle>
Preventing a Paris-style attack is, in part, a numbers game. Americans
don’t seem to be paying attention.

By Ian Tuttle <http://www.nationalreview.com/author/ian-tuttle>

A major Islamist terror attack in France was only a matter of time. For
several decades, the country has invited immigrants from the Middle East
and North Africa en masse – first to bolster the labor force in the
rebuilding years that followed World War II, then out of multicultural
impulses that prevailed over prudential considerations. That radical Islam
was transplanted to France, grew in strength and extent, and bore this
week’s hideous fruit was not difficult to predict. The same is not unlikely
in Sweden, Belgium, Germany, and elsewhere.

Demographics may not be the whole of destiny, but they are certainly a good
part, and across the Atlantic, the United States seems increasingly to be
turning toward Western Europe’s most undesirable demographic trends.

In 1992, 41 percent of new permanent residents in the United States —
green-card holders — hailed from the Asia-Pacific region, the Middle East
and North Africa, or sub-Saharan Africa, according to the Pew Research
Center. A decade later, the percentage was 53 percent. Over that same
period, predictably, the number of Muslim immigrants coming to the United
States annually has doubled, from 50,000 to approximately 100,000 each
year. In 1992, only 5 percent of Muslim immigrants came from sub-Saharan
Africa; 20 years later, it was 16 percent. Of the 2.75 million Muslims in
the United States in 2011, 1.7 million were legal permanent residents.

There is no official estimate of Muslims in the U.S.; religious affiliation
is not tracked by the Census Bureau. However, Pew’s estimate of 2.75
million seems to be on the lower end. The Council on American-Islamic
Relations says there are approximately 7 million Muslims in the country.

Whatever the exact level, it can hardly be considered surprising that as
the Muslim population in the country has expanded, so has the incidence of
radicalism.

The Boston Marathon bombers, Tamerlan and Dzhokhar Tsarnaev, born in the
Soviet Union and Kyrgyzstan, respectively, came to the United States as
refugees in 2002. They were radicalized inside the country, Tamerlan
reportedly at the Islamic Society of Boston mosque in Cambridge, Mass. That
mosque has reported links to several other convicted, or suspected,
terrorists
<http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2013/04/23/boston-mosque-radicals/2101411/>.
Abdul Rahman al-Amoudi, born in Eritrea and raised in Yemen, was reportedly
an attendee before being sentenced, in 2004, to 23 years in prison for
(among other things) his role in a Libyan plot to assassinate then–Saudi
Crown Prince Abdullah. Also reported to worship there was Aafia Siddiqui,
“Lady al-Qaeda,” born in Pakistan, later a graduate of MIT and Brandeis
University, sentenced to 86 years in prison in 2010 for attempting to kill
a U.S. Army captain in Afghanistan. But that was just what they prosecuted:
She had plans to conduct a chemical attack in New York City. (The Islamic
Society of Boston denies these and several other troubling associations.)

And one can look elsewhere. In 2003, the “Lackawanna Six,” six naturalized
citizens from Yemen, were convicted of providing material support to
al-Qaeda. Lackawanna, N.Y., (as well as nearby Buffalo) is home to a large
Yemeni population. In May, authorities arrested Mufid Elfgeeh, a
Yemeni-born man who was allegedly attempting to recruit for the Islamic
State and use revenues from his grocery store to fund the organization. He
was living in Rochester, N.Y., just an hour east.

But the potential threats of a permissive immigration policy are
multigenerational. France has spent decades ushering in its recent fate.

Consider: Said and Chérif Kouachi — the brothers responsible, along with a
third accomplice, for the Charlie Hebdo murders — were native Frenchmen
whose parents hailed from Algeria. So was Farid Benyettou, the man who drew
Chérif Kouachi to radical Islam. So was Mohammed Merah, who shot seven
people dead, including three children at Jewish day school, in Toulouse and
Montauban in March 2012.

Radicalism seems to ferment as much, if not more so, among first-generation
Westerners as among their immigrant parents. Which means that massive
Muslim immigration may have few visible repercussions today — but a great
many tomorrow.

That reality is becoming manifest in the United States.

Dearborn, Mich., is home to just under 100,000 people, about 40 percent of
whom are Muslim. In 2013, a leaked government document revealed
<http://detroit.cbslocal.com/2014/08/09/arab-american-activists-enraged-over-dearborns-terrorist-ranking/>
that more people from Dearborn were on the federal terrorist watch list
than from any other city except New York. In March 2014, Dearborn resident
Mohammed Hassan Hamdan was arrested at the Detroit Metropolitan Airport on
his way to join Hezbollah in Syria.

In October of last year, Mohammed Hamzah Khan, of Bolingbrook, Ill., was
arrested at Chicago’s O’Hare International Airport on his way to enlist in
the Islamic State. He had left his family a three-page letter inviting them
to join him.

And there are the dozens of individuals from the Twin Cities’ Somali
diaspora, many of whom worshiped at the same mosque, who have tried —
successfully and otherwise — to do the same. (For more information on this
phenomenon, go here
<https://www.nationalreview.com/nrd/articles/390462/twin-cities-terrorists>
.)

Perhaps the most infamous native-born terrorist: Nidal Malik Hasan, the
Fort Hood shooter, whose parents immigrated to the U.S. from the West Bank.

Suggesting a correlation between the number of Muslims in the country and
the incidence of radicalism is, of course, considered insensitive, if not
downright “Islamophobic.”

But the only point here is a mathematical one: Whatever the percentage of
Muslims who support or would ever consider supporting jihadism, the raw
number obviously increases along with the total number of Muslims. One
percent of 10 million is much larger than 1 percent of 1 million. The
questions is, at what point does the radical population achieve a kind of
critical mass?

This need not be inevitable. America’s immigration policy can be tailored
to address this challenge. Unfortunately, the available measures will be
only minimally effective without a significant change of political
circumstances.

The most obvious prophylactic would be to simply reduce the numbers of
immigrants permitted from Muslim-majority countries. Reducing the numbers
of immigrants from those countries allowed into the U.S. would reduce
opportunities for many good, hard-working folk, yes, but it would almost
certainly reduce the number of radical Islamists entering the country as
well, making it much more difficult for those so inclined to wreak havoc
within our borders, or to entrap the young and impressionable. That would
help to reduce the likelihood both of terrorist activity currently and a
generation hence. However, while Congress has the authority to legislate
such a change, it would meet with fierce opposition from some quarters. A
more plausible solution would be to reduce immigration from these countries
as part of an across-the-board immigration reduction — although that, too,
is improbable anytime soon. Those may of course both be too dramatic: One
milder alternative would be to shift immigration priorities toward fellow
English-speaking nations and liberal democracies.

Other, finer tools are available. Enhanced scrutiny can be applied to visa
applicants from countries recognized as state sponsors of terrorism, or
where terrorists are known to operate. The president of the National
Citizenship and Immigration Services Council, the U.S. Citizenship and
Immigration Services’ union, has called America’s immigration system the
world’s “visa clearinghouse,” with applications processed with an emphasis
on speed rather than security and accuracy. The current administration’s
policies toward illegal immigrants are likely only to further inundate an
already overwhelmed system.

We could also adjust America’s refugee policy, which has played a
significant part in the arrival of certain communities — such as
Minnesota’s Somalis — and allows for religious distinctions that could be
used to distinguish between, say, Syrian Sunnis and Syrian Christians
applying for refugee status. However, given political considerations and
ham-handed bureaucratic procedures, that change is also unlikely.

But the potential problems associated with massive Muslim immigration, and
potential solutions, must be addressed now, when they can still be
implemented thoughtfully — not in the wake of an instance of large-scale
domestic terrorism.

The attack on *Charlie Hebdo* was not inevitable, but years of permissive
immigration policy made it more and more likely. If we want to reduce the
probability of a similar attack inside America’s borders, we should
recognize France’s mistake, and reform immigration policies that simply do
not add up.




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