http://thecipherbrief.com/article/cyber-espionage



*Expert Commentary*
Cyber Espionage

January 3, 2016 | John Sipher



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*John SipherFormer Member, CIA’s Senior Intelligence Service
<http://thecipherbrief.com/expert/John-Sipher>*



For years, I slept fitfully after a “friend” told me that it wasn’t the
noisy mosquitos buzzing in my ears at night that were a problem.  Instead,
it was the female mosquitos that made no noise at all but laid eggs in your
ears at night.  That image wrecked my sleep until the Internet helped me to
dispel the myth years later.

The cyber threat is a little like the silent mosquito.  The biggest dangers
are the ones that you will never know about.

However, if you follow the public discourse on the nature of the cyber
threat to the U.S., it seems that the bulk of the dialogue has to do with
the issue of hackers and the thousands of daily thwarted attacks against
government and private computer systems.  It is almost as if the danger is
easily detected, and a better password and up-to-date antivirus software
can solve the problem.

However, the far bigger threat is from foreign intelligence and terrorist
groups, who have the talent, resources, and wherewithal to do serious
damage to U.S. interests – damage we may never realize until it is too
late.  While we publically frame the problem by citing how many attacks are
observed every day, the far bigger problem is hidden.  An intelligence
organization’s job is to pick your pocket without you ever knowing anything
is amiss.  You won’t make it very far as an intelligence officer if your
adversary becomes aware of your activities.

Of the capable organizations that are determined to do us harm, perhaps the
most competent, dedicated, and focused is Russia’s Special Communications
Service, the Russian equivalent of the U.S. National Security Agency (NSA).

Russia doesn’t do many things well (dancing bears, perhaps).  Spying,
however, is a Russian specialty honed by decades of experience controlling
its population and stealing from the West.  The U.S. has been their main
enemy since WWII and remains so today.  Indeed, while we more often hear
about Chinese cyber activities, the Russian cyber espionage enterprise is
far more sophisticated and capable than its Chinese counterpart, according
to statements by U.S. intelligence officials.

Unlike in the U.S., the Russian espionage effort is central to its foreign
policy, and its offensive cyber capability is a particularly powerful
weapon that is used to challenge the U.S. across the board.  Indeed, the
Russian NSA equivalent is used for – among other things - cyber warfare,
espionage, counterintelligence, internal control of its citizens,
disinformation, and propaganda.  Russia’s cyber attacks – both blatant and
stealthy – are used to achieve geopolitical ends and to maintain an
asymmetric ability to damage the U.S.

The Russians have shown a willingness to use the cyber weapons at their
disposal, and have done so effectively.  In 2007, the Russians swamped
Estonian computer systems to express their anger at perceived Estonian
disrespect of Russian symbols.  A year later, they combined sophisticated
cyber intrusions with their military attack against Georgian forces.  More
recently, they used offensive cyber tools to support their aggressive
annexation of Crimea and eastern Ukraine.  We even witnessed Russian cyber
probing of top U.S. financial institutions in 2013.

Internally, the Russians use cyber weapons to maintain control over their
population.  By law, all private encryption equipment in Russia is required
to be licensed by Russian Intelligence.  Likewise, all internet providers
in Russia have to install hardware/equipment provided by the Russian NSA
equivalent (and pay for it themselves).  There is no such thing as privacy
in Russia.

While the U.S. Government is probably the biggest target of Russian cyber
spying, you can be confident that they go after anyone and anything that
can help them get what they need.  They surely steal directly from Yahoo,
Google, Facebook, and social media platforms.  If they want to collect
compromising information on a person in a bank, military unit, national
laboratory, or nuclear power plant, you can be sure that they are swimming
in e-mail and personal data that can help them craft an approach to that
individual.

At the same time, the Russians are collecting the capability to understand
and possibly disrupt our power grid, air traffic control, oil and gas
infrastructure, and transit networks.  Additionally, recent reports cite a
significant increase in Russian submarine surveillance activity in the
vicinity of the strategic underwater fiber cables that facilitate
commercial and classified communications.  This aggressive effort has
intensified fears of Russian efforts to tap or cut these critical deep sea
communication conduits that carry trillions of dollars a day in global
business.

The only real way to protect ourselves from this kind of sophisticated
cyber warfare is a robust public-private partnership between our
intelligence and law enforcement services, and those companies that provide
the backbone of our computer networks.  In this sense, perhaps the most
damaging of Edward Snowden’s many traitorous acts was to destroy the trust
between the private sector and our security professionals.  We are now
talking past each other, and the Russians, Chinese, Iranians, and others
are having a field day.  Until those key relationships and trust is
restored, we will remain in a vulnerable state.

So, the next time you hear a story about hackers attacking various computer
networks, think of the buzzing mosquito, and remember that there is
probably something much more dangerous happening away from public notice.



The Author is John Sipher

John Sipher is a senior project leader at the McChrystal Group.  John
retired in 2014 after a 28-year career in the Central Intelligence Agency’s
National Clandestine Service. At the time of his retirement he was a member
of the CIA’s Senior Intelligence Service.  John served multiple overseas
tours as Chief of Station and Deputy Chief of Station in Europe, Asia,
Southeast Asia, the Balkans, and South Asia. He is the recipient of the
Agency's Distinguished Career Intelligence Medal.




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