FYI:  That "Travis" is not me.  LOL

On Mon, Jun 22, 2009 at 9:56 AM, bruce majors <[email protected]>wrote:

>
>
>
>
>
> *Krugman's Intellectual Waterloo
> *by Lilburne
> Posted on 6/22/2009
>
> Last Monday evening, Lew Rockwell, from a tip by someone named "Travis,"
> posted <http://www.lewrockwell.com/blog/lewrw/archives/027541.html> this
> damning quote of Paul Krugman's from a 2002 *New York Times* 
> editorial<http://www.nytimes.com/2002/08/02/opinion/dubya-s-double-dip.html?scp=4&sq=krugman%20mcculley%20bubble&st=cse>
> :
>
>  To fight this recession the Fed needs…soaring household spending to
> offset moribund business investment. [So] Alan Greenspan needs to create a
> housing bubble to replace the Nasdaq bubble.
>
> Krugman. 2002. Calling for a housing bubble.
>
> What's more, by explicitly calling for a new bubble to replace the recently
> burst one, he anticipated by 6 years the *Onion*'s hilarious " 
> report<http://www.theonion.com/content/news/recession_plagued_nation_demands>"
> that "demand for a new investment bubble began months ago, when the subprime
> mortgage bubble burst and left the business world without a suitable source
> of pretend income." Except Krugman was being *serious*.
>
> The quote caught on in the blogosphere, to such an extent that Krugman
> actually 
> responded<http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/06/17/and-i-was-on-the-grassy-knoll-too/>in
>  his New York Times blog Wednesday morning:
>
>  Guys, read it again. It wasn't a piece of policy advocacy, it was just
> economic analysis. What I said was that the only way the Fed could get
> traction would be if it could inflate a housing bubble. And that's just what
> happened.
>
> So with a deft little two-step, Krugman paints himself as a doctor who gave
> an excellent diagnostic, and not a disastrous prescription. One of his
> ditto-heads posted on his blog that saying Krugman advocated or caused the
> housing bubble was "Like saying Nostradamus caused the rise of European
> fascism."
>
> At the same time, with his headline of "And I was on the grassy knoll, too"
> he paints his critics (especially the Austrians) as conspiracy theorists,
> akin to the Lone Gunmen (the Kennedy-assassination theorists from the
> X-Files TV show). Just like with the matter of Jekyll Island and the events
> leading up to the creation of the Fed, an obvious conclusion from a matter
> of public record is portrayed by establishment sophistry as unmoored
> crankiness. And once again, it works: another ditto-head dismissively
> remarked "no need to reason with those folks."
>
> Even economist Arnold Kling bent over 
> backwards<http://econlog.econlib.org/archives/2009/06/defending_what.html>to 
> interpret the column in a benign light:
>
>  He was not cheerfully advocating a housing bubble, but instead he was
> glumly saying that the only way he could see to get out of the recession
> would be for such a bubble to occur.
>
> Krugman thanked Kling for his "gracious, sensible explication". I can just
> imagine Kling running around his office in glee at having been nodded at by
> a celebrity Nobel Laureate, exclaiming, "He likes me! He likes me!"
>
> Mark Thornton on the Mises blog followed up with a devastating 
> collection<http://blog.mises.org/archives/010153.asp>of 2001 Krugman quotes 
> clearly documenting his support for inducing a
> housing bubble. The most damning of this batch is the following from a 2001
> interview <http://www.pkarchive.org/economy/ML071801.html> with Lou Dobbs:
>
>  Meanwhile, economic policy should encourage other spending to offset the
> temporary slump in business investment. Low interest rates, which promote
> spending on housing and other durable goods, are the main answer. [emphasis
> added]
>
> How the hell can anyone spin that as a purely academic musing, and not a
> policy recommendation for artificially inducing housing spending?
>
> Ignoring the other quotes for a moment, and just judging from the 2002
> column, did Krugman support pumping up a housing bubble or not? Given that,
> even in his recent blog defending himself, he explicitly stated his belief
> that "the only way the Fed could get traction would be if it could inflate a
> housing bubble," there are only two possibilities:
>
>
>    1. He did not support inducing a housing bubble, and wanted the Fed to
>    not fight the recession.
>    2. He did support inducing a housing bubble.
>
>
> Anyone even somewhat familiar with Krugman's attitude toward Fed activism
> should know that proposition #1, that Krugman supported a do-nothing policy,
> is preposterous. So, especially after bringing back in the quotes gathered
> by Mark Thornton, the case for proposition #2 is overwhelming.
>
> And what about his strawman <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Strawman>protests 
> that he didn't cause the housing bubble, much less the Enron
> scandal or Kennedy's assassination? The man is willfully missing the point.
> What is damning about these quotes is not that he necessarily caused
> anything. What is devastating about them is that they expose the
> intellectual bankruptcy of his economic principles. Those who look up to him
> like the second coming of Adam Smith should realize that the neo-Keynesian
> principles that lead him to advocate aggressive interest-rate cuts and
> mammoth public spending now, are the very same principles that led him to
> advocate inducing a housing bubble then. He would himself affirm that his
> economic principles haven't fundamentally changed since then. So the
> conclusions and policy prescriptions he infers from them are just as wildly
> wrong now as they were then.
>
> [VIEW THIS ARTICE ONLINE] <http://mises.org/story/3530>
>
> ________________________
>
> Lilburne is a teacher and writer based in San Francisco. He writes about
> economics, history, and philosophy at his blog Summa 
> Anthropica<http://mises.org/Community/blogs/lilburne/default.aspx>.
>
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