I am not a follower of Krugman.  If he says buy, I would sell and
vice-versa.

On Mon, Jun 22, 2009 at 12:23 PM, dick thompson <[email protected]>wrote:

> Pity - sounds like you though.
>
>
> Travis wrote:
>
> FYI:  That "Travis" is not me.  LOL
>
> On Mon, Jun 22, 2009 at 9:56 AM, bruce majors <[email protected]>wrote:
>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>> *Krugman's Intellectual Waterloo
>> *by Lilburne
>> Posted on 6/22/2009
>>
>> Last Monday evening, Lew Rockwell, from a tip by someone named "Travis,"
>> posted <http://www.lewrockwell.com/blog/lewrw/archives/027541.html> this
>> damning quote of Paul Krugman's from a 2002 *New York Times* 
>> editorial<http://www.nytimes.com/2002/08/02/opinion/dubya-s-double-dip.html?scp=4&sq=krugman%20mcculley%20bubble&st=cse>
>> :
>>
>>  To fight this recession the Fed needs…soaring household spending to
>> offset moribund business investment. [So] Alan Greenspan needs to create a
>> housing bubble to replace the Nasdaq bubble.
>>
>> Krugman. 2002. Calling for a housing bubble.
>>
>> What's more, by explicitly calling for a new bubble to replace the
>> recently burst one, he anticipated by 6 years the *Onion*'s hilarious 
>> "report<http://www.theonion.com/content/news/recession_plagued_nation_demands>"
>> that "demand for a new investment bubble began months ago, when the subprime
>> mortgage bubble burst and left the business world without a suitable source
>> of pretend income." Except Krugman was being *serious*.
>>
>> The quote caught on in the blogosphere, to such an extent that Krugman
>> actually 
>> responded<http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/06/17/and-i-was-on-the-grassy-knoll-too/>in
>>  his New York Times blog Wednesday morning:
>>
>>  Guys, read it again. It wasn't a piece of policy advocacy, it was just
>> economic analysis. What I said was that the only way the Fed could get
>> traction would be if it could inflate a housing bubble. And that's just what
>> happened.
>>
>> So with a deft little two-step, Krugman paints himself as a doctor who
>> gave an excellent diagnostic, and not a disastrous prescription. One of his
>> ditto-heads posted on his blog that saying Krugman advocated or caused the
>> housing bubble was "Like saying Nostradamus caused the rise of European
>> fascism."
>>
>> At the same time, with his headline of "And I was on the grassy knoll,
>> too" he paints his critics (especially the Austrians) as conspiracy
>> theorists, akin to the Lone Gunmen (the Kennedy-assassination theorists from
>> the X-Files TV show). Just like with the matter of Jekyll Island and the
>> events leading up to the creation of the Fed, an obvious conclusion from a
>> matter of public record is portrayed by establishment sophistry as unmoored
>> crankiness. And once again, it works: another ditto-head dismissively
>> remarked "no need to reason with those folks."
>>
>> Even economist Arnold Kling bent over 
>> backwards<http://econlog.econlib.org/archives/2009/06/defending_what.html>to 
>> interpret the column in a benign light:
>>
>>  He was not cheerfully advocating a housing bubble, but instead he was
>> glumly saying that the only way he could see to get out of the recession
>> would be for such a bubble to occur.
>>
>> Krugman thanked Kling for his "gracious, sensible explication". I can just
>> imagine Kling running around his office in glee at having been nodded at by
>> a celebrity Nobel Laureate, exclaiming, "He likes me! He likes me!"
>>
>> Mark Thornton on the Mises blog followed up with a devastating 
>> collection<http://blog.mises.org/archives/010153.asp>of 2001 Krugman quotes 
>> clearly documenting his support for inducing a
>> housing bubble. The most damning of this batch is the following from a 2001
>> interview <http://www.pkarchive.org/economy/ML071801.html> with Lou
>> Dobbs:
>>
>>  Meanwhile, economic policy should encourage other spending to offset the
>> temporary slump in business investment. Low interest rates, which promote
>> spending on housing and other durable goods, are the main answer. [emphasis
>> added]
>>
>> How the hell can anyone spin that as a purely academic musing, and not a
>> policy recommendation for artificially inducing housing spending?
>>
>> Ignoring the other quotes for a moment, and just judging from the 2002
>> column, did Krugman support pumping up a housing bubble or not? Given that,
>> even in his recent blog defending himself, he explicitly stated his belief
>> that "the only way the Fed could get traction would be if it could inflate a
>> housing bubble," there are only two possibilities:
>>
>>
>>    1. He did not support inducing a housing bubble, and wanted the Fed to
>>    not fight the recession.
>>    2. He did support inducing a housing bubble.
>>
>>
>> Anyone even somewhat familiar with Krugman's attitude toward Fed activism
>> should know that proposition #1, that Krugman supported a do-nothing policy,
>> is preposterous. So, especially after bringing back in the quotes gathered
>> by Mark Thornton, the case for proposition #2 is overwhelming.
>>
>> And what about his strawman <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Strawman>protests 
>> that he didn't cause the housing bubble, much less the Enron
>> scandal or Kennedy's assassination? The man is willfully missing the point.
>> What is damning about these quotes is not that he necessarily caused
>> anything. What is devastating about them is that they expose the
>> intellectual bankruptcy of his economic principles. Those who look up to him
>> like the second coming of Adam Smith should realize that the neo-Keynesian
>> principles that lead him to advocate aggressive interest-rate cuts and
>> mammoth public spending now, are the very same principles that led him to
>> advocate inducing a housing bubble then. He would himself affirm that his
>> economic principles haven't fundamentally changed since then. So the
>> conclusions and policy prescriptions he infers from them are just as wildly
>> wrong now as they were then.
>>
>> [VIEW THIS ARTICE ONLINE] <http://mises.org/story/3530>
>>
>> ________________________
>>
>> Lilburne is a teacher and writer based in San Francisco. He writes about
>> economics, history, and philosophy at his blog Summa 
>> Anthropica<http://mises.org/Community/blogs/lilburne/default.aspx>.
>>
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