Who's really in charge here, the generals or
President Barack Obama?
----
AIPAC

On Dec 7, 12:34 pm, dick thompson <[email protected]> wrote:
>     <http://www.politico.com>
>
> *Who's in charge -- generals or Obama?*
> By: David Rogers
> December 6, 2009 10:34 PM EST
>
> Gen. Stanley McChrystal
> <http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1209/30085.html>, the U.S.
> commander in Afghanistan, goes before Congress this week, and with him
> comes this question: Who's really in charge here, the generals or
> President Barack Obama?
>
> The long-awaited hearings, beginning Tuesday before the House and Senate
> Armed Services committees, are a bookend of sorts to Obama's address
> last Tuesday <http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1209/30093.html> at
> West Point committing 30,000 more troops to the war effort in
> Afghanistan. Implicit in the president's decision is an effective cap of
> about 100,000 for the American force, but top Democrats fear that unless
> Obama is more assertive, the military chain of command will undermine
> his July 2011 target to begin some U.S. withdrawal.
>
> "The president's decision
> <http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1209/30248.html> is already being
> softened and made mush of," Senate Armed Services Committee Chairman
> Carl Levin (D-Mich.) told POLITICO. And within the House and Senate
> Appropriations committees, senior Democrats --- themselves veterans of
> past wars --- have grown increasingly concerned by the political clout
> of a generation of younger, often press-savvy military commanders.
>
> McChrystal and his strong ally, Gen. David Petraeus, commander of the
> U.S. Central Command, are quotable stars in today's modern media; their
> wartime budgets not only are large but also give them exceptional
> discretion that is the envy of their foreign policy partners in the
> State Department.
>
> The September leak of McChrystal's confidential report on the need for
> more troops helped box in Obama and quickly became grist for the
> Republican political mill. Even before that, Rep. John Murtha
> <http://topics.politico.com/index.cfm/topic/JohnMurtha> (D-Pa.),
> chairman of the House defense appropriations panel, complained of what
> he saw as a pattern of news reports from the military in Afghanistan
> promoting a buildup. And while Obama has a retired general of his own in
> National Security Adviser Jim Jones, the 65-year-old Marine four-star
> has not been the counterweight that many of his admirers had predicted.
>
> "I've always believed that the president of the United States is the
> commander in chief," said Senate Appropriations Committee Chairman
> Daniel Inouye (D-Hawaii), who was awarded the Medal of Honor in World
> War II. "It concerns me when I see my president, the commander in chief,
> having to debate with generals. They can do that privately, but he
> should be able to say to General A, 'This is the way we're going to do
> our business.' ... I would expect generals to advise the president but
> not to go public."
>
> The U.S. ambassador to Afghanistan, retired Lt. Gen. Karl Eikenberry ---
> whose own cables critical of a military buildup were leaked in November
> --- appears alongside McChrystal this week. And having them side by side
> underscores the need for greater clarity and cooperation going forward.
>
> "The pace [of withdrawal] is condition-based. The location is
> condition-based. But what wasn't condition-based is the beginning,"
> Levin said of the July 2011 date. "I want to see if McChrystal says,
> yes, he understands that."
> "Second, does he support it? He's not obligated to. I'm asking for his
> honest personal opinion. If he has a different opinion, he should tell
> us. He's obligated to tell us. ... Their advice should be private, ...
> with the one caveat [that] if they are asked by a congressional
> committee for their best professional opinion, they are duty bound to
> give it to us."
>
> For all the tensions, independent observers say the driving force behind
> Obama's decision was the deteriorating security situation in Afghanistan
> and Pakistan, and Jones couldn't be expected to stand down the military.
> "Our system is a dialectical one. Countering forces produce a
> 'synthesis,'" said one Washington veteran of past war debates. But much
> will rest now on Defense Secretary Robert Gates
> <http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1209/30250.html> to make the
> decision stick --- and be a bridge between the uniformed military and
> White House.
>
> Together with Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, Gates dominated House
> and Senate hearings last week on the president's decision, and the two
> were prominent on Sunday morning new shows
> <http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1209/30262.html>, as well.
>
> July 2011 is "the beginning of a process," Gates told NBC News's "Meet
> the Press" and one that he estimated could run three to four years past
> that date. "We will begin to thin our forces and begin to bring them
> home. But the pace of that ... will depend on circumstances on the
> ground. And those judgments will be made by our commanders in the field."
>
> Just as important, in Senate testimony last week, Gates said what has
> been left unsaid by others: that the military establishment agrees no
> more troops will be requested beyond the current planned surge.
>
> This came in a little-noticed exchange in the Senate Foreign Relations
> Committee, where Gates first spelled out that he has been given the
> discretion to add 3,000 support personnel beyond the combat brigades,
> bringing the so-called surge component to potentially 33,000.
>
> "You have no doubt that we will not be adding more troops to Afghanistan
> after this deployment, outside of the 3,000 potentially that you have
> may have to add?" asked Sen. Ted Kaufman (D-Del.).
>
> "That is the commitment that we have made to the president," Gates said.
>
> That Kaufman pursued this question was not entirely surprising: His
> former boss, Vice President Joe Biden, was among those most leery of
> McChrystal's initial troop request. But it also shows how much the
> administration, beginning with the president, wants to beat down any
> comparisons to the steady escalation of troops committed to Vietnam in
> the '60s.
>
> "So this is not like ... comparisons to Vietnam. This is not even like
> Iraq," Kaufman said in reply to Gates. "This is a firm commitment by the
> president of the United States, agreed by the major foreign policy
> strategic planners in our government, that in July 2011 we're going to
> start drawing down troops and we're not going to be adding more troops."
>
> To be sure, implementing that decision --- like Vietnam --- is easier
> said than done, and one of the ironies of the debate thus far is that
> while the administration keeps saying this isn't Vietnam, they keep
> talking about it.
>
> In explaining the "unholy alliance" of Al Qaeda and Taliban forces,
> Gates suddenly felt compelled to double-back and say he wasn't restating
> a new domino theory --- made famous by Lyndon B. Johnson's insistence
> that the U.S. would be fighting on "the beaches of Waikiki" if Vietnam
> fell to the communists. Clinton herself spoke of "Afghanization" ---
> echoing then-President Richard Nixon's "Vietnamization" policy in 1969.
> And in the long press accounts Sunday of their own decision making,
> White House aides --- many of whom grew up after Vietnam --- made a
> point that they'd gone back and read Gordon Goldstein's 2008 "Lessons in
> Disaster" on McGeorge Bundy, a key adviser to both John F. Kennedy and
> Johnson on the Indochina war.
>
> In truth, there's nothing about the U.S. involvement in Afghanistan thus
> far that matches the murderous killing in Vietnam --- and nothing quite
> like North Vietnam itself, which was able to send large, even
> mechanized, forces into the South to support insurgent guerrillas.
>
> But the presence of porous borders, the challenge of building and
> partnering with the Afghan security forces and the large costs to the
> American taxpayer are all real --- and similar to Vietnam.
>
> Most focus has been on the immediate cost of the added troops this year
> and a forthcoming supplemental spending bill that could approach $40
> billion, when added funds for the State Department's "civilian surge"
> are added. But this is only a first payment, and given Gates's and
> Clinton's answers, the increased commitment knocks a far larger hole in
> Obama's budget.
>
> Until now, the administration has estimated it could get through fiscal
> 2010, ending next Sept. 30, with $130 billion for overseas contingency
> funds for Iraq and Afghanistan. From 2011 through 2014, it predicted it
> would need only $50 billion annually since the pace of the U.S.
> withdrawal from Iraq is to accelerate over the coming year.
>
> In fact, these numbers will clearly be inadequate, and in 2011 alone,
> whatever happens in July that year, the war-related costs will be
> double, if not triple, what's projected.
>
> Perhaps the most difficult challenge for McChrystal in this same period
> is the planned buildup of Afghan forces, who must be prepared to begin
> taking over territory from McChrystal's troops in 18 months. In this
> case, both he and Obama are paying a huge price for the lack of
> investment under the Bush administration, and the U.S. must run at
> almost double-time pace to catch up with where it wants to be.
>
> Gates has testified that the goal is to have an Afghan army of 170,000
> by July 2011, but Adm. Mike Mullen, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of
> Staff, told senators that only about 98,000 Afghan troops are trained to
> date, and many of them are not yet in the field.
>
> In a year's time, the goal is to have this number at 134,000, but the
> lack of Afghan partners poses a more immediate challenge in deciding
> where the U.S. can now best target its own military operations against
> Taliban strongholds in the Kandahar and Helmand regions.
>
> How long can the U.S. hold an area --- without Afghan partners --- and
> not appear to be an occupying force to villagers most affected? It's a
> decision for McChrystal in the field but also one that has to be watched
> closely for Obama, now that this is his war, as well.
>
> "He's got to be very, very much on top of the type of missions and the
> way in which these troops are deployed," Senate Foreign Relations
> Committee Chairman John Kerry (D-Mass.) told POLITICO. "It's clear to me
> that there are limitations. We should not be going in, clearing and
> holding areas where we don't have the ability to come in immediately
> with Afghans."
>
> "If we don't, we're going to be digging ourselves a hole," he said.
> "[Obama] has to very careful not to allow that to happen."
>
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