The New START Threat to Missile
Defense<http://paracom.paramountcommunication.com/ct/4237449:6306213588:m:1:147140772:E8315E1208E7975EBCD673EB98B070DC>
On March 26 the White House released a fact
sheet<http://paracom.paramountcommunication.com/ct/4237450:6306213588:m:1:147140772:E8315E1208E7975EBCD673EB98B070DC>on
the New START Treaty. It claimed that the agreement signed by
President
Barack Obama and Russian President Dmitri Medvedev "does not contain any
constraints on testing, development or deployment of current or planned U.S.
missile defense programs."

But the Russians seem to have a different interpretation of the document
they signed. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov told reporters in Moscow
on April 
6th<http://paracom.paramountcommunication.com/ct/4237451:6306213588:m:1:147140772:E8315E1208E7975EBCD673EB98B070DC>that
Russia would exit the treaty if "the U.S.’s build-up of its missile
defense strategic potential in numbers and quality begins to considerably
affect the efficiency of Russian strategic nuclear forces. … Linkage to
missile defense is clearly spelled out in the accord and is legally
binding."

So which is it? Does New START place limits on U.S. missile defense or not?
While an April 8th State Department fact
sheet<http://paracom.paramountcommunication.com/ct/4237452:6306213588:m:1:147140772:E8315E1208E7975EBCD673EB98B070DC>on
"Ballistic Missile Defense and New START Treaty" mirrored the March
26th
language, an "updated" April 21st State Department fact
sheet<http://paracom.paramountcommunication.com/ct/4237453:6306213588:m:1:147140772:E8315E1208E7975EBCD673EB98B070DC>showed
significant movement towards the Russian position. It says, "The New
START Treaty does not constrain the United States from deploying the most
effective missile defenses possible."

Notice the change? The Obama administration has backtracked from "does not
contain any constraints on testing, development or deployment of current or
planned U.S. missile defense programs" to "does not constrain the United
States from deploying *the most effective missile defenses possible*." So
are only the "most effective missile defenses" allowed by New START? As
determined by whom? By the Russians? By Obama's nominee to be Associate
Director for the National Security and International Affairs, Office of
Science and Technology Policy Philip Coyle? Coyle, by the
way<http://paracom.paramountcommunication.com/ct/4237454:6306213588:m:1:147140772:E8315E1208E7975EBCD673EB98B070DC>,
has made a name for himself by questioning whether missile defense is
technically possible, despite a proven track record of
repeated<http://paracom.paramountcommunication.com/ct/4237455:6306213588:m:1:147140772:E8315E1208E7975EBCD673EB98B070DC>
successes<http://paracom.paramountcommunication.com/ct/4237456:6306213588:m:1:147140772:E8315E1208E7975EBCD673EB98B070DC>by
the Pentagon’s Missile Defense Agency. If a new U.S. President who
actually believes in missile defense is elected, would that Commander in
Chief be constrained by what President Obama and anti-missile defense
advocates like Coyle thought qualified as "effective missile defense"?

This morning at 10 AM EST, the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations will
hold its first 
hearing<http://paracom.paramountcommunication.com/ct/4237457:6306213588:m:1:147140772:E8315E1208E7975EBCD673EB98B070DC>on
the New START Treaty. The first witness is scheduled to be Secretary
of
State Hillary Rodham Clinton. Maybe she can explain why the April 8th State
Department fact sheet had to be updated with the April 21st version. Maybe
she can explain why Undersecretary of State for Arms Control and
International Security Ellen Tauscher used the April 8th language "the
Treaty does not constrain U.S. missile defense programs" as opposed to the
equivocal April 21st language when she
testified<http://paracom.paramountcommunication.com/ct/4237458:6306213588:m:1:147140772:E8315E1208E7975EBCD673EB98B070DC>before
the Senate Armed Services Committee on April 22nd.

And New START's problems do not end with its constraints on missile defense.
An independent 
assessment<http://paracom.paramountcommunication.com/ct/4237459:6306213588:m:1:147140772:E8315E1208E7975EBCD673EB98B070DC>by
the New START Working Group has identified other key problems with the
agreement including: the possible exclusion of rail-mobile ICBMs from
coverage under the Treaty’s launcher
limits<http://paracom.paramountcommunication.com/ct/4237459:6306213588:m:1:147140772:E8315E1208E7975EBCD673EB98B070DC>,
the lack of a proper definition of air-launched ICBMs under the counting
rules<http://paracom.paramountcommunication.com/ct/4237459:6306213588:m:1:147140772:E8315E1208E7975EBCD673EB98B070DC>and
the
fact that the U.S. and Russia have failed to agree on the matter of
limitations on the U.S. missile defense
program<http://paracom.paramountcommunication.com/ct/4237459:6306213588:m:1:147140772:E8315E1208E7975EBCD673EB98B070DC>
.

David J. Kramer, who spent more than eight years at State and now works as a
fellow at the German Marshall Fund of the United States, told Heritage's
Robert Bluey: "The Russians have to spin this at home as saying they have
laid down markers on missile defense. Here in the United States, the
administration is going to underscore that this in no way ties the
administration’s hands on missile defense. These are rather contradictory
messages coming from Moscow and Washington on a fairly critical issue." The
Senate needs to start sorting these contradictions out. Today.

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