There are 23 dem senate seats up for grabs in 2012. Only 10 GOP. Thats some tough math for the dems.
And the CSM is in Boston On Nov 9, 8:28 pm, dick thompson <[email protected]> wrote: > -------- Original Message -------- > Subject: DAILY KOS GOD WRITING FOR CHRISITAN SCIENCE MONITOR > Date: Tue, 9 Nov 2010 19:56:13 -0500 (EST) > From: [email protected] > To: [email protected] > > rofl his followers at DailyKos )must be gulping hard and hoping no one > notices this! :-P > > The Christian Science Monitor - CSMonitor.com > > Boehner will fail, and Democrats will pounce in 2012 > > Republicans didn't sweep these elections for grand ideological reasons, > but because not enough of the Democratic base showed up to vote. Exit > polls also show that angry voters who flocked to Republicans will end up > disappointed in their actual policies. And in 2012, Democrats will be ready. > ------------------------------------------------------------------------ > By Markos Moulitsas Zúniga > <http://www.csmonitor.com/layout/set/print/About/Contact-Us-Feedback> > posted November 8, 2010 at 9:05 am EST > Berkeley, Calif. — > The 2010 elections > <http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Election-2010/2010/1103/After-GOP-landsl...> > have come and gone, and Democrats found out what happens when they > neglect their base > <http://www.csmonitor.com/Business/Robert-Reich-s-Blog/2010/1102/Obama...> > and fail to deliver jobs for the American people. > First things first, the exit polls > <http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2010/results/polls/#USH00p1> tell us what > this election was /not/. It was not an embrace of the Republican Party. > As counterintuitive as it sounds, the voter opinion of the Republican > Party (42 percent favorable) was /less/ favorable than that of the > Democratic Party (43 percent favorable). Yet 23 percent of those who > viewed the GOP unfavorably still voted for them anyway. > *IN PICTURES: John Boehner* > <http://www.csmonitor.com/layout/set/print/CSM-Photo-Galleries/In-Pict...> > > Full of contradictions > > While 35 percent of voters believed that Wall Street was to blame for > the terrible economy, that cohort still voted for Republicans by a 56 to > 42 margin. It’s a GOP con of masterful proportions – embrace Wall Street > and its money, yet still win the votes of the financial industry’s > biggest critics. > Of the 47 percent of voters who want the health care law as is or even > /expanded/, 44 percent of them voted Republican. The GOP, of course, has > made repeal of the law > <http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Election-2010/2010/1103/Health-care-refo...> > a central tenet of its agenda. > And of the 37 percent of voters who felt the next Congress’s highest > priority should be more government spending to create jobs, 30 percent > voted for Republicans. Boy, will that bunch be disappointed! > > Voters had to punish someone > > Bottom line, Democrats didn't lose because Republicans are suddenly > popular, or people embrace their agenda. Democrats lost because people > are angry and desperate and flailing and had to punish someone for the > nation's economic woes > <http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Politics/The-Vote/2010/1025/Why-independ...>. > Of course, it didn’t help that core Democratic voters didn’t turn out in > the necessary numbers. > The 2008 electorate > <http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/polls/#USP00p1> was 74 percent > white, 13 percent black, and 9 percent Latino. This week, it was 78, 10, > and 8 percent, respectively. That’s a four-point swing in favor of white > voters. That doesn’t sound like much, but it’s an extra net 3.6 million > white votes. And given whites voted Republican by a 60 to 37 margin, > that was 2.2 million votes banked by Republicans in a contest that > featured myriad tight races. Flip just 150,000 votes in Pennsylvania and > Illinois, and the Democrats > <http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Politics/The-Vote/2010/1103/Democrats-lo...> > hold both those Senate seats. > In addition, the white voters most likely to vote Democratic – the > millennials – suffered from depressed turnout > <http://www.csmonitor.com/Commentary/Opinion/2010/1028/How-can-Democra...>. > In 2008, 18-to-29-year-olds made up 18 percent of the electorate, while > those 65-plus made up 16 percent. More youngsters voted than seniors. > This year, the young cohort was down to 11 percent, while seniors were a > whopping 23 percent of the electorate. That's a 24-point flip, > significant because the youngsters voted Democratic 57 to 40, while the > seniors opted GOP by a 59 to 38 margin. > > Weak turnout hurt Democrats – a lot > > Without the core Democratic base > <http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Election-2010/From-the-Wires/2010/1018/O...> > at the polls, conservatives dominated the electorate, making up 41 > percent of voters. In 2008, they were 34 percent of the total. Given > that even moderates opted strongly for Democrats by a 55 to 42 margin > this election, their relative scarcity compared to fired up > conservatives wasn’t enough to offset those massive Republican gains. > The exit polls are clear, Democrats didn’t lose because of a sudden > rightward switch in the country, but because elections are won by > thosewhose voters show up to the polls > <http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Election-2010/2010/1021/In-California-mi...>. > And last Tuesday, it was Republicans. > > Don't get too comfortable, Boehner > > Now, this new GOP-led House > <http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Election-2010/House/2010/1103/On-histori...> > will make sure that nothing of note passes, and will try to gum up the > works > <http://www.csmonitor.com/Business/Tax-VOX/2010/1104/Election-2010-Wha...> > further with investigations into President Obama’s birth certificate and > other such insanities. There’s nothing Democrats can do about that, but > with power comes responsibility, and presumptive Speaker John Boehner > <http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Election-2010/House/2010/1103/Speaker-to...> > will be under pressure to walk the line between the ideological purity > his tea party base > <http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Election-2010/2010/1103/Tea-Party-Top-10...> > demands, and the pragmatism of governing. When he fails (and he will), > Democrats need to be ready to pounce. > The last three cycles have proven that the House can swing wildly from > extreme to extreme. We truly have an angry, downright schizophrenic > electorate, ready to take out its frustrations > <http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Election-2010/Vox-News/2010/1104/Obama-c...> > on whomever is in power. The Democrats took the brunt of that anger in > 2010. Unless they help turn things around in America, Republicans > shouldn’t get too comfortable in their new congressional digs before > 2012. Especially in a year when the Democratic base /will/ turn out. > /Markos Moulitsas Zúniga > <http://www.csmonitor.com/Commentary/Opinion/2008/1028/p09s01-coop.html> > is publisher of Daily Kos <http://dailykos.com/> and author of "American > Taliban: How War, Sex, Sin, and Power Bind Jihadists to the Radical > Right."/ > *IN PICTURES: John Boehner* > <http://www.csmonitor.com/layout/set/print/CSM-Photo-Galleries/In-Pict...> > ------------------------------------------------------------------------ > > © The Christian Science Monitor. All Rights Reserved. *Terms* under > which this service is provided to you. > <http://www.csmonitor.com/About/Terms> *Privacy Policy > <http://www.csmonitor.com/About/Privacy-Policy>*.- Hide quoted text - > > - Show quoted text - -- Thanks for being part of "PoliticalForum" at Google Groups. For options & help see http://groups.google.com/group/PoliticalForum * Visit our other community at http://www.PoliticalForum.com/ * It's active and moderated. 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