** **

http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2013/sep/1/curl-obamas-2014-calculation-lets-have-war/
****
CURL: Obama’s 2014 calculation: Let’s have a war****

*ANALYSIS/OPINION:*****

The first rule for President Obama: It’s all about 2014. The second rule
for President Obama: See Rule No. 1.**

Make no mistake: The president couldn’t care less about the plight of
Syrians, the 1,500 gassed to death — including nearly 500 children. It’s
all about 2014. Win the House, reign supreme.****

Consider this: Mr. Obama made his dramatic Rose Garden statement Saturday —
then headed to the golf course. Congress has no plans to cut short its
30-day vacation, and the president did not call lawmakers back. So much for
urgency.****

The conventional wisdom is, as usual, wrong. Losing the congressional vote
won’t be an embarrassment for the president, as all the talking heads are
still parroting. A loss would be a double win. First, because a “No” vote
would allow the foreign policy neophyte to walk away from his blundering
“red line” declaration on chemical weapons (“I wanted to go in, but
Congress said no”). And second, should Republicans who voted for the Iraq
and Afghanistan wars now oppose Syria, the president would be armed with
clear “evidence” that their opposition is purely political.****

Keep in mind: This president knows no way to campaign other than to blame
others. He’ll batter Republicans for all of 2014 as obstructionists should
they be the reason the effort fails.****

But the bloviating politicos are also wrong that the “Republican-controlled
House” could reject the plan for partisan reasons. It is Democrats who seem
most squeamish — and they were the most vocal in demanding their say before
intervention in Syria. Remember, two years ago, as the president prepared
to bomb Libya, 70 Democrats joined Republicans in voting against military
operations. Mr. Obama bombed anyway.****

Still, the entire fiasco has been hard to watch, “Amateur Hour” indeed. The
president declares a “red line,” then sees the Syrian dictator cross it
again and again. The Nobel Peace Prize winner declares he’ll take America
to war — but only then does he seek partners and only to find a “Coalition
of the Unwilling.” The United Nations says no, the Arab League says no,
China and Russia say no — even the United Kingdom says no (mainly because
Brits did not want to have another U.S.-led war jammed down their throats).*
***

Back home, polls find 80 percent of Americans want Congress to decide, and
nearly half oppose intervention. So the president — hoping to appear
magnanimous — declares he’ll seek authorization (read: share the blame).****

Still, the president and his secretary of state are absolutely right. “The
indiscriminate slaughter of civilians, the killing of women and children
and innocent bystanders by chemical weapons is a moral obscenity,” John F.
Kerry said. Mr. Obama, in his most powerful passage, said: “Here’s my
question for every member of Congress and every member of the global
community: What message will we send if a dictator can gas hundreds of
children to death in plain sight and pay no price?”****

Of course a firm response is the correct action. And Mr. Obama doesn’t need
authority to do so in Syria, just as he didn’t in Libya. While Republican
support on the Hill now would help Mr. Obama save face after his “red line”
throw-down, striking Syria with a few cruise missiles — however fleeting
and ineffectual that would be to the course of its 2-year-old civil war —
also would send a signal to the real target: Iran. That’s why, most likely,
Republicans will support the president after rewriting the White House’s
draft resolution.****

Now, it is up to Mr. Obama’s own party: Does he still hold sway over
Democrats? Will they bend to his will? Many already seem to be running for
the hills. And if they don’t, will the president have the temerity to order
strikes anyway?****

Whatever happens, this much is clear: We’re no longer talking about the IRS
targeting tea party groups, the Justice Department tapping reporters’ phone
lines, the NSA’s surveillance programs, Benghazi. The president has smartly
changed the subject to the most important decision a commander in chief
makes: war.****

And the most presidential. That, he knows, will play better in the midterm
elections, whichever way Congress votes. ****

** **


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