http://www.aawsat.com/english/news.asp?section=2&id=19088

Sudan: The Country of a Million Crises

09/12/2009 
By Tariq Alhomayed


It does not matter who is trying to ignite the Sudanese robe by relighting the 
match; what's more important than all of this is that Sudan in its entirety 
today is under threat. Some might say that this threat hanging over Sudan is 
not new, and this is the [real] crisis, for the crises in Sudan have given rise 
to successive crises. 

Going into the details of the demands of the Sudanese opposition or parties, 
whether they are in the north or the south, will not add or take anything away 
from the facts on the ground. The most important thing that happened in Sudan 
recently was everybody - internally and externally - united against the 
Sudanese government. This is something that demonstrates the difficulties that 
will be seen in Sudan in the coming days, and is evidence of the mismanagement 
of the Sudanese crisis by the regime. 

Externally, there is the international tribunal, and just days ago [ICC 
prosecutor] Luis-Moreno Ocampo vowed to prosecute Darfur war criminals and 
those that cover up for them, while the northern and southern Sudanese held 
demonstrations that the regime described as illegal, as they had not been 
authorized. It is strange that this regime calls for the licensing of 
demonstrations today when it previously said that the days of demonstrations 
that swept Sudan following the International Criminal Court's decision to 
prosecute the Sudanese President were spontaneous! 

This talk, of course, is not in support of the demonstrations that took place 
on Monday, or support for what was said about arranging a demonstration with a 
million participants, as the demonstrators' demand, which was described as the 
memorandum of the banned rally, is an impossible issue now, even if it is 
legitimate, because such demands mean a new Sudanese agreement. 

Unfortunately what we see today in Sudan is nothing more than [the regime] 
clinging onto power, and the fear that the temple will collapse upon those 
inside it. The south is on the path to secession, and there are those who say 
that secession has already taken place and has not been announced. There is 
also the crisis in Darfur, and the external implications that this has on the 
Sudanese regime, not to mention the suffering of the innocent. There is also 
the conflict between yesterday's allies within the ruling regime itself, and of 
course the victim of all of this is Sudan and its people. 

Therefore we say that the crises in Sudan have begun to give birth to other 
crises, and the reason for this is poor management by the Sudanese regime, and 
its clinging onto power even if this results in the division of the country, 
the breakup of its cohesion, and its exposure to overwhelming risk. Therefore 
even if the [Sudanese] opposition - in all its forms - was successful at 
overthrowing the ruling regime in Sudan, which according to some of the 
regime's supporters was the true purpose behind these demonstrations whose 
demands were not the implementation of what has been agreed upon so much as the 
overthrowing of the ruling regime, this still will not lead to the improvement 
of conditions for Sudan; coups and overthrowing presidents or regimes will not 
bring anything new to Sudan, and will only increase the complexity of the 
situation there. 

The upshot of this is that Sudan is more important than the ruling regime and 
Sudan's stability and security is more important than those who have ambitions 
to rule. Unfortunately the competitors today in Sudan are competing for the 
leftovers of the state, and not a strong coherent [united] state. Therefore the 
language of reason and putting the interests of the country has failed, 
especially at the hands of the al-Bashir regime, and so we are waiting for 
another Arab crisis in a country that previously was considered to be the 
breadbasket of the Arab world.


[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]

Kirim email ke