I have over 20 years experience in the financial services and it industries
working in trading, financial market analysis, risk and it. In the past I
have given training courses on financial market analysis and derivatives.

I have a proposal for a training course and I want to see if there is much
interest. Below is a brief description of the proposed course. If you are
interested in discussing further or would be interested in attending I can
be contacted at [email protected].


Course Summary

Describe a methodology, with applications, to analyse popularity in open
source.



Definition of Popularity

This will look at how to define popularity. The data used will be a time
series of the number of starts and forks for github projects and usage
counts of stackexchange tags.



Description of Methodologies

In this section appropriate methodologies to analyse popularity will be
discussed. As a lot of these methods will be taken from financial market
analysis there will be an emphasis on:

-Introducing various approaches to analysing financial time series data

-Comparing and contrasting financial and open source time series data.



Application of Methodology

The methodologies presented will be used to answer questions including:

-Is there any difference between projects that have a steady growth in
popularity and projects that have periodic bursts in popularity.

-Is there a critical popularity level that if reached means that a project
becomes established and sustainable.

-For competing projects what relative popularity patterns tend to indicate
what project will become most popular.

-For complementary projects what can we deduce from relative popularity
movements.

-What can we tell about projects that have a high degree of correlations in
their popularity.



Specific Detailed Analysis

The final section will examine in detail:

- A number of current github projects that appear from their popularity
trends to becoming very popular.

- The relative popularity of organisations that have significant open
source projects.


All participants in the course will get extensive source code used in the
analysis along with the time series data.

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