On Thu, 4 Sep 2008, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
I have a survivor curve that shows account cancellations during the past 3.5 months. Â Fortunately for our business, but unfortunately for my analysis, the survivor curve doesn't yet pass through 50%. Â Is there a safe way to extend the survivor curve and estimate at what time we'll hit 50%?Without any example code it's hard to say, but take a look at ?predict.coxph and ?predict.survreg in the survival package.
You will not be able to do this with coxph: there will be no events to estimate the baseline hazard from.
Whether using a parametric accelerated life model (survreg) is 'safe' depends on what you are prepared to assume. I'd say it was pretty dubious unless you have theoretical reasons to suppose that e.g. an exponential is a good approximation and it fits the data you do have.
Regards, Richie.
-- Brian D. Ripley, [EMAIL PROTECTED] Professor of Applied Statistics, http://www.stats.ox.ac.uk/~ripley/ University of Oxford, Tel: +44 1865 272861 (self) 1 South Parks Road, +44 1865 272866 (PA) Oxford OX1 3TG, UK Fax: +44 1865 272595
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